Denny Hamlin Chase for the Cup
Finished 39th at Talladega, odds of winning the cup down 0.5% to 0.07727% | Chance of winning the Chase:
| 0.1 | % | Change: | -0.5 | | | Average finish: | 10.13 | | | -1.36 | |
Points: 5383 Back: -335 Starts: 30 Wins: 1 How are these numbers calculated? (show) What IfChances based on how well Denny Hamlin finishes out the season. Explain (show) | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance driver will finish the season at position | | | Points | Average | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | | Count | | | | | 6553 | 195 | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,000 | | 6493 | 185 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 6485 | 184 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 6483 | 183 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 6473 | 182 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 6469 | 181 | 67 | 33 | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | | 6463 | 180 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | | 6457 | 179 | 83 | 17 | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | | 6451 | 178 | 92 | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 6445 | 177 | 80 | 20 | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | | 6439 | 176 | 80 | 20 | | | | | | | | | | | | 15 | | 6433 | 175 | 81 | 19 | | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | | 6427 | 174 | 81 | 16 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | 37 | | 6421 | 173 | 76 | 24 | | | | | | | | | | | | 41 | | 6415 | 172 | 68 | 31 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | 72 | | 6409 | 171 | 68 | 25 | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | 56 | | 6403 | 170 | 71 | 28 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | 130 | | 6397 | 169 | 62 | 35 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | 128 | | 6391 | 168 | 62 | 34 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 235 | | 6385 | 167 | 60 | 34 | 4 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | 189 | | 6379 | 166 | 56 | 37 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 421 | | 6373 | 165 | 49 | 39 | 11 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | 344 | | 6367 | 164 | 51 | 40 | 9 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | 581 | | 6361 | 163 | 49 | 41 | 9 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | 530 | | 6355 | 162 | 44 | 42 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 935 | | 6349 | 161 | 39 | 42 | 16 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 858 | | 6343 | 160 | 38 | 44 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 1,486 | | 6337 | 159 | 35 | 45 | 17 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 1,214 | | 6331 | 158 | 29 | 43 | 23 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 2,204 | | 6325 | 157 | 26 | 44 | 24 | 5 | 1 | | | | | | | | | 1,961 | | 6319 | 156 | 23 | 44 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 3,347 | | 6313 | 155 | 21 | 43 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 2,828 | | 6307 | 154 | 18 | 40 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | 4,965 | | 6301 | 153 | 14 | 38 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | 4,152 | | 6295 | 152 | 12 | 35 | 35 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 6,797 | | 6289 | 151 | 10 | 34 | 36 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 5,974 | | 6283 | 150 | 8 | 31 | 36 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 9,761 | | 6277 | 149 | 7 | 27 | 36 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 8,143 | | 6271 | 148 | 6 | 25 | 35 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 13,455 | | 6265 | 147 | 4 | 22 | 35 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 11,411 | | 6259 | 146 | 3 | 19 | 34 | 29 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 18,485 | | 6253 | 145 | 2 | 17 | 33 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 15,369 | | 6247 | 144 | 2 | 14 | 31 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 24,506 | | 6241 | 143 | 1 | 11 | 29 | 32 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 20,018 | | 6235 | 142 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 32,457 | | 6229 | 141 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 26,641 | | 6223 | 140 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 32 | 27 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 42,105 | | 6217 | 139 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 31 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 33,970 | | 6211 | 138 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 30 | 30 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 53,376 | | 6205 | 137 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 31 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 43,392 | | 6199 | 136 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 32 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 67,933 | | 6193 | 135 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 32 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 54,245 | | 6187 | 134 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 84,432 | | 6181 | 133 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | | 66,982 | | 6175 | 132 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 103,549 | | 6169 | 131 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 30 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 82,139 | | 6163 | 130 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 31 | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 126,250 | | 6157 | 129 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 30 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | 99,428 | | 6151 | 128 | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | | | 151,193 | | 6145 | 127 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 29 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 117,859 | | 6139 | 126 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 177,927 | | 6133 | 125 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 138,700 | | 6127 | 124 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 208,778 | | 6121 | 123 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 160,848 | | 6115 | 122 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | 241,307 | | 6109 | 121 | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 30 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | 184,467 | | 6103 | 120 | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 31 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | 275,219 | | 6097 | 119 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 31 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | | 208,961 | | 6091 | 118 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | | 309,094 | | 6085 | 117 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 0 | | 233,875 | | 6079 | 116 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 0 | | 344,759 | | 6073 | 115 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 32 | 20 | 6 | 1 | | 258,788 | | 6067 | 114 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 32 | 23 | 8 | 1 | | 378,139 | | 6061 | 113 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 33 | 26 | 9 | 1 | | 282,433 | | 6055 | 112 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 32 | 28 | 12 | 2 | | 413,414 | | 6049 | 111 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 31 | 31 | 14 | 2 | | 304,924 | | 6043 | 110 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 33 | 17 | 3 | | 444,765 | | 6037 | 109 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 34 | 20 | 4 | | 323,407 | | 6031 | 108 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 35 | 23 | 5 | | 471,699 | | 6025 | 107 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 36 | 26 | 6 | | 341,671 | | 6019 | 106 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 36 | 29 | 8 | | 497,261 | | 6013 | 105 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 36 | 32 | 9 | | 353,950 | | 6007 | 104 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 35 | 34 | 11 | | 517,377 | | 6001 | 103 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 37 | 13 | | 360,735 | | 5995 | 102 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 31 | 39 | 16 | | 532,248 | | 5989 | 101 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 41 | 19 | | 365,960 | | 5983 | 100 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 43 | 22 | | 540,650 | | 5977 | 99 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 44 | 25 | | 363,636 | | 5971 | 98 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 44 | 28 | | 544,558 | | 5965 | 97 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 45 | 32 | | 357,489 | | 5959 | 96 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 44 | 35 | | 543,373 | | 5953 | 95 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 44 | 39 | | 346,380 | | 5947 | 94 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 43 | 43 | | 533,007 | | 5941 | 93 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 41 | 46 | | 330,686 | | 5935 | 92 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 40 | 50 | | 517,659 | | 5929 | 91 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 38 | 54 | | 310,686 | | 5923 | 90 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 36 | 57 | | 496,570 | | 5917 | 89 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 61 | | 285,540 | | 5911 | 88 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 64 | | 471,662 | | 5905 | 87 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 67 | | 260,870 | | 5899 | 86 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 70 | | 439,034 | | 5893 | 85 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 73 | | 233,891 | | 5887 | 84 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 76 | | 405,722 | | 5881 | 83 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 20 | 79 | | 205,864 | | 5875 | 82 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 81 | | 367,818 | | 5869 | 81 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 16 | 83 | | 178,163 | | 5863 | 80 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 85 | | 330,782 | | 5857 | 79 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 13 | 87 | | 152,391 | | 5851 | 78 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 89 | | 291,158 | | 5845 | 77 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 90 | | 127,128 | | 5839 | 76 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 91 | | 252,145 | | 5833 | 75 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | | 105,185 | | 5827 | 74 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 94 | | 214,666 | | 5821 | 73 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 95 | | 85,147 | | 5815 | 72 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 95 | | 179,653 | | 5809 | 71 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | | 66,916 | | 5803 | 70 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | | 147,732 | | 5797 | 69 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | | 52,488 | | 5791 | 68 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | | 118,364 | | 5785 | 67 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | | 39,758 | | 5779 | 66 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | | 92,725 | | 5773 | 65 | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | | 30,050 | | 5767 | 64 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | | 70,529 | | 5761 | 63 | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | | 22,224 | | 5755 | 62 | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | | 52,759 | | 5749 | 61 | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | | 15,624 | | 5743 | 60 | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | | 38,378 | | 5737 | 59 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | | 11,006 | | 5731 | 58 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | | 26,501 | | 5725 | 57 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | | 7,311 | | 5719 | 56 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | | 17,985 | | 5713 | 55 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | | 4,970 | | 5707 | 54 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | | 11,609 | | 5701 | 53 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | | 2,935 | | 5695 | 52 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | | 7,176 | | 5689 | 51 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | | 1,773 | | 5683 | 50 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | | 4,164 | | 5677 | 49 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | | 1,065 | | 5671 | 48 | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 2,175 | | 5665 | 47 | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 530 | | 5659 | 46 | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1,133 | | 5653 | 45 | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 241 | | 5647 | 44 | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 546 | | 5641 | 43 | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 114 | | 5635 | 42 | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 214 | | 5629 | 41 | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 41 | | 5623 | 40 | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 65 | | 5617 | 39 | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 9 | | 5611 | 38 | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 17 | | 5605 | 37 | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1 | | 5599 | 36 | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 3 | | 5383 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1,000 | | | Total simulation runs: | | 20,000,000 |
| Race | Finish | Start | Laps | Lead | Points | Bonus | Penalty | Total | Money | | | Daytona 500 | 17 | 4 | 200 | | 32 | | 112 | | 5 | | | | 117 | | 341,416 | | Auto Club 500 | 41 | 12 | 193 | | | | 40 | | | | | | 40 | | 115,191 | | UAW-Dodge 400 | 9 | 27 | 267 | | | | 138 | | | | | | 138 | | 144,441 | | Kobalt Tools 500 | 15 | 22 | 324 | | | | 118 | | | | | | 118 | | 112,791 | | Food City 500 | 6 | 12 | 506 | | 98 | | 150 | | 5 | | | | 155 | | 128,591 | | Goody's Cool Orange 500 | 1 | 2 | 500 | | 82 | | 185 | | 5 | | | | 190 | | 210,391 | | Samsung 500 | 5 | 14 | 339 | | | | 155 | | | | | | 155 | | 206,841 | | Subway Fresh Fit 500 | 3 | 16 | 312 | | | | 165 | | | | | | 165 | | 164,516 | | Aaron's 499 | 3 | 7 | 188 | | 37 | | 165 | | 5 | | | | 170 | | 203,491 | | Crown Royal Presents Richmond 400 | 24 | 1 | 407 | | 381 | | 91 | | 10 | | | | 101 | | 123,166 | | Dodge Challenger 500 | 7 | 21 | 367 | | 15 | | 146 | | 5 | | | | 151 | | 131,941 | | Coca-Cola 600 | 24 | 16 | 399 | | 1 | | 91 | | 5 | | | | 96 | | 127,266 | | Dover 400 | 43 | 33 | 16 | | | | 34 | | | | | | 34 | | 110,699 | | Pocono 500 | 3 | 16 | 200 | | 17 | | 165 | | 5 | | | | 170 | | 162,866 | | Michigan 400 | 14 | 5 | 203 | | 1 | | 121 | | 5 | | | | 126 | | 115,841 | | Toyota/Save Mart 350 | 27 | 13 | 112 | | | | 82 | | | | | | 82 | | 110,441 | | Lenox Industrial Tools 301 | 8 | 12 | 284 | | | | 142 | | | | | | 142 | | 121,916 | | Daytona 400 | 26 | 15 | 162 | | 6 | | 85 | | 5 | | | | 90 | | 124,716 | | Chicagoland 400 | 40 | 7 | 263 | | | | 43 | | | | | | 43 | | 114,571 | | Allstate 400 at the Brickyard | 3 | 23 | 160 | | 26 | | 165 | | 5 | | | | 170 | | 331,516 | | Pennsylvania 500 | 23 | 14 | 200 | | | | 94 | | | | | | 94 | | 105,341 | | Centurion Boats at The Glen | 8 | 10 | 90 | | | | 142 | | | | | | 142 | | 113,866 | | 3M Performance 400 | 39 | 37 | 194 | | | | 46 | | | | | | 46 | | 106,616 | | Sharpie 500 | 3 | 21 | 500 | | | | 165 | | | | | | 165 | | 197,616 | | California 500 | 3 | 21 | 250 | | | | 165 | | | | | | 165 | | 178,091 | | Chevy Rock and Roll 400 | 3 | 11 | 400 | | 4 | | 165 | | 5 | | | | 170 | | 165,366 | | Sylvania 300 | 9 | 6 | 300 | | | | 138 | | | | | | 138 | | 121,016 | | Dover 400 Number 2 | 38 | 3 | 362 | | | | 49 | | | | | | 49 | | 102,266 | | Kansas 400 | 11 | 30 | 267 | | 1 | | 130 | | 5 | | | | 135 | | 133,816 | | Amp Energy 500 | 39 | 36 | 98 | | 9 | | 46 | | 5 | | | | 51 | | | | | | 710 | | 3533 | + | 75 | - | 0 | = | 3608 | |
$4,426,602 | |
| Average | Start: | 15.6 | | Finish: | 16.5 | | Money: | $152,641 |
Old graphs: Points Above 12th Chance Will Make Chase |