David Reutimann Chase for the Cup

What If

Chances based on how well David Reutimann finishes out the season.

		100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:		Chance will be at position when the Chase starts
Points	Average	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20+	Count

3156	195		0	4	19	39	30	7	1	0												1,000
3016	178										100											1
2996	175								50	25				25								4
2956	170						1		8	14	13	26	29	8	2							93
2916	165							0	1	3	9	20	24	25	12	6	1					521
2876	160									0	2	5	14	24	25	20	8	1	0	0		2,511
2836	155										0	1	3	9	22	30	23	11	2	0	0	9,449
2796	150										0	0	0	2	7	19	30	26	13	3	0	32,369
2756	145											0	0	0	1	6	17	30	29	13	3	87,665
2716	140												0	0	0	1	5	17	32	29	16	230,642
2676	135														0	0	1	5	18	33	43	483,632
2636	130														0	0	0	1	5	19	75	1,004,572
2596	125																0	0	1	6	93	1,690,738
2556	120																	0	0	1	99	2,842,982
2516	115																	0	0	0	100	3,899,072
2476	110																			0	100	5,342,069
2436	105																			0	100	6,002,934
2396	100																				100	6,706,416
2356	95																				100	6,128,457
2316	90																				100	5,573,626
2276	85																				100	4,049,326
2236	80																				100	2,910,236
2196	75																				100	1,622,306
2156	70																				100	843,748
2116	65																				100	359,872
2076	60																				100	134,783
2036	55																				100	32,727
1996	50																				100	6,624
1956	45																				100	606
1916	40																				100	18
1892	37																				100	1
1596	0																				100	1,000

Total simulation runs:																						50,000,000