Carl Edwards StandingsFinished 5th at Charlotte, odds of winning the cup down 1.9% to 5.2% | Chance of winning the title:
| 5.2 | % | Change: | -1.9 | | | Average finish: | 2.18 | | | 0.07 | |
Points: 4356 Back: -196 Starts: 31 Wins: 4 How are these numbers calculated? (show) What IfChances based on how well Carl Edwards finishes out the season. Explain (show) | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance driver will finish the season at position | | | Points | Average | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20+ | | Count | | | | | | | | 5136 | 195 | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,007 | | 5116 | 190 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 23 | | 5111 | 189 | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 27 | | 5106 | 188 | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25 | | 5101 | 186 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 21 | | 5096 | 185 | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 64 | | 5092 | 184 | 95 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 98 | | 5088 | 183 | 95 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 20 | | 5084 | 182 | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 115 | | 5080 | 181 | 93 | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 172 | | 5076 | 180 | 94 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 199 | | 5072 | 179 | 91 | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 256 | | 5068 | 178 | 93 | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 401 | | 5064 | 177 | 91 | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 162 | | 5060 | 176 | 91 | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 647 | | 5056 | 175 | 90 | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 632 | | 5052 | 174 | 90 | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 920 | | 5048 | 173 | 86 | 14 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 475 | | 5044 | 172 | 88 | 12 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,414 | | 5040 | 171 | 86 | 14 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,189 | | 5036 | 170 | 85 | 15 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2,062 | | 5032 | 169 | 83 | 17 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,853 | | 5028 | 168 | 83 | 17 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2,840 | | 5024 | 167 | 82 | 18 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,928 | | 5020 | 166 | 80 | 20 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4,138 | | 5016 | 165 | 80 | 20 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3,106 | | 5012 | 164 | 78 | 22 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5,599 | | 5008 | 163 | 76 | 24 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3,782 | | 5004 | 162 | 75 | 25 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7,672 | | 5000 | 161 | 75 | 25 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5,253 | | 4996 | 160 | 73 | 27 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10,100 | | 4992 | 159 | 70 | 30 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6,960 | | 4988 | 158 | 68 | 32 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13,119 | | 4984 | 157 | 67 | 33 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9,454 | | 4980 | 156 | 66 | 34 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16,674 | | 4976 | 155 | 64 | 36 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11,970 | | 4972 | 154 | 62 | 38 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 21,335 | | 4968 | 153 | 60 | 40 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14,971 | | 4964 | 152 | 58 | 42 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 26,682 | | 4960 | 151 | 56 | 44 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 18,320 | | 4956 | 150 | 55 | 45 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 33,476 | | 4952 | 149 | 53 | 47 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 22,441 | | 4948 | 148 | 51 | 49 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 41,551 | | 4944 | 147 | 49 | 51 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 27,823 | | 4940 | 146 | 47 | 53 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50,703 | | 4936 | 145 | 45 | 55 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 33,932 | | 4932 | 144 | 43 | 57 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 61,276 | | 4928 | 143 | 42 | 58 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 40,383 | | 4924 | 142 | 40 | 60 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 73,224 | | 4920 | 141 | 38 | 62 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 48,034 | | 4916 | 140 | 36 | 64 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 87,265 | | 4912 | 139 | 34 | 66 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 56,296 | | 4908 | 138 | 33 | 67 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 101,150 | | 4904 | 137 | 31 | 69 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 65,986 | | 4900 | 136 | 29 | 71 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 119,005 | | 4896 | 135 | 28 | 72 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 76,715 | | 4892 | 134 | 26 | 74 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 137,673 | | 4888 | 133 | 24 | 75 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 87,989 | | 4884 | 132 | 22 | 77 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 154,277 | | 4880 | 131 | 21 | 79 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 99,862 | | 4876 | 130 | 20 | 80 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 177,792 | | 4872 | 129 | 18 | 81 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 112,346 | | 4868 | 128 | 17 | 82 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 202,170 | | 4864 | 127 | 16 | 83 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 126,007 | | 4860 | 126 | 14 | 85 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 219,000 | | 4856 | 125 | 13 | 86 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 140,648 | | 4852 | 124 | 12 | 86 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 245,228 | | 4848 | 123 | 11 | 87 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 154,197 | | 4844 | 122 | 10 | 88 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 274,419 | | 4840 | 121 | 9 | 89 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 169,021 | | 4836 | 120 | 8 | 89 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 288,758 | | 4832 | 119 | 8 | 90 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 183,710 | | 4828 | 118 | 7 | 90 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 314,789 | | 4824 | 117 | 6 | 91 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 198,236 | | 4820 | 116 | 5 | 91 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 349,921 | | 4816 | 115 | 5 | 91 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 211,673 | | 4812 | 114 | 4 | 91 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 361,033 | | 4808 | 113 | 4 | 91 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 225,184 | | 4804 | 112 | 3 | 91 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 373,819 | | 4800 | 111 | 3 | 91 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 236,725 | | 4796 | 110 | 2 | 91 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 416,510 | | 4792 | 109 | 2 | 91 | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 247,596 | | 4788 | 108 | 2 | 90 | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 422,661 | | 4784 | 107 | 2 | 90 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 257,266 | | 4780 | 106 | 1 | 89 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 410,824 | | 4776 | 105 | 1 | 89 | 10 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 263,369 | | 4772 | 104 | 1 | 88 | 11 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 464,341 | | 4768 | 103 | 1 | 87 | 12 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 270,447 | | 4764 | 102 | 1 | 87 | 13 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 463,985 | | 4760 | 101 | 0 | 86 | 14 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 273,981 | | 4756 | 100 | 0 | 85 | 15 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 414,939 | | 4752 | 99 | 0 | 84 | 16 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 273,594 | | 4748 | 98 | 0 | 83 | 17 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 488,733 | | 4744 | 97 | 0 | 81 | 19 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 274,883 | | 4740 | 96 | 0 | 80 | 20 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 479,153 | | 4736 | 95 | 0 | 79 | 21 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 273,592 | | 4732 | 94 | 0 | 78 | 22 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 385,718 | | 4728 | 93 | 0 | 76 | 24 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 265,581 | | 4724 | 92 | 0 | 75 | 25 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 477,599 | | 4720 | 91 | 0 | 73 | 27 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 260,922 | | 4716 | 90 | 0 | 72 | 28 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 460,361 | | 4712 | 89 | 0 | 70 | 30 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 252,536 | | 4708 | 88 | 0 | 69 | 31 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 329,817 | | 4704 | 87 | 0 | 67 | 33 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 240,240 | | 4700 | 86 | 0 | 65 | 35 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 436,797 | | 4696 | 85 | 0 | 63 | 37 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 227,758 | | 4692 | 84 | 0 | 62 | 38 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 409,517 | | 4688 | 83 | 0 | 60 | 40 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 215,435 | | 4684 | 82 | 0 | 58 | 42 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 257,112 | | 4680 | 81 | 0 | 57 | 43 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 200,368 | | 4676 | 80 | 0 | 55 | 45 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 366,147 | | 4672 | 79 | 0 | 53 | 47 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 183,775 | | 4668 | 78 | 0 | 50 | 49 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 334,199 | | 4664 | 77 | 0 | 49 | 51 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 167,981 | | 4660 | 76 | 0 | 47 | 53 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 184,209 | | 4656 | 75 | 0 | 45 | 55 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 152,748 | | 4652 | 74 | 0 | 43 | 57 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 281,009 | | 4648 | 73 | 0 | 41 | 58 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 135,254 | | 4644 | 72 | 0 | 39 | 60 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 246,576 | | 4640 | 71 | 0 | 37 | 62 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 118,543 | | 4636 | 70 | 0 | 35 | 64 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 120,084 | | 4632 | 69 | | 34 | 65 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 105,103 | | 4628 | 68 | 0 | 32 | 67 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 193,444 | | 4624 | 67 | | 30 | 69 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 89,545 | | 4620 | 66 | 0 | 28 | 70 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 163,117 | | 4616 | 65 | 0 | 26 | 72 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 75,256 | | 4612 | 64 | 0 | 25 | 73 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 71,286 | | 4608 | 63 | | 24 | 74 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 65,835 | | 4604 | 62 | | 22 | 76 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 118,471 | | 4600 | 61 | 0 | 20 | 77 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 53,202 | | 4596 | 60 | | 18 | 78 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 93,427 | | 4592 | 59 | 0 | 17 | 79 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 41,644 | | 4588 | 58 | 0 | 16 | 80 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 37,976 | | 4585 | 57 | 0 | 15 | 80 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 35,045 | | 4580 | 56 | | 14 | 81 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 60,818 | | 4576 | 55 | 0 | 12 | 81 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 26,169 | | 4572 | 54 | | 11 | 82 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 44,979 | | 4567 | 53 | | 10 | 82 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 19,159 | | 4564 | 52 | | 10 | 81 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16,993 | | 4561 | 51 | | 8 | 82 | 10 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15,174 | | 4556 | 50 | | 7 | 82 | 11 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 25,041 | | 4552 | 49 | | 6 | 82 | 12 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10,471 | | 4548 | 48 | | 5 | 81 | 13 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 16,628 | | 4543 | 47 | | 5 | 81 | 14 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6,501 | | 4540 | 46 | | 4 | 80 | 15 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5,780 | | 4537 | 45 | | 4 | 79 | 17 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4,781 | | 4532 | 44 | | 3 | 77 | 18 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7,234 | | 4528 | 43 | | 2 | 76 | 20 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2,621 | | 4524 | 42 | | 2 | 75 | 21 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3,649 | | 4519 | 41 | | 3 | 70 | 25 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,240 | | 4516 | 40 | | 2 | 72 | 23 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 925 | | 4513 | 39 | | 1 | 74 | 22 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 696 | | 4508 | 38 | | 1 | 68 | 29 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 817 | | 4504 | 37 | | 2 | 67 | 26 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 206 | | 4500 | 36 | | 2 | 60 | 34 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 164 | | 4495 | 35 | | | 53 | 40 | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | | 4492 | 34 | | | 67 | 33 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | | 4356 | 0 | | | 3 | 20 | 44 | 28 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,000 | | | Total simulation runs: | | 20,000,000 |
| Race | Finish | Start | Laps | Lead | Points | Bonus | Penalty | Total | Money | | | Camping World 300 presented by Chevrolet | 10 | 26 | 120 | | | | 134 | | | | | | 134 | | 50,700 | | Stater Bros. 300 | 5 | 3 | 150 | | | | 155 | | | | | | 155 | | 35,700 | | Sam's Town 300 | 14 | 9 | 202 | | 1 | | 121 | | 5 | | | | 126 | | 25,590 | | Nicorette 300 | 4 | 3 | 198 | | 1 | | 160 | | 5 | | | | 165 | | 24,025 | | Sharpie Mini 300 | 14 | 3 | 171 | | | | 121 | | | | | | 121 | | 24,425 | | Pepsi 300 | 3 | 4 | 225 | | | | 165 | | | | | | 165 | | 32,075 | | O'Reilly 300 | 13 | 3 | 200 | | | | 124 | | | | | | 124 | | 25,000 | | Bashas' Supermarkets 200 | 2 | 3 | 202 | | 38 | | 170 | | 5 | | | | 175 | | 58,125 | | Mexico 200 | 4 | 3 | 80 | | 5 | | 160 | | 5 | | | | 165 | | 57,250 | | Aaron's 312 | 31 | 11 | 70 | | | | 70 | | | | | | 70 | | 19,325 | | Nationwide 250 | 7 | 2 | 253 | | 126 | | 146 | | 10 | | | | 156 | | 19,335 | | Diamond Hill Plywood 200 | 43 | 1 | 3 | | | | 34 | | | | | | 34 | | 18,105 | | Carquest Auto Parts 300 | 13 | 7 | 202 | | | | 124 | | | | | | 124 | | 19,975 | | Dover 200 | 2 | 1 | 200 | | | | 170 | | | | | | 170 | | 37,850 | | Federated Auto Parts 300 | 13 | 8 | 225 | | | | 124 | | | | | | 124 | | 18,500 | | Meijer 300 | 20 | 30 | 198 | | | | 103 | | | | | | 103 | | 21,775 | | Milwaukee 250 | 1 | 11 | 250 | | 27 | | 185 | | 5 | | | | 190 | | 50,945 | | Camping World 200 | 5 | 11 | 200 | | 6 | | 155 | | 5 | | | | 160 | | 24,350 | | Daytona 250 | 11 | 9 | 105 | | 17 | | 130 | | 5 | | | | 135 | | 26,025 | | Chicagoland 300 | 16 | 12 | 199 | | | | 115 | | | | | | 115 | | 24,020 | | Gateway 250 | 1 | 3 | 200 | | 79 | | 185 | | 10 | | | | 195 | | 64,545 | | Kroger 200 | 11 | 12 | 200 | | | | 130 | | | | | | 130 | | 15,425 | | NAPA Auto Parts 200 | 6 | 18 | 48 | | | | 150 | | | | | | 150 | | 41,625 | | Zippo 200 at The Glen | 25 | 15 | 81 | | | | 88 | | | | | | 88 | | 16,925 | | Carfax 250 | 1 | 1 | 125 | | 71 | | 185 | | 10 | | | | 195 | | 55,895 | | Food City 250 | 37 | 8 | 160 | | | | 52 | | | | | | 52 | | 21,395 | | Camping World 300 | 2 | 4 | 150 | | | | 170 | | | | | | 170 | | 66,200 | | Emerson Radio 250 | 1 | 5 | 250 | | 34 | | 185 | | 5 | | | | 190 | | 45,770 | | RoadLoans.com 200 | 5 | 8 | 207 | | | | 155 | | | | | | 155 | | 21,000 | | Kansas 300 | 4 | 4 | 200 | | | | 160 | | | | | | 160 | | 40,325 | | Dollar General 300 | 5 | 3 | 200 | | 1 | | 155 | | 5 | | | | 160 | | | | | | 406 | | 4281 | + | 75 | - | 0 | = | 4356 | |
$1,002,200 | |
| Average | Start: | 7.8 | | Finish: | 10.6 | | Money: | $33,407 |
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