Jeremy Mayfield Chase for the Cup

What If

Chances based on how well Jeremy Mayfield finishes out the season.

		100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:		Chance will be at position when the Chase starts
Points	Average	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20+	Count

2138	195																				100	1,000
2043	183																				100	1
2033	182																				100	1
1978	175																				100	7
1938	170																				100	87
1898	165																				100	526
1858	160																				100	2,566
1818	155																				100	9,506
1778	150																				100	32,866
1738	145																				100	87,874
1698	140																				100	231,339
1658	135																				100	483,759
1618	130																				100	1,007,054
1578	125																				100	1,693,663
1538	120																				100	2,841,727
1498	115																				100	3,896,216
1458	110																				100	5,340,425
1418	105																				100	5,996,140
1378	100																				100	6,705,953
1338	95																				100	6,128,519
1298	90																				100	5,575,929
1258	85																				100	4,056,873
1218	80																				100	2,913,500
1178	75																				100	1,619,849
1138	70																				100	843,575
1098	65																				100	357,864
1058	60																				100	133,322
1018	55																				100	32,131
978	50																				100	6,147
938	45																				100	562
898	40																				100	19
578	0																				100	1,000

Total simulation runs:																						50,000,000