Michael McDowell Chase for 13th
Did not race in Charlotte, odds of finishing 13th unchanged at 0% | Chance of finishing 13th:
| 0.0 | % | Change: | - | | | Average finish: | 39.06 | | | -0.01 | |
Points: 1466 Back: -2212 Starts: 20 Wins: 0 How are these numbers calculated? (show) What IfChances based on how well Michael McDowell finishes out the season. Explain (show) | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance driver will finish the season at position | | | Points | Average | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23+ | | Count | | | | | 2441 | 195 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1,000 | | 2376 | 182 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 2 | | 2373 | 181 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1 | | 2367 | 180 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1 | | 2361 | 179 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 5 | | 2356 | 178 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 3 | | 2351 | 177 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 4 | | 2346 | 176 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 8 | | 2341 | 175 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 7 | | 2336 | 174 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 6 | | 2331 | 173 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 12 | | 2326 | 172 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 7 | | 2321 | 171 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 8 | | 2316 | 170 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 15 | | 2311 | 169 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 35 | | 2306 | 168 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 33 | | 2301 | 167 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 43 | | 2296 | 166 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 54 | | 2291 | 165 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 55 | | 2286 | 164 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 71 | | 2281 | 163 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 76 | | 2276 | 162 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 100 | | 2271 | 161 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 133 | | 2266 | 160 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 150 | | 2261 | 159 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 180 | | 2256 | 158 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 225 | | 2251 | 157 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 297 | | 2246 | 156 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 304 | | 2241 | 155 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 341 | | 2236 | 154 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 416 | | 2231 | 153 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 474 | | 2226 | 152 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 584 | | 2221 | 151 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 634 | | 2216 | 150 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 783 | | 2211 | 149 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 858 | | 2206 | 148 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 969 | | 2201 | 147 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1,117 | | 2196 | 146 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1,242 | | 2191 | 145 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1,446 | | 2186 | 144 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1,539 | | 2181 | 143 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1,777 | | 2176 | 142 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1,964 | | 2171 | 141 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 2,226 | | 2166 | 140 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 2,536 | | 2161 | 139 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 2,705 | | 2156 | 138 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 3,013 | | 2151 | 137 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 3,359 | | 2146 | 136 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 3,753 | | 2141 | 135 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 4,002 | | 2136 | 134 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 4,421 | | 2131 | 133 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 4,850 | | 2126 | 132 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 5,241 | | 2121 | 131 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 5,620 | | 2116 | 130 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 6,244 | | 2111 | 129 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 6,735 | | 2106 | 128 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 7,278 | | 2101 | 127 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 7,571 | | 2096 | 126 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 8,281 | | 2091 | 125 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 8,682 | | 2086 | 124 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 9,349 | | 2081 | 123 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 10,016 | | 2076 | 122 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 10,465 | | 2071 | 121 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 11,028 | | 2066 | 120 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 11,739 | | 2061 | 119 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 12,279 | | 2056 | 118 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 13,111 | | 2051 | 117 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 13,733 | | 2046 | 116 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 14,378 | | 2041 | 115 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 14,821 | | 2036 | 114 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 15,874 | | 2031 | 113 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 15,948 | | 2026 | 112 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 16,450 | | 2021 | 111 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 17,395 | | 2016 | 110 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 17,469 | | 2011 | 109 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 17,859 | | 2006 | 108 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 18,843 | | 2001 | 107 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 19,021 | | 1996 | 106 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 18,632 | | 1991 | 105 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 20,295 | | 1986 | 104 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 20,232 | | 1981 | 103 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 19,455 | | 1976 | 102 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 20,988 | | 1971 | 101 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 20,996 | | 1966 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 19,463 | | 1961 | 99 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 21,377 | | 1956 | 98 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 20,983 | | 1951 | 97 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 19,016 | | 1946 | 96 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 21,612 | | 1941 | 95 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 20,911 | | 1936 | 94 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 18,063 | | 1931 | 93 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 21,104 | | 1926 | 92 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 20,168 | | 1921 | 91 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 16,827 | | 1916 | 90 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 20,122 | | 1911 | 89 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 19,007 | | 1906 | 88 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 15,270 | | 1901 | 87 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 18,815 | | 1896 | 86 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 17,934 | | 1891 | 85 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 13,139 | | 1886 | 84 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 17,241 | | 1881 | 83 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 16,222 | | 1876 | 82 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 11,025 | | 1871 | 81 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 15,173 | | 1866 | 80 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 14,245 | | 1861 | 79 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 9,092 | | 1856 | 78 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 12,897 | | 1851 | 77 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 11,782 | | 1846 | 76 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 7,247 | | 1841 | 75 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 10,826 | | 1836 | 74 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 9,972 | | 1831 | 73 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 5,621 | | 1826 | 72 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 8,771 | | 1821 | 71 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 8,014 | | 1816 | 70 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 4,184 | | 1811 | 69 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 6,857 | | 1806 | 68 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 6,121 | | 1801 | 67 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 3,015 | | 1796 | 66 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 5,088 | | 1791 | 65 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 4,569 | | 1786 | 64 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 2,052 | | 1781 | 63 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 3,667 | | 1776 | 62 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 3,234 | | 1771 | 61 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1,471 | | 1766 | 60 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 2,469 | | 1761 | 59 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 2,078 | | 1756 | 58 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 958 | | 1751 | 57 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1,586 | | 1746 | 56 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1,303 | | 1741 | 55 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 553 | | 1736 | 54 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 964 | | 1731 | 53 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 758 | | 1726 | 52 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 316 | | 1721 | 51 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 516 | | 1716 | 50 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 395 | | 1711 | 49 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 183 | | 1706 | 48 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 257 | | 1701 | 47 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 196 | | 1696 | 46 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 77 | | 1691 | 45 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 128 | | 1686 | 44 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 81 | | 1681 | 43 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 38 | | 1676 | 42 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 26 | | 1671 | 41 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 29 | | 1666 | 40 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 7 | | 1661 | 39 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 5 | | 1657 | 38 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 4 | | 1651 | 37 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 3 | | 1645 | 36 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1 | | 1466 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1,000 | | | Total simulation runs: | | 1,000,000 |
| Race | Finish | Start | Laps | Lead | Points | Bonus | Penalty | Total | Money | | | Goody's Cool Orange 500 | 26 | 34 | 497 | | | | 85 | | | | | | 85 | | 88,808 | | Samsung 500 | 33 | 40 | 332 | | | | 64 | | | | | | 64 | | 91,700 | | Subway Fresh Fit 500 | 34 | 29 | 307 | | | | 61 | | | | | | 61 | | 64,375 | | Aaron's 499 | 26 | 24 | 188 | | | | 85 | | | | | | 85 | | 96,383 | | Crown Royal Presents Richmond 400 | 40 | 29 | 258 | | | | 43 | | | | | | 43 | | 65,475 | | Dodge Challenger 500 | 28 | 18 | 364 | | | | 79 | | | | | | 79 | | 85,872 | | Coca-Cola 600 | 32 | 40 | 395 | | | | 67 | | | | | | 67 | | 100,558 | | Dover 400 | 30 | 32 | 393 | | 1 | | 73 | | 5 | | | | 78 | | 87,197 | | Pocono 500 | 27 | 39 | 200 | | | | 82 | | | | | | 82 | | 80,808 | | Michigan 400 | 37 | 33 | 199 | | | | 52 | | | | | | 52 | | 81,572 | | Toyota/Save Mart 350 | 21 | 34 | 112 | | | | 100 | | | | | | 100 | | 92,233 | | Lenox Industrial Tools 301 | 42 | 38 | 209 | | | | 37 | | | | | | 37 | | 69,405 | | Daytona 400 | 25 | 21 | 162 | | | | 88 | | | | | | 88 | | 102,633 | | Chicagoland 400 | 43 | 34 | 259 | | | | 34 | | | | | | 34 | | 79,377 | | Allstate 400 at the Brickyard | 34 | 30 | 160 | | 1 | | 61 | | 5 | | | | 66 | | 150,097 | | Pennsylvania 500 | 24 | 35 | 200 | | | | 91 | | | | | | 91 | | 86,833 | | Centurion Boats at The Glen | 25 | 36 | 90 | | | | 88 | | | | | | 88 | | 82,733 | | Chevy Rock and Roll 400 | 20 | 38 | 400 | | | | 103 | | | | | | 103 | | 91,883 | | Sylvania 300 | 27 | 35 | 299 | | 1 | | 82 | | 5 | | | | 87 | | 86,533 | | Dover 400 Number 2 | 29 | 28 | 395 | | | | 76 | | | | | | 76 | | 73,175 | | | | 3 | | 1451 | + | 15 | - | 0 | = | 1466 | |
$1,757,650 | |
| Average | Start: | 32.4 | | Finish: | 30.2 | | Money: | $87,882 |
Old graphs: Points Above 12th Chance Will Make Chase |