Chance of winning the title: 5.2%Change:-1.9
Average finish:2.180.07

Points: 4356    Back: -196      Starts: 31    Wins: 4

How are these numbers calculated? (show)

Points Behind 1st  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)

What If

Chances based on how well Carl Edwards finishes out the season.

Explain (show)

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance driver will finish the season at position
PointsAverage1234567891011121314151617181920+Count
513619510001,007
511619010023
511118996427
510618896425
510118610021
509618598264
509218495598
508818395520
5084182964115
5080181937172
5076180946199
5072179919256
5068178937401
5064177919162
5060176919647
50561759010632
50521749010920
50481738614475
504417288121,414
504017186141,189
503617085152,062
503216983171,853
502816883172,840
502416782181,928
502016680204,138
501616580203,106
501216478225,599
500816376243,782
500416275257,672
500016175255,253
4996160732710,100
499215970306,960
4988158683213,119
498415767339,454
4980156663416,674
49761556436011,970
49721546238021,335
49681536040014,971
49641525842026,682
4960151564418,320
49561505545033,476
49521495347022,441
49481485149041,551
49441474951027,823
49401464753050,703
49361454555033,932
49321444357061,276
49281434258040,383
49241424060073,224
49201413862048,034
49161403664087,265
49121393466056,296
490813833670101,150
49041373169065,986
490013629710119,005
48961352872076,715
489213426740137,673
48881332475087,989
488413222770154,277
48801312179099,862
487613020801177,792
487212918811112,346
486812817821202,170
486412716831126,007
486012614851219,000
485612513861140,648
485212412861245,228
484812311871154,197
484412210882274,419
48401219892169,021
48361208892288,758
48321198902183,710
48281187903314,789
48241176913198,236
48201165913349,921
48161155914211,673
48121144914361,033
48081134915225,184
48041123915373,819
48001113916236,725
47961102916416,510
47921092917247,596
47881082908422,661
478410729090257,266
478010618990410,824
4776105189100263,369
4772104188110464,341
4768103187120270,447
4764102187130463,985
4760101086140273,981
4756100085150414,939
475299084160273,594
474898083170488,733
474497081190274,883
474096080200479,153
473695079210273,592
473294078220385,718
472893076240265,581
472492075250477,599
472091073270260,922
471690072280460,361
471289070300252,536
470888069310329,817
470487067330240,240
470086065350436,797
469685063370227,758
469284062380409,517
468883060400215,435
468482058420257,112
468081057430200,368
467680055450366,147
467279053470183,775
466878050490334,199
466477049510167,981
466076047530184,209
465675045550152,748
465274043570281,009
464873041580135,254
4644720396010246,576
464071037621118,543
463670035641120,084
463269346510105,103
4628680326710193,444
46246730691089,545
4620660287010163,117
461665026722075,256
461264025732071,286
46086324742065,835
460462227620118,471
460061020773053,202
45966018783093,427
459259017794041,644
458858016804037,976
458557015805035,045
45805614815060,818
457655012816026,169
45725411827044,979
45675310828019,159
45645210819016,993
45615188210015,174
45565078211025,041
45524968212010,471
454848581130016,628
4543475811416,501
4540464801515,780
4537454791714,781
4532443771817,234
4528432762012,621
4524422752123,649
45194137025201,240
451640272233925
4513391742220696
450838168292817
450437267265206
450036260345164
4495355340715
44923467336
43560320442841,000
Total simulation runs:20,000,000
RaceFinishStartLapsLeadPointsBonusPenaltyTotalMoney
Camping World 300 presented by Chevrolet102612013413450,700
Stater Bros. 3005315015515535,700
Sam's Town 3001492021121512625,590
Nicorette 300431981160516524,025
Sharpie Mini 30014317112112124,425
Pepsi 3003422516516532,075
O'Reilly 30013320012412425,000
Bashas' Supermarkets 2002320238170517558,125
Mexico 20043805160516557,250
Aaron's 312311170707019,325
Nationwide 250722531261461015619,335
Diamond Hill Plywood 2004313343418,105
Carquest Auto Parts 30013720212412419,975
Dover 2002120017017037,850
Federated Auto Parts 30013822512412418,500
Meijer 300203019810310321,775
Milwaukee 25011125027185519050,945
Camping World 2005112006155516024,350
Daytona 25011910517130513526,025
Chicagoland 300161219911511524,020
Gateway 25013200791851019564,545
Kroger 200111220013013015,425
NAPA Auto Parts 2006184815015041,625
Zippo 200 at The Glen251581888816,925
Carfax 25011125711851019555,895
Food City 250378160525221,395
Camping World 3002415017017066,200
Emerson Radio 2501525034185519045,770
RoadLoans.com 2005820715515521,000
Kansas 3004420016016040,325
Dollar General 3005320011555160
4064281+75-0=4356 $1,002,200
AverageStart:7.8
Finish:10.6
Money:$33,407