Chance of making the Chase: 100.0%Change:-
Average finish:10.00

Points: 3755    Back: 0      Starts: 25    Wins: 8

How are these numbers calculated? (show)

Points Above 12th  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Chase  (Full Screen)

What If

Chances based on how well Kyle Busch finishes out the season.

Explain (show)

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will be at position when the Chase starts
PointsAverage1234567891011121314151617181920+Count
39501951001,161,427
39301751001,162,980
39251701001,162,915
39201651001,162,200
39151601001,161,191
39101551001,161,695
39061511001,160,722
39021471001,162,251
38981431001,162,765
38941391001,164,539
38901351001,164,017
38821271001,162,408
38791241001,162,922
38761211001,162,604
38731181001,163,277
38701151001,164,242
38671121001,163,189
38641091001,163,177
38611061001,162,452
38581031001,164,535
38551001001,162,652
3852971001,161,251
3849941001,163,563
3846911001,162,979
3843881001,162,383
3840851001,163,122
3837821001,163,519
3834791001,162,928
3831761001,162,373
3828731001,161,246
3825701001,163,889
3822671001,164,044
3819641001,160,572
3816611001,162,473
3813581001,162,801
3810551001,162,489
3807521001,165,551
3804491001,164,716
3801461001,161,009
3798431001,163,051
3795401001,163,421
3792371001,161,051
3789341001,162,409
375501001,000
Total simulation runs:50,000,000
RaceFinishStartLapsLeadPointsBonusPenaltyTotalMoney
Daytona 5004242008616010170652,938
Auto Club 500422250141605165154,050
UAW-Dodge 400111267561305135131,575
Kobalt Tools 5001632517318510195189,675
Food City 500172250471125117103,200
Goody's Cool Orange 500388443494986,050
Samsung 50033339501655170250,750
Subway Fresh Fit 50010631213413495,925
Aaron's 49915188121855190321,400
Crown Royal Presents Richmond 40027410170170171,100
Dodge Challenger 5001636716918510195313,700
Coca-Cola 60031400611655170240,700
Dover 400134001581855190302,550
Pocono 500431095343480,999
Michigan 40013120351245129101,800
Toyota/Save Mart 3501301127818510195309,925
Lenox Industrial Tools 3012527284888891,300
Daytona 40019162311855190315,950
Chicagoland 4001126716518510195331,175
Allstate 400 at the Brickyard1519160141185123180,700
Pennsylvania 5003627199555581,600
Centurion Boats at The Glen11905218510195227,000
3M Performance 400211200341705175136,925
Sharpie 5002950041517010180220,675
California 500711250146146120,225
15803630+125-0=3755 $5,211,887
AverageStart:10.8
Finish:9.7
Money:$208,475