David Ragan Chase for the Cup - Sports Club Stats

What If

Chances based on how well David Ragan finishes out the season.

		100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:		Chance will be at position when the Chase starts
Points	Average	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20+	Count

3603	195	86	14																			1,000
3443	175	30	50	20																		10
3403	170	20	50	26	4																	92
3363	165	7	41	40	11	1																538
3323	160	2	28	43	22	4	0															2,497
3283	155	0	13	38	36	11	1	0														9,323
3243	150	0	5	24	40	25	5	0	0													33,050
3203	145	0	1	10	32	37	16	3	0	0												87,559
3163	140		0	3	17	37	30	11	2	0	0	0										231,529
3123	135		0	0	5	22	35	25	9	2	0	0	0									484,834
3083	130		0	0	1	8	23	32	23	10	3	0	0	0	0							1,005,838
3043	125			0	0	1	8	21	29	24	12	4	1	0	0	0						1,692,854
3003	120				0	0	1	7	18	27	25	15	5	1	0	0	0					2,841,100
2963	115				0	0	0	1	5	14	24	26	18	8	2	0	0	0				3,899,171
2923	110					0	0	0	1	3	11	21	27	22	11	3	0	0	0			5,341,613
2883	105						0	0	0	0	2	7	18	28	26	14	4	1	0	0		6,006,537
2843	100							0	0	0	0	1	5	15	27	29	16	5	1	0	0	6,707,602
2803	95									0	0	0	1	4	14	28	31	17	5	1	0	6,127,242
2763	90										0	0	0	0	3	14	29	32	17	4	0	5,569,549
2723	85												0	0	0	3	15	31	32	15	4	4,049,693
2683	80													0	0	0	4	17	32	29	17	2,906,596
2643	75														0	0	1	5	18	31	45	1,622,572
2603	70															0	0	1	6	18	75	844,148
2563	65																0	0	1	6	93	359,446
2523	60																	0	0	1	99	134,883
2483	55																		0	0	100	32,518
2443	50																				100	6,590
2403	45																				100	584
2363	40																				100	32
2043	0																				100	1,000

Total simulation runs:																						50,000,000