Kyle Petty Chase for 13th

		100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:		Chance driver will finish the season at position
Points	Average	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23+	Count

2700	195											100	1,000
2446	170											100	1
2427	168											100	1
2410	166											100	3
2400	165											100	5
2390	164											100	4
2380	163											100	1
2370	162											100	7
2360	161											100	9
2350	160											100	10
2340	159											100	14
2330	158											100	23
2320	157											100	34
2310	156											100	60
2300	155											100	71
2290	154											100	118
2280	153											100	116
2270	152											100	241
2260	151											100	230
2250	150											100	382
2240	149											100	395
2230	148											100	660
2220	147											100	732
2210	146											100	1,124
2200	145											100	1,091
2190	144											100	1,755
2180	143											100	1,829
2170	142											100	2,958
2160	141											100	2,974
2150	140											100	4,481
2140	139											100	4,615
2130	138											100	6,801
2120	137											100	6,905
2110	136											100	10,358
2100	135											100	10,114
2090	134											100	15,048
2080	133											100	14,575
2070	132											100	21,114
2060	131											100	20,446
2050	130											100	29,255
2040	129											100	28,169
2030	128											100	39,853
2020	127											100	38,131
2010	126											100	52,955
2000	125											100	49,668
1990	124											100	69,425
1980	123											100	64,216
1970	122											100	88,386
1960	121											100	81,051
1950	120											100	110,063
1940	119											100	99,945
1930	118											100	134,614
1920	117											100	120,705
1910	116											100	160,771
1900	115											100	142,453
1890	114											100	188,340
1880	113											100	166,397
1870	112											100	216,897
1860	111											100	188,618
1850	110											100	244,524
1840	109											100	210,393
1830	108											100	269,807
1820	107											100	229,744
1810	106											100	292,026
1800	105											100	246,782
1790	104											100	309,754
1780	103											100	257,544
1770	102											100	320,002
1760	101											100	263,992
1750	100											100	324,863
1740	99											100	265,642
1730	98											100	324,626
1720	97											100	260,861
1710	96											100	313,620
1700	95											100	250,416
1690	94											100	296,663
1680	93											100	237,061
1670	92											100	280,041
1660	91											100	216,873
1650	90											100	253,051
1640	89											100	195,097
1630	88											100	219,733
1620	87											100	171,575
1610	86											100	197,595
1600	85											100	146,226
1590	84											100	165,875
1580	83											100	122,104
1570	82											100	130,326
1560	81											100	99,940
1550	80											100	111,484
1540	79											100	78,855
1530	78											100	86,924
1520	77											100	60,628
1510	76											100	59,757
1500	75											100	45,190
1490	74											100	49,544
1480	73											100	32,732
1470	72											100	34,953
1460	71											100	22,571
1450	70											100	20,690
1440	69											100	15,759
1430	68											100	16,106
1420	67											100	9,815
1410	66											100	10,109
1400	65											100	6,185
1390	64											100	5,042
1380	63											100	3,818
1370	62											100	3,751
1360	61											100	2,103
1350	60											100	2,084
1340	59											100	1,084
1330	58											100	831
1320	57											100	579
1310	56											100	563
1300	55											100	287
1290	54											100	268
1280	53											100	118
1270	52											100	76
1260	51											100	52
1250	50											100	34
1240	49											100	17
1230	48											100	11
1220	47											100	4
1210	46											100	3
750	0											100	1,000

Total simulation runs:													10,000,000

What If