Chance of winning the Chase: 3.5%Change:-1.1
Average finish:6.25-0.10

Points: 5547    Back: -171      Starts: 30    Wins: 0

How are these numbers calculated? (show)

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)

What If

Chances based on how well Kevin Harvick finishes out the season.

Explain (show)

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance driver will finish the season at position
PointsAverage123456789101112Count
67171951001,000
66571851001
66471831001
66391821002
66321811001
66271801006
66211791008
66151781008
660917710010
660317610015
659717510022
659117410047
658517310027
657917298263
657317110075
6567170991141
6561169100105
6555168991227
6549167991198
6543166991364
6537165982333
6531164973617
6525163982491
6519162973955
6513161973802
650716097301,462
650115995501,264
649515894602,248
648915793702,028
648315693703,337
647715593702,856
6471154901004,919
6465153891104,163
6459152881206,961
64531518613005,951
64471508415109,937
6441149821718,206
643514880191013,333
642914779201011,386
6423146762220018,369
641714574242015,169
641114471263024,784
640514368283020,207
6399142653040032,559
6393141623350026,412
6387140593460041,880
6381139563771034,165
6375138523881053,573
63691374940101043,267
636313646421110068,015
635713542431320054,180
635113439441520084,512
634513335441830066,941
6339132324519400103,557
633313129452240081,685
6327130264424610126,214
6321129234326710099,033
63151282042288100150,997
630912717403010100118,471
630312615393312200178,028
6297125133734143000138,697
629112411343516300209,008
62851239323618400161,089
627912272937215100240,765
627312162637237100185,140
626712052336269100273,771
6261119420362810200209,010
6255118318343012300308,718
62491172153331153000233,267
62431162133133174100344,945
62371151102834206100258,879
6231114192634227100379,781
6225113172334259200281,457
62191120520332711200411,856
621311104173229133000304,888
620711003153131164100444,595
620110902122832185100324,084
619510802102633217100472,805
618910701824332492000340,569
6183106016213326112000497,339
6177105015183228133000354,627
6171104004153030164100517,859
6165103003132831186100361,794
61591020021026322171000532,308
6153101001823332392000365,479
6147100001720322611200541,786
6141990015183128133000363,889
6135980004152930165100545,003
612997003122831196100357,144
612396002102532228100541,486
611795001823322410200346,032
611194001620322612300532,696
610593001517312914400329,456
609992000415293017510516,957
609391000312273220610310,520
60879000210253222810496,937
60818900182233251020286,073
60758800161932271220469,718
60698700151731291430261,367
60638600031429311740439,529
6057850031227332051233,451
6051840021025332271405,680
604583001823342581206,385
6039820016203328101367,844
603381015183330122179,888
6027800004153132152330,822
602179003132934183152,144
601578002102736204291,745
60097700182536235127,822
60037600172337266253,118
5997750162037298105,083
59917400418363210215,323
5985730031535341284,602
59797200213333714179,839
5973710021132391667,145
5967700019304119146,972
596169001727432252,792
5955680016254325118,229
594967001523432940,282
59436600420443292,426
5937650317443530,163
59316400216433970,291
5925630214434222,019
5919620111414752,616
5913610110395015,549
590760018385438,224
590159007345811,048
589558006336126,728
58895700530657,455
58835603296718,159
58775500326714,822
58715403247411,333
5865530222762,999
5859520120797,077
5853510116821,810
584750115844,134
58414911486987
583548012882,224
58294711188498
58234619911,158
5817450892250
581144595553
58054389279
579942595201
57934169435
57874010066
5781391009
5775381008
5769371002
554701001,000
Total simulation runs:20,000,000
RaceFinishStartLapsLeadPointsBonusPenaltyTotalMoney
Daytona 5001416200121121322,224
Auto Club 50081025011425147148,761
UAW-Dodge 400417267160160200,636
Kobalt Tools 50078325146146124,086
Food City 500210506321705175167,011
Goody's Cool Orange 5001211500127127119,961
Samsung 5001121338130130167,411
Subway Fresh Fit 5001917311106106113,336
Aaron's 4992439188191596129,736
Crown Royal Presents Richmond 400811410142142125,411
Dodge Challenger 50039112654646116,711
Coca-Cola 6001419400121121146,636
Dover 40038343264949122,831
Pocono 5001328200124124118,061
Michigan 4001210203127127124,786
Toyota/Save Mart 35030321127373118,861
Lenox Industrial Tools 301143284541215126129,961
Daytona 4001214162127127146,761
Chicagoland 400313267165165219,436
Allstate 400 at the Brickyard37181485252186,661
Pennsylvania 500421200160160153,936
Centurion Boats at The Glen61190150150134,661
3M Performance 400838200142142134,186
Sharpie 50046500160160184,511
California 500433250160160170,786
Chevy Rock and Roll 40077400801465151130,011
Sylvania 3001011300134134132,111
Dover 400 Number 262440011505155139,461
Kansas 400636267150150156,411
Amp Energy 5002039179221035108
1913795+35-0=3830 $4,385,352
AverageStart:18.9
Finish:13.2
Money:$151,219

 

Old graphs: Points Above 12th   Chance Will Make Chase