After each simulated season I record the driver's record in addition to where they finished. This lets me show their probabilities broken down by record. Because I pull numbers from a hat when simulating a race, this chart tends to be generous. The driver will probably need to do better to win the championship.

If they finish the season with:

    Points: Total points.

    Average: Average points per remaining races.

Chance will finish the season at position: Rounded percentages. As Count gets smaller there are fewer times to flush out the different possible finishing positions, so the numbers are less accurate.

Count: How many times I saw them finish the season with that many (or close to that many) total points. Notice the 1000 times I force them to win or not qualify in all their races.