Kurt Busch Chase for the Cup - Sports Club Stats

What If

Chances based on how well Kurt Busch finishes out the season.

		100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:		Chance will be at position when the Chase starts
Points	Average	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20+	Count

3514	195	60	39	1																		1,000
3383	179			100																		1
3354	175	19	50	19	12																	16
3314	170		26	44	29	1																80
3274	165		11	36	37	15	2															532
3234	160		3	21	41	28	6	1														2,575
3194	155		1	8	30	38	19	4	0	0												9,385
3154	150		0	2	14	35	32	14	3	0	0											32,718
3114	145		0	0	4	19	34	27	12	3	0	0	0									87,402
3074	140		0	0	1	6	20	31	26	13	4	1	0	0	0							230,845
3034	135			0	0	1	6	18	28	26	15	5	1	0	0	0						484,154
2994	130				0	0	1	5	15	25	26	18	8	2	0	0	0					1,005,730
2954	125					0	0	1	3	11	21	27	22	11	4	1	0	0	0			1,691,813
2914	120						0	0	0	2	7	17	26	25	16	6	1	0	0			2,841,596
2874	115						0	0	0	0	1	5	13	24	28	20	8	2	0	0	0	3,897,324
2834	110								0	0	0	0	3	10	22	30	23	10	2	0	0	5,342,313
2794	105								0	0	0	0	0	2	8	21	32	26	9	1	0	5,997,519
2754	100										0	0	0	0	1	8	22	35	25	7	1	6,710,648
2714	95												0	0	0	1	8	26	36	21	7	6,127,371
2674	90													0	0	0	2	11	30	34	25	5,571,312
2634	85														0	0	0	2	14	30	54	4,050,712
2594	80															0	0	0	3	14	82	2,911,638
2554	75																0	0	0	4	96	1,623,987
2514	70																	0	0	0	100	843,796
2474	65																		0	0	100	360,650
2434	60																			0	100	134,316
2394	55																				100	32,535
2354	50																				100	6,417
2314	45																				100	596
2274	40																				100	19
1954	0																				100	1,000

Total simulation runs:																						50,000,000