Chance of winning the title: 0.0%Change:0.0
Average finish:32.73-0.32

Points: 1269    Back: -1227      Starts: 16    Wins: 0

How are these numbers calculated? (show)

Points Above 12th  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Chase  (Full Screen)

What If

Chances based on how well Regan Smith finishes out the season.

Explain (show)

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will be at position when the Chase starts
PointsAverage1234567891011121314151617181920+Count
30241950292531229201,000
28251731001
279917050502
275416525121527241541
2709160621272322175
266415513122658930
26191500310873,429
25741450019811,303
252914000010030,910
2484135010076,221
2439130100163,897
2394125100312,754
2349120100528,785
2304115100798,298
22591101001,078,740
22141051001,300,949
21691001001,393,515
2124951001,325,437
2079901001,115,601
203485100825,537
198980100530,653
194475100293,581
189970100135,868
18546510051,860
18096010015,522
1764551003,483
171950100465
16744510042
1641411001
126901001,000
Total simulation runs:10,000,000
RaceFinishStartLapsLeadPointsBonusPenaltyTotalMoney
Daytona 50037291945252267,095
Auto Club 5003117248707091,575
UAW-Dodge 4003428264616189,575
Kobalt Tools 5003841320494976,885
Food City 5002617503858596,450
Goody's Cool Orange 500143350012112186,325
Samsung 5003534331585894,025
Subway Fresh Fit 5003538298585872,250
Aaron's 49921291881100510598,000
Crown Royal Presents Richmond 400212640810010081,000
Dodge Challenger 5002916363767682,625
Coca-Cola 6001937399106106104,850
Dover 400212939610010093,875
Pocono 500284200797973,000
Michigan 4003231201676782,950
Lenox Industrial Tools 30127252838282
11264+5-0=1269 $1,490,480
AverageStart:27.1
Finish:28
Money:$99,365