Kasey Kahne Chase for the Cup - Sports Club Stats

What If

Chances based on how well Kasey Kahne finishes out the season.

		100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:		Chance will be at position when the Chase starts
Points	Average	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20+	Count

3737	195	99	1																			1,000
3623	181	100																				1
3577	175	80	20																			10
3537	170	52	48																			91
3497	165	47	47	6																		516
3457	160	35	54	10	1																	2,548
3417	155	19	57	21	3	0																9,505
3377	150	9	48	34	8	1	0															32,622
3337	145	3	34	42	18	3	0	0														87,327
3297	140	1	18	41	31	9	1	0														229,723
3257	135	0	7	29	40	20	3	0	0													484,579
3217	130	0	2	15	36	34	11	2	0	0	0											1,005,192
3177	125	0	0	5	22	39	25	7	1	0	0	0										1,691,540
3137	120	0	0	1	9	29	36	19	5	1	0	0	0									2,841,074
3097	115		0	0	2	13	31	31	17	5	1	0	0	0								3,901,907
3057	110		0	0	0	3	15	29	29	17	6	1	0	0	0	0						5,342,668
3017	105			0	0	0	4	14	26	28	18	7	2	0	0	0						6,002,246
2977	100				0	0	0	3	12	23	28	20	9	3	0	0	0	0				6,708,067
2937	95					0	0	0	2	9	20	27	23	13	4	1	0	0	0			6,130,905
2897	90						0	0	0	2	6	16	26	26	16	6	1	0	0	0		5,569,721
2857	85							0	0	0	1	4	13	25	28	19	8	2	0	0	0	4,048,123
2817	80								0	0	0	0	3	10	23	30	22	9	2	0	0	2,907,797
2777	75										0	0	0	2	9	22	32	24	9	2	0	1,622,217
2737	70											0	0	0	2	8	22	33	24	9	2	845,566
2697	65													0	0	1	8	24	34	23	10	359,452
2657	60														0	0	2	9	25	32	32	134,877
2617	55														0	0	0	2	9	25	64	32,688
2577	50																0	0	2	9	88	6,402
2537	45																		0	3	97	611
2497	40																				100	24
2476	37																				100	1
2177	0																				100	1,000

Total simulation runs:																						50,000,000