Chance of making the Chase: 0.0%Change:-
Average finish:20.48-0.42

Points: 2364    Back: -1245      Starts: 24    Wins: 0

How are these numbers calculated? (show)

Points Above 12th  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Chase  (Full Screen)

What If

Chances based on how well Elliott Sadler finishes out the season.

Explain (show)

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will be at position when the Chase starts
PointsAverage1234567891011121314151617181920+Count
27541950266310028,232
2734185136520154,335
2724180962272162,205
27141750657353135,278
2704170451405352,008
26941650244468297,990
26841601375112676,639
26741550305416676,179
26641500235522947,046
265414501754291,134,850
264414001251371,433,250
26341350847451,542,842
26241300541542,109,124
26141250335621,949,143
2604120227712,813,014
2594115121792,461,066
2584110014863,352,343
257410509912,861,566
256410006943,106,311
25549503972,760,724
25449002983,514,659
2534851992,516,275
252480001003,355,367
25147501002,273,067
25047001002,031,233
24946501001,781,829
24846001001,998,789
24745501001,214,524
2464501001,242,678
245445100648,518
244440100406,088
243435100161,828
236401001,000
Total simulation runs:50,000,000
RaceFinishStartLapsLeadPointsBonusPenaltyTotalMoney
Daytona 500635200150150430,015
Auto Club 50024272499191114,770
UAW-Dodge 4001210267127127129,170
Kobalt Tools 5004318257343494,518
Food City 5001927504106106115,070
Goody's Cool Orange 5001525500118118104,045
Samsung 50026263368585127,170
Subway Fresh Fit 500412161404090,250
Aaron's 4992918187376581109,670
Crown Royal Presents Richmond 400208408103103100,470
Dodge Challenger 500427247373795,750
Coca-Cola 6008940031425147147,695
Dover 400429163737101,785
Pocono 500341820066156690,320
Michigan 400927203138138112,120
Toyota/Save Mart 350196112106106106,695
Lenox Industrial Tools 301511284155155135,895
Daytona 40039381294646110,070
Chicagoland 4001226267127127124,870
Allstate 400 at the Brickyard4616051605165290,745
Pennsylvania 5002729200828295,295
Centurion Boats at The Glen15229011811896,520
3M Performance 40093200138138117,620
Sharpie 50032104906767
172344+20-0=2364 $3,040,528
AverageStart:17.4
Finish:22.2
Money:$132,197