Chance of winning the Chase: 0.1%Change:-0.5
Average finish:10.13-1.36

Points: 5383    Back: -335      Starts: 30    Wins: 1

How are these numbers calculated? (show)

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)

What If

Chances based on how well Denny Hamlin finishes out the season.

Explain (show)

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance driver will finish the season at position
PointsAverage123456789101112Count
65531959911,000
64931851001
64851841001
64831831001
64731821001
646918167333
64631801004
645717983176
645117892813
644517780205
6439176802015
6433175811916
64271748116337
6421173762441
64151726831172
64091716825756
640317071281130
639716962353128
6391168623430235
6385167603441189
6379166563760421
63731654939111344
6367164514091581
6361163494192530
635516244421210935
634916139421630858
63431603844152001,486
6337159354517301,214
6331158294323402,204
6325157264424511,961
63191562344257103,347
63131552143288102,828
630715418402910204,965
630115314383313204,152
6295152123535153006,797
6289151103436163105,974
628315083136195109,761
627714972736226108,143
62711486253524810013,455
626514742235271020011,411
625914631934291230018,485
625314521733301430015,369
624714421431311751024,506
624114311129321961020,018
623514219263422710032,457
622914117233424920026,641
6223140162032271130042,105
6217139051831281441033,970
62111380315303016510053,376
62051370312273119610043,392
61991360210253222820067,933
61931350182232241020054,245
618713401619312712300084,432
61811330151730281541066,982
6175132004142830186100103,549
6169131003122630207200082,139
6163130002923312310200126,250
615712900172030251230099,428
615112801618302714410151,193
61451270014152829175100117,859
6139126003122630197100177,927
6133125002102431229200138,700
6127124002821312511300208,778
61211230001618302713300160,848
6115122001516292916510241,307
610912100313273019610184,467
610312000311243121810275,219
609711900282231241020208,961
6091118000172031271230309,094
608511700151730291540233,875
6079116000141428311750344,759
607311500031226322061258,788
606711400021024322381378,139
6061113001822332691282,433
60551120016193228122413,414
60491110015163131142304,924
6043110003143033173444,765
60371090003122834204323,407
603110800292635235471,699
602510700182336266341,671
6019106000162136298497,261
601310500151836329353,950
6007104000416353411517,377
6001103000313333713360,735
599510200211313916532,248
59891010019294119365,960
59831000018274322540,650
5977990016254425363,636
5971980005224428544,558
5965970004204532357,489
595996003174435543,373
595395002154439346,380
594794002134343533,007
594193001114146330,686
59359200194050517,659
59299100183854310,686
59239000063657496,570
5917890053461285,540
5911880043164471,662
5905870032967260,870
5899860032770439,034
5893850022473233,891
5887840022276405,722
588183012079205,864
5875820011881367,818
586981011683178,163
586380011485330,782
585779001387152,391
585178001189291,158
584577001090127,128
5839760891252,145
5833750793105,185
5827740694214,666
582173059585,147
5815720595179,653
580971049666,916
5803700397147,732
579769039752,488
5791680298118,364
578567029839,758
577966029892,725
57736519930,050
576764019970,529
57616319922,224
57556219952,759
57496119915,624
57436019938,378
573759010011,006
573158010026,501
57255701007,311
571956010017,985
57135501004,970
570754010011,609
57015301002,935
56955201007,176
56895101001,773
56835001004,164
56774901001,065
5671481002,175
566547100530
5659461001,133
565345100241
564744100546
564143100114
563542100214
56294110041
56234010065
5617391009
56113810017
5605371001
5599361003
538301001,000
Total simulation runs:20,000,000
RaceFinishStartLapsLeadPointsBonusPenaltyTotalMoney
Daytona 500174200321125117341,416
Auto Club 50041121934040115,191
UAW-Dodge 400927267138138144,441
Kobalt Tools 5001522324118118112,791
Food City 500612506981505155128,591
Goody's Cool Orange 50012500821855190210,391
Samsung 500514339155155206,841
Subway Fresh Fit 500316312165165164,516
Aaron's 49937188371655170203,491
Crown Royal Presents Richmond 4002414073819110101123,166
Dodge Challenger 500721367151465151131,941
Coca-Cola 6002416399191596127,266
Dover 4004333163434110,699
Pocono 500316200171655170162,866
Michigan 40014520311215126115,841
Toyota/Save Mart 35027131128282110,441
Lenox Industrial Tools 301812284142142121,916
Daytona 4002615162685590124,716
Chicagoland 4004072634343114,571
Allstate 400 at the Brickyard323160261655170331,516
Pennsylvania 50023142009494105,341
Centurion Boats at The Glen81090142142113,866
3M Performance 40039371944646106,616
Sharpie 500321500165165197,616
California 500321250165165178,091
Chevy Rock and Roll 40031140041655170165,366
Sylvania 30096300138138121,016
Dover 400 Number 23833624949102,266
Kansas 400113026711305135133,816
Amp Energy 500393698946551
7103533+75-0=3608 $4,426,602
AverageStart:15.6
Finish:16.5
Money:$152,641

 

Old graphs: Points Above 12th   Chance Will Make Chase