Chance of winning the Chase: 0.7%Change:-0.3
Average finish:7.150.68

Points: 5633    Back: -245      Starts: 31    Wins: 0

How are these numbers calculated? (show)

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)

What If

Chances based on how well Jeff Gordon finishes out the season.

Explain (show)

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance driver will finish the season at position
PointsAverage123456789101112Count
660819510001,000
65881911001
65831901001
65681871001
65631861002
65581851002
655318410013
6548183901010
654318210019
653818110024
653318010026
652817998241
6523178861451
651817798265
6513176946101
6508175955125
65031748911150
64981738812192
649317288110272
648817187121349
648317086140441
647816981181550
647316882181667
646816779201844
6463166772111,018
6458165752321,361
6453164722621,499
6448163722621,823
64431626730302,167
64381616532402,770
64331606234403,252
64281595835603,769
64231585738604,591
64181575340605,385
64131565240806,295
64081554842917,446
6403154464311108,628
63981534245121010,029
63931523946141011,527
63881513746152013,212
63831503347172015,401
637814931471930017,662
637314829472130019,654
636814726472340022,401
636314623472650025,636
635814520462860029,124
635314418443071032,387
634814316433291036,816
6343142144134101040,933
63381411239351210045,390
633314010373713200050,712
6328139935381620056,594
6323138833391830061,991
6318137630402040067,683
63131365284022500075,521
6308135425402461082,400
6303134323402671089,989
62981333203928910098,303
6293132218383110100106,914
6288131216363212200115,011
6283130113343414200125,783
6278129111333616300135,703
6273128110303618400144,365
626812718283720510156,078
6263126072637236100167,035
6258125052337257100175,691
6253124042137279100189,805
62481230318363011200202,942
62431220316353113200211,416
62381210214333315300226,335
623312002123134174000240,972
622811901102935205100247,497
6223118018263622610262,581
62181170172436248100279,315
621311600522352791000284,608
620811500419342911200298,791
620311400316333113300315,733
619811300214323215300319,500
61931120212303418400329,372
6188111001102835205100351,019
618311000182535227100351,019
617810900172335258100356,575
6173108001521352710100380,833
616810700418343012200379,430
616310600316323114300377,011
6158105000314313316300405,760
6153104002122934194000402,161
614810300110273521510387,640
614310200182535247100423,006
613810100162235268100415,788
613310001520352810100388,446
612899000417343012200431,910
61239800315323214300421,553
61189700213313416300379,373
61139600211293518400430,588
6108950019273621510417,956
6103940017243624710361,326
6098930016223626810419,415
60939200051936281020405,253
6088910041735301220334,044
6083900031534321430401,411
6078890021232341630385,165
6073880021030351840299,491
606887001928362150374,934
606386001725362371355,899
605885001623362681262,470
605384000521362891339,112
604883003183530112321,383
6043820003163432132222,214
603881002143334152301,253
603380002123135183281,740
602879001102937204182,636
60237800182737225259,034
6018770172437256239,305
6013760052238277145,690
6008750052037298215,385
60037400318373210196,708
59987300316353412112,247
59937200214353613174,441
5988710212333816158,054
598370011031401883,864
597869019294120135,922
597368017274223121,065
59686701625432560,806
596366005234428101,584
59586500421443289,415
5953640318443542,531
59486300317433872,770
5943620214434162,388
5938610212414528,682
5933600111404849,245
592859019385141,565
592358018375418,421
591857007355732,273
591356006336126,067
59085505316411,176
590354004296718,951
58985303267015,150
5893520225736,467
58885102237510,542
5883500121788,051
5878490119793,249
5873480117825,145
5868470115843,854
586346113861,480
585845112882,274
585344010901,502
58484301090578
5843420892710
583841892398
583340793148
582839694171
58233819973
58183710019
58133659520
5809351002
5803341001
563301001,000
Total simulation runs:20,000,000
RaceFinishStartLapsLeadPointsBonusPenaltyTotalMoney
Daytona 500398186546551319,599
Auto Club 50032250681655170214,186
UAW-Dodge 4003542621958563130,286
Kobalt Tools 5005132511555160138,186
Food City 500112506130130135,636
Goody's Cool Orange 50021500901705175165,336
Samsung 50043181243434131,327
Subway Fresh Fit 5001311311124124119,961
Aaron's 499192018811065111134,961
Crown Royal Presents Richmond 400928410138138126,186
Dodge Challenger 50038367241655170194,236
Coca-Cola 600418400160160197,011
Dover 4005740031555160159,386
Pocono 5001438200121121117,711
Michigan 400188203109109124,286
Toyota/Save Mart 35035112165165191,736
Lenox Industrial Tools 3011119284130130128,461
Daytona 40030261624673578134,486
Chicagoland 40011626761305135146,811
Allstate 400 at the Brickyard5516071555160275,111
Pennsylvania 500104200134134126,311
Centurion Boats at The Glen296907676111,011
3M Performance 4004251113737120,376
Sharpie 5005350011555160167,561
California 50015325021185123143,636
Chevy Rock and Roll 40081040061425147127,461
Sylvania 3001410300121121125,911
Dover 400 Number 271400301465151146,011
Kansas 400413267160160184,786
Amp Energy 5003826104349554120,186
Bank of America 50088334471425147
3593769+85-0=3854 $4,658,149
AverageStart:10.5
Finish:14.9
Money:$155,272

 

Old graphs: Points Above 12th   Chance Will Make Chase