SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team's chances of making the playoffs

Brad Keselowski Standings

finished 11th at Michigan, odds of winning the cup down 2.9% to 17.4%

Chance of winning the title:	17.4	%	Change:	-2.9

Average finish:	2.64			0.05

Points: 3450 Back: -132 Starts: 25 Wins: 1

How are these numbers calculated? (show)

Points Behind 1st (Full Screen)

Chance Will Win Championship (Full Screen)

What If

Chances based on how well Brad Keselowski finishes out the season.

		100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:		Chance driver will finish the season at position
Points	Average	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20+		Count

5400	195	100																					1,000
5216	177	100																					1
5150	170	100																					1
5100	165	100																					16
5050	160	100																					149
5000	155	100	0																				827
4950	150	100	0																				3,755
4900	145	99	1																				13,329
4850	140	97	3																				43,932
4800	135	94	6	0																			114,291
4750	130	87	12	0																			278,344
4700	125	77	22	1	0																		548,550
4650	120	63	34	3	0																		1,027,150
4600	115	46	46	8	0																		1,559,032
4550	110	29	54	17	0	0	0																2,261,256
4500	105	15	52	31	2	0	0																2,670,320
4450	100	6	41	47	6	0	0	0															2,994,300
4400	95	2	25	56	15	1	0	0															2,719,445
4350	90	0	12	53	29	6	0	0															2,333,851
4300	85	0	4	38	41	15	2	0	0														1,606,899
4250	80	0	1	20	41	29	8	0	0	0													1,013,446
4200	75		0	8	30	40	20	3	0	0													495,091
4150	70		0	2	14	37	36	10	1	0													219,619
4100	65			0	4	22	43	24	5	0	0	0											70,830
4050	60			0	1	8	33	38	16	3	0	0											19,678
4000	55				0	1	17	37	31	12	2	0											3,488
3950	50					0	5	21	38	26	8	1											375
3900	45							8	33	38	8	12											24
3853	40										100												1
3450	0												0	4	29	55	12	1					1,000

Total simulation runs:																							20,000,000

Race	Finish	Start	Laps	Lead			Points			Bonus			Penalty			Total			Money

Camping World 300 presented by Chevrolet	16	13	120					115									115		51,893
Stater Bros. 300	32	15	111					67									67		29,353
Sam's Town 300	23	15	195		12			94			5						99		32,468
Nicorette 300	6	17	198					150									150		26,218
Sharpie Mini 300	4	15	171					160									160		34,818
Pepsi 300	4	8	225		2			160			5						165		28,693
O'Reilly 300	15	9	199		1			118			5						123		29,773
Bashas' Supermarkets 200	12	2	202		9			127			5						132		26,818
Mexico 200	8	28	80					142									142		51,838
Aaron's 312	23	5	97		9			94			5						99		26,493
Nationwide 250	11	33	253					130									130		22,818
Diamond Hill Plywood 200	15	13	147					118									118		22,168
Carquest Auto Parts 300	3	12	202		25			165			5						170		46,193
Dover 200	7	5	200					146									146		24,228
Federated Auto Parts 300	1	2	225		33			185			5						190		56,913
Meijer 300	4	13	200					160									160		39,643
Milwaukee 250	8	1	250		145			142			10						152		32,493
Camping World 200	10	9	200					134									134		25,068
Daytona 250	5	2	105		28			155			5						160		40,868
Chicagoland 300	3	13	200		4			165			5						170		59,318
Gateway 250	5	20	200					155									155		35,368
Kroger 200	19	15	200					106									106		20,043
NAPA Auto Parts 200	12	28	48					127									127		40,468
Zippo 200 at The Glen	6	5	82					150									150		25,043
Carfax 250	11	22	125					130									130		24,693

					268			3395	+		55	-		0	=		3450		$853,690

Average	Start:	12.8
	Finish:	10.5
	Money:	$34,148