Chance of making the Chase: 0.0%Change:-
Average finish:36.850.66

Points: 1409    Back: -2200      Starts: 21    Wins: 0

How are these numbers calculated? (show)

Points Above 12th  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Chase  (Full Screen)

What If

Chances based on how well Joe Nemechek finishes out the season.

Explain (show)

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will be at position when the Chase starts
PointsAverage1234567891011121314151617181920+Count
179919510028,364
177918510053,929
1769180100161,480
1759175100135,086
1749170100351,049
1739165100296,903
1729160100674,400
1719155100674,219
1709150100945,982
16991451001,135,604
16891401001,431,013
16791351001,542,239
16691301002,107,227
16591251001,947,183
16491201002,811,187
16391151002,461,609
16291101003,356,517
16191051002,867,216
16091001003,109,485
1599951002,758,867
1589901003,518,860
1579851002,514,666
1569801003,354,399
1559751002,273,134
1549701002,027,521
1539651001,782,472
1529601001,998,342
1519551001,216,274
1509501001,242,264
149945100651,344
148940100406,851
147935100163,314
140901001,000
Total simulation runs:50,000,000
RaceFinishStartLapsLeadPointsBonusPenaltyTotalMoney
Daytona 50041411714040258,470
Auto Club 5003443246616181,450
Kobalt Tools 5003617320555568,955
Food City 5003542498585881,975
Samsung 5003743330525283,775
Subway Fresh Fit 5004041208434363,550
Aaron's 499251188888888,200
Crown Royal Presents Richmond 4002936406767666,950
Dodge Challenger 5003117363707071,200
Dover 4003431388616176,500
Pocono 500295200767664,850
Michigan 4002842202797972,975
Toyota/Save Mart 3502624112858572,800
Lenox Industrial Tools 30120432841103510876,500
Daytona 40018416210910992,550
Chicagoland 4003941264464679,800
Allstate 400 at the Brickyard29361607676142,225
Pennsylvania 5004123138404062,880
Centurion Boats at The Glen384186494960,650
3M Performance 4003434198616172,025
Sharpie 50029434947676
11404+5-0=1409 $1,738,280
AverageStart:30.9
Finish:32
Money:$86,914