Chance of making the Chase: 99.5%Change:1.5
Average finish:7.890.00

Points: 2984    Back: -625      Starts: 24    Wins: 0

How are these numbers calculated? (show)

Points Above 12th  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Chase  (Full Screen)

What If

Chances based on how well Greg Biffle finishes out the season.

Explain (show)

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will be at position when the Chase starts
PointsAverage1234567891011121314151617181920+Count
3374195154536528,202
33541857354711053,937
334418042851170162,297
333417522053250134,326
3324170114523210351,405
3314165010484020297,620
330416006434840676,123
3294155033654600676,715
32841500128601000945,411
3274145002162151001,136,435
326414001562212001,433,423
325413501059283001,540,896
324413006533460002,106,024
323412504464091001,948,099
3224120023844142002,809,137
3214115012946203002,459,627
32041100021452760003,350,916
31941050154133101002,867,231
31841000103538152003,111,772
3174950629402140002,757,467
3164900321392881003,517,771
31548502143534142002,514,227
31448001828372050003,354,638
3134750421372891002,268,987
312470002143433142002,028,640
3114650192937204001,782,970
3104600052137288102,001,078
30945500214343414201,217,977
308450018273821401,245,318
30744500420392981650,264
3064400021336351310407,135
305435001930401920162,932
29840112424331,000
Total simulation runs:50,000,000
RaceFinishStartLapsLeadPointsBonusPenaltyTotalMoney
Daytona 500101820071345139313,763
Auto Club 500151425091185123104,350
UAW-Dodge 40036267165165205,800
Kobalt Tools 50041332511605165107,375
Food City 500414506160160123,525
Goody's Cool Orange 500201949910310385,175
Samsung 5003916312464690,500
Subway Fresh Fit 50091831213813889,475
Aaron's 499183118810910998,525
Crown Royal Presents Richmond 400142341012112184,575
Dodge Challenger 500431234953453983,164
Coca-Cola 6002440021705175248,600
Dover 4003140016416510175183,525
Pocono 50015332004118512381,175
Michigan 40020720310310388,875
Toyota/Save Mart 35011101121130513595,600
Lenox Industrial Tools 301211528410010085,200
Daytona 400433369343491,612
Chicagoland 400411267431605165153,550
Allstate 400 at the Brickyard812160142142196,225
Pennsylvania 5001392002124512983,475
Centurion Boats at The Glen2189010010075,400
3M Performance 4004920011605165108,700
Sharpie 5001114500130130
3292924+60-0=2984 $2,878,164
AverageStart:14.1
Finish:14.8
Money:$125,138