Marcos Ambrose Standingsfinished 20th at Daytona, odds of winning the cup unchanged at 0.013% | Chance of winning the title:
| 0.0 | % | Change: | -0.0 | | | Average finish: | 12.6 | | | -0.26 | |
Points: 2048 Back: -766 Starts: 19 Wins: 0 How are these numbers calculated? (show) What IfChances based on how well Marcos Ambrose finishes out the season. Explain (show) | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance driver will finish the season at position | | | Points | Average | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20+ | | Count | | | | | | | | 5168 | 195 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,000 | | 4528 | 155 | 67 | 33 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | | 4448 | 150 | 53 | 39 | 6 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 36 | | 4368 | 145 | 22 | 48 | 23 | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 301 | | 4288 | 140 | 6 | 27 | 38 | 22 | 7 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2,206 | | 4208 | 135 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 34 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10,568 | | 4128 | 130 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 32 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 42,701 | | 4048 | 125 | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 131,467 | | 3968 | 120 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 33 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 346,052 | | 3888 | 115 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 33 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 701,185 | | 3808 | 110 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 32 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 1,219,699 | | 3728 | 105 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 1,642,269 | | 3648 | 100 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 1,883,864 | | 3568 | 95 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 23 | 34 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 1,660,204 | | 3488 | 90 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 36 | 26 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 1,229,942 | | 3408 | 85 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 34 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | | 685,488 | | 3328 | 80 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 29 | 13 | 2 | | 310,355 | | 3248 | 75 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 32 | 16 | | 101,337 | | 3168 | 70 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 15 | 33 | 49 | | 25,633 | | 3088 | 65 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 84 | | 4,184 | | 3008 | 60 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | | 473 | | 2928 | 55 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 30 | | 2048 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1,000 | | | Total simulation runs: | | 10,000,000 |
| Race | Finish | Start | Laps | Lead | Points | Bonus | Penalty | Total | Money | | | Camping World 300 presented by Chevrolet | 39 | 33 | 103 | | | | 46 | | | | | | 46 | | 49,343 | | Stater Bros. 300 | 22 | 18 | 149 | | | | 97 | | | | | | 97 | | 30,578 | | Sam's Town 300 | 28 | 7 | 131 | | | | 79 | | | | | | 79 | | 29,033 | | Nicorette 300 | 11 | 20 | 198 | | | | 130 | | | | | | 130 | | 23,818 | | Sharpie Mini 300 | 19 | 18 | 170 | | | | 106 | | | | | | 106 | | 29,193 | | Pepsi 300 | 23 | 15 | 222 | | | | 94 | | | | | | 94 | | 21,223 | | O'Reilly 300 | 18 | 24 | 199 | | | | 109 | | | | | | 109 | | 28,518 | | Bashas' Supermarkets 200 | 17 | 11 | 201 | | | | 112 | | | | | | 112 | | 22,818 | | Mexico 200 | 2 | 4 | 80 | | | | 170 | | | | | | 170 | | 88,043 | | Aaron's 312 | 28 | 30 | 81 | | | | 79 | | | | | | 79 | | 25,193 | | Nationwide 250 | 25 | 17 | 251 | | | | 88 | | | | | | 88 | | 21,893 | | Diamond Hill Plywood 200 | 10 | 20 | 149 | | 1 | | 134 | | 5 | | | | 139 | | 26,018 | | Carquest Auto Parts 300 | 14 | 19 | 202 | | | | 121 | | | | | | 121 | | 24,518 | | Dover 200 | 30 | 12 | 152 | | | | 73 | | | | | | 73 | | 21,968 | | Federated Auto Parts 300 | 19 | 16 | 223 | | 2 | | 106 | | 5 | | | | 111 | | 23,068 | | Meijer 300 | 6 | 3 | 200 | | 5 | | 150 | | 5 | | | | 155 | | 33,368 | | Milwaukee 250 | 16 | 21 | 250 | | | | 115 | | | | | | 115 | | 23,493 | | Camping World 200 | 14 | 19 | 200 | | | | 121 | | | | | | 121 | | 23,373 | | Daytona 250 | 20 | 34 | 105 | | | | 103 | | | | | | 103 | | | | | | 8 | | 2033 | + | 15 | - | 0 | = | 2048 | |
$545,459 | |
| Average | Start: | 17.9 | | Finish: | 19 | | Money: | $30,303 |
|