SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team's chances of making the playoffs

Ryan Newman Race for the Chase

finished 6th at Bristol, odds of making the chase down 0.5% to 0.32623%

Chance of making the Chase:	0.3	%	Change:	-0.5

Average finish:	15.55			0.63

Points: 2674 Back: -935 Starts: 24 Wins: 1

How are these numbers calculated? (show)

Points Above 12th (Full Screen)

Chance Will Make Chase (Full Screen)

What If

Chances based on how well Ryan Newman finishes out the season.

		100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:		Chance will be at position when the Chase starts
Points	Average	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20+		Count

3064	195									0	3	19	39	30	8	1							27,918
3044	185									0	0	6	28	41	22	3							53,805
3034	180									0	0	3	20	41	30	6	0						161,909
3024	175										0	1	12	37	38	11	0						135,170
3014	170										0	1	8	32	43	16	0						351,953
3004	165										0	0	4	26	47	22	0						297,352
2994	160											0	2	18	48	31	1						676,288
2984	155											0	1	12	45	40	1						674,506
2974	150											0	0	8	41	49	2	0					946,466
2964	145												0	4	35	57	4	0					1,135,598
2954	140											0	0	2	28	64	6	0					1,433,613
2944	135												0	1	21	70	9	0					1,538,235
2934	130												0	0	14	73	12	0					2,109,142
2924	125													0	9	73	17	0					1,945,316
2914	120													0	6	72	22	0					2,813,499
2904	115													0	3	68	28	1					2,460,063
2894	110													0	2	62	35	2					3,354,958
2884	105													0	1	56	41	3	0				2,866,062
2874	100													0	0	49	47	4	0				3,110,557
2864	95														0	42	52	6	0				2,760,153
2854	90														0	35	56	9	0				3,514,961
2844	85														0	27	59	13	0				2,513,331
2834	80														0	21	60	18	0	0			3,356,163
2824	75														0	15	60	24	0	0			2,270,857
2814	70														0	11	58	30	1	0			2,026,634
2804	65														0	8	54	36	1	0			1,782,560
2794	60															5	49	44	2	0			1,999,001
2784	55															3	42	51	4	0			1,218,568
2774	50															1	35	57	7	0			1,244,872
2764	45															1	28	62	10	0			649,092
2754	40															0	22	64	14	0			406,978
2744	35															0	17	64	18	1			163,420
2674	0																0	26	56	17	1		1,000

Total simulation runs:																							50,000,000

Race	Finish	Start	Laps	Lead			Points			Bonus			Penalty			Total			Money

Daytona 500	1	7	200		8			185			5						190		1,506,045
Auto Club 500	10	13	250		3			134			5						139		143,625
UAW-Dodge 400	14	15	267					121									121		144,400
Kobalt Tools 500	14	12	324					121									121		115,075
Food City 500	33	13	499					64									64		124,150
Goody's Cool Orange 500	19	13	499					106									106		118,575
Samsung 500	4	4	339					160						25			135		236,725
Subway Fresh Fit 500	43	1	134		37			34			5						39		110,718
Aaron's 499	8	21	188		5			142			5						147		149,500
Crown Royal Presents Richmond 400	6	10	410					150									150		137,975
Dodge Challenger 500	37	32	295					52									52		112,200
Coca-Cola 600	21	38	399		1			100			5						105		133,375
Dover 400	14	11	398		6			121			5						126		132,775
Pocono 500	18	27	200					109									109		109,350
Michigan 400	42	14	114					37									37		113,845
Toyota/Save Mart 350	7	9	112					146									146		140,025
Lenox Industrial Tools 301	15	16	284					118									118		117,850
Daytona 400	36	32	149					55									55		126,250
Chicagoland 400	10	17	267					134									134		143,400
Allstate 400 at the Brickyard	13	3	160					124									124		207,975
Pennsylvania 500	14	6	200					121									121		115,850
Centurion Boats at The Glen	26	16	90					85									85		104,700
3M Performance 400	21	20	199					100									100		116,625
Sharpie 500	6	11	500					150									150

					60			2669	+		30	-		25	=		2674		$4,461,008

Average	Start:	15
	Finish:	18
	Money:	$193,957