Dave Blaney Race for the Chase
finished 19th at Daytona, odds of making the chase unchanged at 0.002% | Chance of making the Chase:
| 0.0 | % | Change: | -0.0 | | | Average finish: | 30.27 | | | 0.33 | |
Points: 1469 Back: -1217 Starts: 17 Wins: 0 How are these numbers calculated? (show) What IfChances based on how well Dave Blaney finishes out the season. Explain (show) | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance will be at position when the Chase starts | | | Points | Average | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20+ | | Count | | | | | | | | 3029 | 195 | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 29 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 1,000 | | 2909 | 180 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 2869 | 175 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 18 | 64 | 9 | 9 | | | | | | 11 | | 2829 | 170 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 7 | 20 | 29 | 33 | 6 | 3 | | | | 95 | | 2789 | 165 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 6 | 16 | 28 | 30 | 16 | 3 | 0 | | 480 | | 2749 | 160 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 29 | 30 | 16 | 4 | | 2,550 | | 2709 | 155 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 31 | 31 | 18 | | 9,478 | | 2669 | 150 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 48 | | 32,906 | | 2629 | 145 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 78 | | 88,490 | | 2589 | 140 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 95 | | 230,856 | | 2549 | 135 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 99 | | 483,769 | | 2509 | 130 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 100 | | 1,007,299 | | 2469 | 125 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | | 1,692,678 | | 2429 | 120 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 2,843,509 | | 2389 | 115 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 3,899,970 | | 2349 | 110 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 5,339,963 | | 2309 | 105 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 5,999,305 | | 2269 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 6,703,885 | | 2229 | 95 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 6,127,965 | | 2189 | 90 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 5,571,396 | | 2149 | 85 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 4,049,423 | | 2109 | 80 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 2,910,615 | | 2069 | 75 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1,622,840 | | 2029 | 70 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 845,238 | | 1989 | 65 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 361,201 | | 1949 | 60 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 134,352 | | 1909 | 55 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 32,529 | | 1869 | 50 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 6,600 | | 1829 | 45 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 575 | | 1789 | 40 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 21 | | 1469 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1,000 | | | Total simulation runs: | | 50,000,000 |
| Race | Finish | Start | Laps | Lead | Points | Bonus | Penalty | Total | Money | | | Daytona 500 | 38 | 34 | 189 | | 1 | | 49 | | 5 | | | | 54 | | 259,563 | | Auto Club 500 | 30 | 34 | 248 | | | | 73 | | | | | | 73 | | 85,250 | | UAW-Dodge 400 | 26 | 26 | 266 | | | | 85 | | | | | | 85 | | 101,508 | | Kobalt Tools 500 | 34 | 16 | 321 | | | | 61 | | | | | | 61 | | 69,025 | | Food City 500 | 34 | 34 | 498 | | | | 61 | | | | | | 61 | | 82,975 | | Goody's Cool Orange 500 | 43 | 18 | 374 | | 4 | | 34 | | 5 | | | | 39 | | 67,246 | | Samsung 500 | 21 | 29 | 337 | | | | 100 | | | | | | 100 | | 124,783 | | Subway Fresh Fit 500 | 30 | 19 | 309 | | | | 73 | | | | | | 73 | | 77,997 | | Crown Royal Presents Richmond 400 | 18 | 17 | 408 | | | | 109 | | | | | | 109 | | 90,383 | | Dodge Challenger 500 | 9 | 13 | 367 | | | | 138 | | | | | | 138 | | 111,283 | | Coca-Cola 600 | 17 | 11 | 400 | | 2 | | 112 | | 5 | | | | 117 | | 117,993 | | Dover 400 | 9 | 18 | 399 | | | | 138 | | | | | | 138 | | 116,583 | | Pocono 500 | 22 | 32 | 200 | | 1 | | 97 | | 5 | | | | 102 | | 83,408 | | Michigan 400 | 39 | 29 | 180 | | | | 46 | | | | | | 46 | | 71,890 | | Toyota/Save Mart 350 | 20 | 16 | 112 | | | | 103 | | | | | | 103 | | 96,233 | | Lenox Industrial Tools 301 | 33 | 41 | 281 | | | | 64 | | | | | | 64 | | 83,608 | | Daytona 400 | 19 | 12 | 162 | | | | 106 | | | | | | 106 | | | | | | 8 | | 1449 | + | 20 | - | 0 | = | 1469 | |
$1,639,728 | |
| Average | Start: | 23.5 | | Finish: | 26 | | Money: | $102,483 |
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