Chance of winning the title: 0.0%Change:-
Average finish:27.14-0.94

Points: 1792    Back: -2760      Starts: 26    Wins: 0

How are these numbers calculated? (show)

Points Behind 1st  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)

What If

Chances based on how well Morgan Shepherd finishes out the season.

Explain (show)

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance driver will finish the season at position
PointsAverage1234567891011121314151617181920+Count
257219501001,004
255219010025
254718910024
254218810025
253718610021
253218510076
2528184100103
252418310023
2520182100122
2516181100154
2512180100197
2508179100278
2504178100416
2500177100171
2496176100592
2492175100602
2488174100905
2484173100465
24801721001,447
24761711001,176
24721701002,035
24681691001,814
24641681002,841
24601671001,985
24561661004,013
24521651003,086
24481641005,578
24441631004,021
24401621007,600
24361611005,235
243216010010,007
24281591006,960
242415810013,024
24201571009,268
241615610016,710
241215510011,798
240815410021,344
240415310014,594
240015210026,758
239615110018,397
239215010033,640
238814910022,569
238414810041,855
238014710027,461
237614610050,533
237214510033,794
236814410061,185
236414310040,439
236014210073,119
235614110047,768
235214010087,162
234813910057,019
2344138100101,258
234013710066,288
2336136100118,666
233213510076,589
2328134100137,499
232413310087,919
2320132100153,908
231613110099,559
2312130100178,764
2308129100112,272
2304128100201,672
2300127100126,420
2296126100218,078
2292125100140,766
2288124100245,733
2284123100153,849
2280122100274,551
2276121100169,476
2272120100290,132
2268119100183,646
2264118100315,333
2260117100197,881
2256116100350,057
2252115100211,580
2248114100362,226
2244113100224,259
2240112100373,945
2236111100237,015
2232110100417,459
2228109100247,538
2224108100422,750
2220107100257,025
2216106100410,555
2212105100262,853
2208104100464,913
2204103100270,142
2200102100464,763
2196101100274,443
2192100100415,979
218899100273,151
218498100489,273
218097100273,702
217696100477,848
217295100272,698
216894100385,292
216493100265,894
216092100478,975
215691100260,214
215290100459,128
214889100252,659
214488100329,628
214087100239,766
213686100435,910
213285100228,037
212884100408,375
212483100214,521
212082100257,481
211681100200,099
211280100366,712
210879100184,200
210478100333,427
210077100167,327
209676100183,574
209275100152,871
208874100281,148
208473100136,088
208072100246,487
207671100119,027
207270100120,328
206869100105,331
206468100193,910
20606710089,809
205666100163,272
20526510074,570
20486410071,371
20446310065,233
204062100118,212
20366110053,101
20326010094,543
20285910041,784
20245810038,294
20215710034,812
20165610060,648
20125510026,458
20085410045,148
20035310019,176
20005210017,207
19975110015,266
19925010025,127
19884910010,481
19844810016,898
1979471006,684
1976461005,863
1973451004,753
1968441007,294
1964431002,716
1960421003,809
1955411001,300
195240100971
194939100690
194438100817
194037100179
193636100208
19313510022
1928341004
179201001,000
Total simulation runs:20,000,000
RaceFinishStartLapsLeadPointsBonusPenaltyTotalMoney
Stater Bros. 30037342515255728,803
Sam's Town 300403837434328,048
Nicorette 300413918404019,958
Sharpie Mini 300374030525227,508
Pepsi 300383354494913,835
O'Reilly 300423817373726,083
Bashas' Supermarkets 2003432127616121,233
Aaron's 31213331171124512920,775
Nationwide 2502829250797921,568
Diamond Hill Plywood 200162814711511521,693
Carquest Auto Parts 300372799525222,293
Dover 2002235196979722,168
Federated Auto Parts 3002437221919122,833
Meijer 30043420343417,481
Milwaukee 250373855525214,295
Camping World 2002533197888822,493
Daytona 2503114103707027,063
Gateway 25037213335255721,960
Kroger 200372510425255712,910
NAPA Auto Parts 20037417525232,035
Zippo 200 at The Glen243981919122,268
Carfax 2502643122858523,368
Camping World 300343048616127,733
Emerson Radio 2503634133555521,398
RoadLoans.com 2002228204979715,700
Kansas 3002431197919127,783
71772+20-0=1792 $583,285
AverageStart:33.2
Finish:31.6
Money:$22,434