Dario Franchitti Chase for the Cup

What If

Chances based on how well Dario Franchitti finishes out the season.

		100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:		Chance will be at position when the Chase starts
Points	Average	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20+	Count

2166	195																				100	1,000
2006	175																				100	9
1966	170																				100	124
1926	165																				100	530
1886	160																				100	2,654
1846	155																				100	9,447
1806	150																				100	32,618
1766	145																				100	88,221
1726	140																				100	230,377
1686	135																				100	485,232
1646	130																				100	1,004,364
1606	125																				100	1,691,747
1566	120																				100	2,842,109
1526	115																				100	3,896,911
1486	110																				100	5,337,286
1446	105																				100	6,001,950
1406	100																				100	6,702,128
1366	95																				100	6,129,365
1326	90																				100	5,576,082
1286	85																				100	4,057,818
1246	80																				100	2,911,944
1206	75																				100	1,623,995
1166	70																				100	844,133
1126	65																				100	357,199
1086	60																				100	132,738
1046	55																				100	32,183
1006	50																				100	6,232
966	45																				100	582
926	40																				100	22
606	0																				100	1,000

Total simulation runs:																						50,000,000