Kyle Busch Race for the Chase
finished 7th at California, odds of making the chase unchanged at 100% | Chance of making the Chase:
| 100.0 | % | Change: | - | | | Average finish: | 1 | | | 0.00 | |
Points: 3755 Back: 0 Starts: 25 Wins: 8 How are these numbers calculated? (show) What IfChances based on how well Kyle Busch finishes out the season. Explain (show) | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance will be at position when the Chase starts | | | Points | Average | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20+ | | Count | | | | | | | | 3950 | 195 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,161,427 | | 3930 | 175 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,162,980 | | 3925 | 170 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,162,915 | | 3920 | 165 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,162,200 | | 3915 | 160 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,161,191 | | 3910 | 155 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,161,695 | | 3906 | 151 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,160,722 | | 3902 | 147 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,162,251 | | 3898 | 143 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,162,765 | | 3894 | 139 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,164,539 | | 3890 | 135 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,164,017 | | 3882 | 127 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,162,408 | | 3879 | 124 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,162,922 | | 3876 | 121 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,162,604 | | 3873 | 118 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,163,277 | | 3870 | 115 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,164,242 | | 3867 | 112 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,163,189 | | 3864 | 109 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,163,177 | | 3861 | 106 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,162,452 | | 3858 | 103 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,164,535 | | 3855 | 100 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,162,652 | | 3852 | 97 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,161,251 | | 3849 | 94 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,163,563 | | 3846 | 91 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,162,979 | | 3843 | 88 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,162,383 | | 3840 | 85 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,163,122 | | 3837 | 82 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,163,519 | | 3834 | 79 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,162,928 | | 3831 | 76 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,162,373 | | 3828 | 73 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,161,246 | | 3825 | 70 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,163,889 | | 3822 | 67 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,164,044 | | 3819 | 64 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,160,572 | | 3816 | 61 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,162,473 | | 3813 | 58 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,162,801 | | 3810 | 55 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,162,489 | | 3807 | 52 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,165,551 | | 3804 | 49 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,164,716 | | 3801 | 46 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,161,009 | | 3798 | 43 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,163,051 | | 3795 | 40 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,163,421 | | 3792 | 37 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,161,051 | | 3789 | 34 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,162,409 | | 3755 | 0 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,000 | | | Total simulation runs: | | 50,000,000 |
| Race | Finish | Start | Laps | Lead | Points | Bonus | Penalty | Total | Money | | | Daytona 500 | 4 | 24 | 200 | | 86 | | 160 | | 10 | | | | 170 | | 652,938 | | Auto Club 500 | 4 | 22 | 250 | | 14 | | 160 | | 5 | | | | 165 | | 154,050 | | UAW-Dodge 400 | 11 | 1 | 267 | | 56 | | 130 | | 5 | | | | 135 | | 131,575 | | Kobalt Tools 500 | 1 | 6 | 325 | | 173 | | 185 | | 10 | | | | 195 | | 189,675 | | Food City 500 | 17 | 22 | 504 | | 7 | | 112 | | 5 | | | | 117 | | 103,200 | | Goody's Cool Orange 500 | 38 | 8 | 443 | | | | 49 | | | | | | 49 | | 86,050 | | Samsung 500 | 3 | 3 | 339 | | 50 | | 165 | | 5 | | | | 170 | | 250,750 | | Subway Fresh Fit 500 | 10 | 6 | 312 | | | | 134 | | | | | | 134 | | 95,925 | | Aaron's 499 | 1 | 5 | 188 | | 12 | | 185 | | 5 | | | | 190 | | 321,400 | | Crown Royal Presents Richmond 400 | 2 | 7 | 410 | | | | 170 | | | | | | 170 | | 171,100 | | Dodge Challenger 500 | 1 | 6 | 367 | | 169 | | 185 | | 10 | | | | 195 | | 313,700 | | Coca-Cola 600 | 3 | 1 | 400 | | 61 | | 165 | | 5 | | | | 170 | | 240,700 | | Dover 400 | 1 | 3 | 400 | | 158 | | 185 | | 5 | | | | 190 | | 302,550 | | Pocono 500 | 43 | 10 | 95 | | | | 34 | | | | | | 34 | | 80,999 | | Michigan 400 | 13 | 1 | 203 | | 5 | | 124 | | 5 | | | | 129 | | 101,800 | | Toyota/Save Mart 350 | 1 | 30 | 112 | | 78 | | 185 | | 10 | | | | 195 | | 309,925 | | Lenox Industrial Tools 301 | 25 | 27 | 284 | | | | 88 | | | | | | 88 | | 91,300 | | Daytona 400 | 1 | 9 | 162 | | 31 | | 185 | | 5 | | | | 190 | | 315,950 | | Chicagoland 400 | 1 | 1 | 267 | | 165 | | 185 | | 10 | | | | 195 | | 331,175 | | Allstate 400 at the Brickyard | 15 | 19 | 160 | | 14 | | 118 | | 5 | | | | 123 | | 180,700 | | Pennsylvania 500 | 36 | 27 | 199 | | | | 55 | | | | | | 55 | | 81,600 | | Centurion Boats at The Glen | 1 | 1 | 90 | | 52 | | 185 | | 10 | | | | 195 | | 227,000 | | 3M Performance 400 | 2 | 11 | 200 | | 34 | | 170 | | 5 | | | | 175 | | 136,925 | | Sharpie 500 | 2 | 9 | 500 | | 415 | | 170 | | 10 | | | | 180 | | 220,675 | | California 500 | 7 | 11 | 250 | | | | 146 | | | | | | 146 | | 120,225 | | | | 1580 | | 3630 | + | 125 | - | 0 | = | 3755 | |
$5,211,887 | |
| Average | Start: | 10.8 | | Finish: | 9.7 | | Money: | $208,475 |
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