Regan Smith Race for the Chase
Finished 27th at New Hampshire, odds of making the chase unchanged at 0.01% | Chance of winning the title:
| 0.0 | % | Change: | 0.0 | | | Average finish: | 32.73 | | | -0.32 | |
Points: 1269 Back: -1227 Starts: 16 Wins: 0 How are these numbers calculated? (show) What IfChances based on how well Regan Smith finishes out the season. Explain (show) | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance will be at position when the Chase starts | | | Points | Average | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20+ | | Count | | | | | | | | 3024 | 195 | | | | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 1,000 | | 2825 | 173 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | 1 | | 2799 | 170 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | 50 | | | | | | 2 | | 2754 | 165 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 5 | 12 | 15 | 27 | 24 | 15 | | | 41 | | 2709 | 160 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 21 | 27 | 23 | 22 | | 175 | | 2664 | 155 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 58 | | 930 | | 2619 | 150 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 10 | 87 | | 3,429 | | 2574 | 145 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 98 | | 11,303 | | 2529 | 140 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | | 30,910 | | 2484 | 135 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | | 76,221 | | 2439 | 130 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 163,897 | | 2394 | 125 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 312,754 | | 2349 | 120 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 528,785 | | 2304 | 115 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 798,298 | | 2259 | 110 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1,078,740 | | 2214 | 105 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1,300,949 | | 2169 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1,393,515 | | 2124 | 95 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1,325,437 | | 2079 | 90 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1,115,601 | | 2034 | 85 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 825,537 | | 1989 | 80 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 530,653 | | 1944 | 75 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 293,581 | | 1899 | 70 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 135,868 | | 1854 | 65 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 51,860 | | 1809 | 60 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 15,522 | | 1764 | 55 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 3,483 | | 1719 | 50 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 465 | | 1674 | 45 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 42 | | 1641 | 41 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1 | | 1269 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1,000 | | | Total simulation runs: | | 10,000,000 |
| Race | Finish | Start | Laps | Lead | Points | Bonus | Penalty | Total | Money | | | Daytona 500 | 37 | 29 | 194 | | | | 52 | | | | | | 52 | | 267,095 | | Auto Club 500 | 31 | 17 | 248 | | | | 70 | | | | | | 70 | | 91,575 | | UAW-Dodge 400 | 34 | 28 | 264 | | | | 61 | | | | | | 61 | | 89,575 | | Kobalt Tools 500 | 38 | 41 | 320 | | | | 49 | | | | | | 49 | | 76,885 | | Food City 500 | 26 | 17 | 503 | | | | 85 | | | | | | 85 | | 96,450 | | Goody's Cool Orange 500 | 14 | 33 | 500 | | | | 121 | | | | | | 121 | | 86,325 | | Samsung 500 | 35 | 34 | 331 | | | | 58 | | | | | | 58 | | 94,025 | | Subway Fresh Fit 500 | 35 | 38 | 298 | | | | 58 | | | | | | 58 | | 72,250 | | Aaron's 499 | 21 | 29 | 188 | | 1 | | 100 | | 5 | | | | 105 | | 98,000 | | Crown Royal Presents Richmond 400 | 21 | 26 | 408 | | | | 100 | | | | | | 100 | | 81,000 | | Dodge Challenger 500 | 29 | 16 | 363 | | | | 76 | | | | | | 76 | | 82,625 | | Coca-Cola 600 | 19 | 37 | 399 | | | | 106 | | | | | | 106 | | 104,850 | | Dover 400 | 21 | 29 | 396 | | | | 100 | | | | | | 100 | | 93,875 | | Pocono 500 | 28 | 4 | 200 | | | | 79 | | | | | | 79 | | 73,000 | | Michigan 400 | 32 | 31 | 201 | | | | 67 | | | | | | 67 | | 82,950 | | Lenox Industrial Tools 301 | 27 | 25 | 283 | | | | 82 | | | | | | 82 | | | | | | 1 | | 1264 | + | 5 | - | 0 | = | 1269 | |
$1,490,480 | |
| Average | Start: | 27.1 | | Finish: | 28 | | Money: | $99,365 |
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