Kelly Bires Standingsfinished 9th at Michigan, odds of winning the cup unchanged at 0.00185% | Chance of winning the title:
| 0.0 | % | Change: | -0.0 | | | Average finish: | 13.28 | | | 0.56 | |
Points: 2618 Back: -964 Starts: 25 Wins: 0 How are these numbers calculated? (show) What IfChances based on how well Kelly Bires finishes out the season. Explain (show) | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance driver will finish the season at position | | | Points | Average | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20+ | | Count | | | | | | | | 4568 | 195 | 36 | 50 | 14 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,000 | | 4293 | 168 | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 4268 | 165 | | | | 41 | 35 | 6 | 12 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | | 4218 | 160 | | | | 17 | 38 | 28 | 14 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 162 | | 4168 | 155 | | | 0 | 5 | 24 | 38 | 29 | 4 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 826 | | 4118 | 150 | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 42 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 3,691 | | 4068 | 145 | | | | 0 | 2 | 15 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 13,243 | | 4018 | 140 | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 39 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 43,619 | | 3968 | 135 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 36 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 113,765 | | 3918 | 130 | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 34 | 16 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 279,321 | | 3868 | 125 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 31 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 548,460 | | 3818 | 120 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 39 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 1,027,740 | | 3768 | 115 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 40 | 17 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | 1,560,941 | | 3718 | 110 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 40 | 33 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 2,263,194 | | 3668 | 105 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 42 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 2,667,931 | | 3618 | 100 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 37 | 39 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 2,994,304 | | 3568 | 95 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 47 | 25 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 2,716,975 | | 3518 | 90 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 42 | 44 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | 2,333,263 | | 3468 | 85 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 59 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 1,605,283 | | 3418 | 80 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 62 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 1,014,734 | | 3368 | 75 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 52 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | 495,280 | | 3318 | 70 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 35 | 44 | 18 | 2 | 0 | | | 220,571 | | 3268 | 65 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 18 | 42 | 32 | 8 | 0 | | | 70,442 | | 3218 | 60 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 31 | 41 | 20 | 2 | | | 20,202 | | 3168 | 55 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 15 | 40 | 36 | 7 | | | 3,632 | | 3118 | 50 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 4 | 27 | 49 | 18 | | | 386 | | 3068 | 45 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 18 | 59 | 24 | | | 17 | | 2618 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1,000 | | | Total simulation runs: | | 20,000,000 |
| Race | Finish | Start | Laps | Lead | Points | Bonus | Penalty | Total | Money | | | Camping World 300 presented by Chevrolet | 12 | 31 | 120 | | | | 127 | | | | | | 127 | | 53,768 | | Stater Bros. 300 | 30 | 24 | 140 | | | | 73 | | | | | | 73 | | 30,023 | | Sam's Town 300 | 15 | 16 | 201 | | | | 118 | | | | | | 118 | | 31,548 | | Nicorette 300 | 12 | 26 | 198 | | | | 127 | | | | | | 127 | | 23,043 | | Sharpie Mini 300 | 20 | 24 | 170 | | | | 103 | | | | | | 103 | | 30,143 | | Pepsi 300 | 5 | 5 | 225 | | 1 | | 155 | | 5 | | | | 160 | | 29,943 | | O'Reilly 300 | 17 | 12 | 199 | | | | 112 | | | | | | 112 | | 29,303 | | Bashas' Supermarkets 200 | 19 | 23 | 201 | | | | 106 | | | | | | 106 | | 22,443 | | Mexico 200 | 31 | 18 | 79 | | | | 70 | | | | | | 70 | | 47,788 | | Aaron's 312 | 36 | 18 | 69 | | | | 55 | | | | | | 55 | | 24,548 | | Nationwide 250 | 20 | 24 | 252 | | | | 103 | | | | | | 103 | | 23,018 | | Diamond Hill Plywood 200 | 24 | 10 | 144 | | 2 | | 91 | | 5 | | | | 96 | | 23,668 | | Carquest Auto Parts 300 | 33 | 30 | 158 | | | | 64 | | | | | | 64 | | 22,388 | | Dover 200 | 13 | 8 | 200 | | | | 124 | | | | | | 124 | | 25,568 | | Federated Auto Parts 300 | 8 | 20 | 225 | | | | 142 | | | | | | 142 | | 24,718 | | Meijer 300 | 19 | 11 | 199 | | | | 106 | | | | | | 106 | | 26,268 | | Milwaukee 250 | 11 | 8 | 250 | | | | 130 | | | | | | 130 | | 24,118 | | Camping World 200 | 22 | 14 | 199 | | | | 97 | | | | | | 97 | | 22,618 | | Daytona 250 | 16 | 24 | 105 | | | | 115 | | | | | | 115 | | 29,018 | | Chicagoland 300 | 12 | 22 | 200 | | | | 127 | | | | | | 127 | | 30,918 | | Gateway 250 | 32 | 30 | 80 | | | | 67 | | | | | | 67 | | 28,953 | | Kroger 200 | 36 | 8 | 119 | | | | 55 | | | | | | 55 | | 19,403 | | NAPA Auto Parts 200 | 24 | 26 | 47 | | | | 91 | | | | | | 91 | | 41,043 | | Zippo 200 at The Glen | 17 | 21 | 82 | | | | 112 | | | | | | 112 | | 22,743 | | Carfax 250 | 9 | 12 | 125 | | | | 138 | | | | | | 138 | | 25,093 | | | | 3 | | 2608 | + | 10 | - | 0 | = | 2618 | |
$712,085 | |
| Average | Start: | 18.6 | | Finish: | 19.7 | | Money: | $28,483 |
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