Chance of making the Chase: 100.0%Change:-0.0
Average finish:3.34-0.82

Points: 2484    Back: -202      Starts: 18    Wins: 1

How are these numbers calculated? (show)

Points Above 12th  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Chase  (Full Screen)

What If

Chances based on how well Jeff Burton finishes out the season.

Explain (show)

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will be at position when the Chase starts
PointsAverage1234567891011121314151617181920+Count
40441951001,000
39061781001
388417510015
3844170100103
3804165991500
37641609912,528
37241559829,380
3684150955032,447
36441459010087,555
360414083170230,631
3564135732600483,016
35241306038201,006,023
348412546504001,692,256
3444120315910002,843,076
34041151861201003,899,939
3364110954335005,341,995
332410534044121006,002,563
328410012448243006,707,041
3244950114037101006,127,844
3204900425432251005,572,126
316485011135351530004,047,408
3124800031834281230002,911,792
30847500620312612410001,622,233
304470001619282614510000845,185
30046500151525261772000358,808
296460001412222721103100134,146
292455002817262515610032,376
2884500151323271992006,359
28444503102130221040624
280440373033177330
2484001001,000
Total simulation runs:50,000,000
RaceFinishStartLapsLeadPointsBonusPenaltyTotalMoney
Daytona 500133620091245129323,496
Auto Club 50012825021275132142,258
UAW-Dodge 400524267101555160178,083
Kobalt Tools 5001015325134134123,958
Food City 5001850621855190209,558
Goody's Cool Orange 500324500371655170149,308
Samsung 500635339150150197,033
Subway Fresh Fit 500639312150150140,008
Aaron's 499123818811275132137,908
Crown Royal Presents Richmond 4001133410130130119,658
Dodge Challenger 5001012367134134134,858
Coca-Cola 60061440011505155167,433
Dover 400838399142142147,383
Pocono 500520200155155143,258
Michigan 400152203118118123,008
Toyota/Save Mart 3501320112124124128,508
Lenox Industrial Tools 3011231284127127123,633
Daytona 40037231405252
622449+35-0=2484 $2,689,349
AverageStart:23.3
Finish:10.3
Money:$158,197