Scott Riggs Chase for 13th
Finished 19th at Charlotte, odds of finishing 13th unchanged at 0% | Chance of finishing 13th:
| 0.0 | % | Change: | - | | | Average finish: | 29.79 | | | 0.12 | |
Points: 2550 Back: -1128 Starts: 29 Wins: 0 How are these numbers calculated? (show) What IfChances based on how well Scott Riggs finishes out the season. Explain (show) | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance driver will finish the season at position | | | Points | Average | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23+ | | Count | | | | | 3525 | 195 | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 18 | 41 | 31 | 6 | | 1,000 | | 3470 | 184 | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | 1 | | 3465 | 183 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1 | | 3461 | 182 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1 | | 3455 | 181 | | | | | | | | | | 50 | 50 | | 2 | | 3449 | 180 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1 | | 3445 | 179 | | | | | | | | | | 50 | 50 | | 4 | | 3440 | 178 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 2 | | 3435 | 177 | | | | | | | | | | 25 | 75 | | 4 | | 3430 | 176 | | | | | | | | | | 14 | 86 | | 7 | | 3425 | 175 | | | | | | | | | | 43 | 57 | | 7 | | 3420 | 174 | | | | | | | | | | 14 | 86 | | 7 | | 3415 | 173 | | | | | | | | | | 11 | 89 | | 9 | | 3410 | 172 | | | | | | | | | 7 | | 93 | | 14 | | 3405 | 171 | | | | | | | | | | 12 | 88 | | 8 | | 3400 | 170 | | | | | | | | | | 14 | 86 | | 21 | | 3395 | 169 | | | | | | | | | | 11 | 89 | | 19 | | 3390 | 168 | | | | | | | | | | 8 | 92 | | 26 | | 3385 | 167 | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 97 | | 31 | | 3380 | 166 | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | | 43 | | 3375 | 165 | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 96 | | 47 | | 3370 | 164 | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | | 80 | | 3365 | 163 | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | | 82 | | 3360 | 162 | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | | 102 | | 3355 | 161 | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | | 124 | | 3350 | 160 | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | | 140 | | 3345 | 159 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 197 | | 3340 | 158 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | | 227 | | 3335 | 157 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 230 | | 3330 | 156 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | | 320 | | 3325 | 155 | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | | 354 | | 3320 | 154 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 421 | | 3315 | 153 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | | 510 | | 3310 | 152 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 567 | | 3305 | 151 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | | 663 | | 3300 | 150 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 774 | | 3295 | 149 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 837 | | 3290 | 148 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 977 | | 3285 | 147 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1,087 | | 3280 | 146 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1,255 | | 3275 | 145 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1,456 | | 3270 | 144 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1,475 | | 3265 | 143 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1,742 | | 3260 | 142 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1,991 | | 3255 | 141 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 2,251 | | 3250 | 140 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 2,463 | | 3245 | 139 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 2,741 | | 3240 | 138 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 2,960 | | 3235 | 137 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 3,449 | | 3230 | 136 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 3,684 | | 3225 | 135 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 3,973 | | 3220 | 134 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 4,455 | | 3215 | 133 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 4,795 | | 3210 | 132 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 5,163 | | 3205 | 131 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 5,581 | | 3200 | 130 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 6,186 | | 3195 | 129 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 6,677 | | 3190 | 128 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 7,110 | | 3185 | 127 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 7,631 | | 3180 | 126 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 8,484 | | 3175 | 125 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 8,691 | | 3170 | 124 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 9,198 | | 3165 | 123 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 9,854 | | 3160 | 122 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 10,523 | | 3155 | 121 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 11,310 | | 3150 | 120 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 12,002 | | 3145 | 119 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 12,283 | | 3140 | 118 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 13,022 | | 3135 | 117 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 13,762 | | 3130 | 116 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 14,126 | | 3125 | 115 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 14,651 | | 3120 | 114 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 15,909 | | 3115 | 113 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 15,770 | | 3110 | 112 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 16,214 | | 3105 | 111 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 17,444 | | 3100 | 110 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 17,547 | | 3095 | 109 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 17,544 | | 3090 | 108 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 19,039 | | 3085 | 107 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 19,072 | | 3080 | 106 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 19,039 | | 3075 | 105 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 20,344 | | 3070 | 104 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 19,965 | | 3065 | 103 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 19,324 | | 3060 | 102 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 21,354 | | 3055 | 101 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 20,883 | | 3050 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 19,413 | | 3045 | 99 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 21,710 | | 3040 | 98 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 21,038 | | 3035 | 97 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 18,963 | | 3030 | 96 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 21,718 | | 3025 | 95 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 20,940 | | 3020 | 94 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 17,998 | | 3015 | 93 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 21,334 | | 3010 | 92 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 20,151 | | 3005 | 91 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 16,603 | | 3000 | 90 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 20,182 | | 2995 | 89 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 19,413 | | 2990 | 88 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 15,009 | | 2985 | 87 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 18,734 | | 2980 | 86 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 18,086 | | 2975 | 85 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 12,995 | | 2970 | 84 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 17,025 | | 2965 | 83 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 16,322 | | 2960 | 82 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 11,115 | | 2955 | 81 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 15,099 | | 2950 | 80 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 14,248 | | 2945 | 79 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 9,125 | | 2940 | 78 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 12,922 | | 2935 | 77 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 11,962 | | 2930 | 76 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 7,283 | | 2925 | 75 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 10,966 | | 2920 | 74 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 9,965 | | 2915 | 73 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 5,696 | | 2910 | 72 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 8,912 | | 2905 | 71 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 7,856 | | 2900 | 70 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 4,183 | | 2895 | 69 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 6,807 | | 2890 | 68 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 6,035 | | 2885 | 67 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 3,025 | | 2880 | 66 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 5,021 | | 2875 | 65 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 4,555 | | 2870 | 64 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 2,118 | | 2865 | 63 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 3,695 | | 2860 | 62 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 3,078 | | 2855 | 61 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1,390 | | 2850 | 60 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 2,478 | | 2845 | 59 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 2,110 | | 2840 | 58 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 943 | | 2835 | 57 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1,622 | | 2830 | 56 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1,303 | | 2825 | 55 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 614 | | 2820 | 54 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 993 | | 2815 | 53 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 771 | | 2810 | 52 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 308 | | 2805 | 51 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 524 | | 2800 | 50 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 380 | | 2795 | 49 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 164 | | 2790 | 48 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 273 | | 2785 | 47 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 184 | | 2780 | 46 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 64 | | 2775 | 45 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 80 | | 2770 | 44 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 61 | | 2765 | 43 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 26 | | 2760 | 42 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 28 | | 2755 | 41 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 26 | | 2750 | 40 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 4 | | 2747 | 39 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 7 | | 2740 | 38 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 6 | | 2735 | 37 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1 | | 2732 | 36 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1 | | 2550 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1,000 | | | Total simulation runs: | | 1,000,000 |
| Race | Finish | Start | Laps | Lead | Points | Bonus | Penalty | Total | Money | | | Daytona 500 | 21 | 27 | 200 | | | | 100 | | | | | | 100 | | 287,928 | | Auto Club 500 | 21 | 31 | 250 | | | | 100 | | | | | | 100 | | 104,708 | | UAW-Dodge 400 | 36 | 7 | 260 | | 2 | | 55 | | 5 | | | | 60 | | 81,150 | | Kobalt Tools 500 | 18 | 28 | 324 | | | | 109 | | | | | | 109 | | 93,908 | | Food City 500 | 22 | 31 | 503 | | | | 97 | | | | | | 97 | | 102,058 | | Goody's Cool Orange 500 | 41 | 36 | 420 | | | | 40 | | | | | | 40 | | 67,875 | | Samsung 500 | 27 | 13 | 336 | | | | 82 | | | | | | 82 | | 113,383 | | Subway Fresh Fit 500 | 26 | 10 | 310 | | | | 85 | | | | | | 85 | | 83,433 | | Aaron's 499 | 16 | 19 | 188 | | | | 115 | | | | | | 115 | | 106,533 | | Crown Royal Presents Richmond 400 | 19 | 30 | 408 | | | | 106 | | | | | | 106 | | 88,158 | | Dodge Challenger 500 | 17 | 9 | 367 | | | | 112 | | | | | | 112 | | 99,008 | | Coca-Cola 600 | 28 | 13 | 397 | | | | 79 | | | | | | 79 | | 103,783 | | Dover 400 | 39 | 28 | 308 | | | | 46 | | | | | | 46 | | 75,780 | | Pocono 500 | 21 | 9 | 200 | | 6 | | 100 | | 5 | | | | 105 | | 85,708 | | Michigan 400 | 33 | 34 | 201 | | | | 64 | | | | | | 64 | | 84,983 | | Lenox Industrial Tools 301 | 34 | 4 | 281 | | | | 61 | | | | | | 61 | | 80,847 | | Chicagoland 400 | 20 | 38 | 267 | | | | 103 | | | | | | 103 | | 115,958 | | Allstate 400 at the Brickyard | 25 | 35 | 160 | | 1 | | 88 | | 5 | | | | 93 | | 166,133 | | Pennsylvania 500 | 29 | 40 | 199 | | 1 | | 76 | | 5 | | | | 81 | | 82,108 | | Centurion Boats at The Glen | 34 | 35 | 89 | | | | 61 | | | | | | 61 | | 72,933 | | 3M Performance 400 | 15 | 10 | 200 | | 1 | | 118 | | 5 | | | | 123 | | 99,433 | | Sharpie 500 | 27 | 38 | 496 | | | | 82 | | | | | | 82 | | 106,688 | | California 500 | 25 | 39 | 249 | | | | 88 | | | | | | 88 | | 107,958 | | Chevy Rock and Roll 400 | 31 | 33 | 400 | | | | 70 | | | | | | 70 | | 67,275 | | Sylvania 300 | 19 | 33 | 300 | | | | 106 | | | | | | 106 | | 95,708 | | Dover 400 Number 2 | 25 | 32 | 397 | | | | 88 | | | | | | 88 | | 82,522 | | Kansas 400 | 42 | 38 | 235 | | | | 37 | | | | | | 37 | | 79,205 | | Amp Energy 500 | 7 | 11 | 190 | | 4 | | 146 | | 5 | | | | 151 | | 117,083 | | Bank of America 500 | 19 | 33 | 333 | | | | 106 | | | | | | 106 | | | | | | 15 | | 2520 | + | 30 | - | 0 | = | 2550 | |
$2,852,247 | |
| Average | Start: | 25.7 | | Finish: | 25.4 | | Money: | $101,866 |
Old graphs: Points Above 12th Chance Will Make Chase |