Chance of winning the Chase: 2.9%Change:-2.1
Average finish:5.610.13

Points: 5693    Back: -185      Starts: 31    Wins: 1

How are these numbers calculated? (show)

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)

What If

Chances based on how well Clint Bowyer finishes out the season.

Explain (show)

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance driver will finish the season at position
PointsAverage123456789101112Count
66681951001,000
66481911001
66431901002
66281871004
66231861001
66181851007
66131841008
66081831009
660318210013
659818110022
659318010022
658817910030
658317810041
657817799175
657317699176
6568175982113
6563174973161
6558173991202
6553172964262
6548171955313
6543170964408
65381699640577
6533168955679
65281679460842
65231669461,038
651816592801,303
6513164901001,503
6508163891101,887
6503162901002,211
6498161881202,788
6493160871303,284
64881598515103,804
6483158841614,488
64781578316105,438
6473156801916,293
64681557821107,234
64631547623108,717
64581537424209,892
645315271272011,419
644815168293013,216
644315067303015,190
643814964324017,477
643314861354019,857
642814759365022,433
642314656386025,342
6418145534070029,190
6413144504181032,613
64081434643101036,253
64031424543111040,975
63981414245121045,637
63931403946141050,738
63881393647162056,786
63831383347182062,061
637813730472030068,509
637313628472140075,669
636813525472340082,465
636313423472650090,323
635813320462860099,397
6353132184529710106,725
6348131164332810114,920
634313014413410100126,032
633812912403511100135,468
63331281138371320144,327
63281279363815200156,484
63231268343917300167,576
63181257314019300176,764
631312452940214000189,610
63081235264123500203,069
630312242441256100211,201
629812132140287100226,390
629312021939309100240,690
6288119217383210100247,476
6283118214373412200263,252
6278117112353514200278,984
6273116111333716300284,481
626811519303818400297,552
6263114072838205000316,328
6258113062639236100319,550
6253112052339257100330,161
6248111042138278100350,526
62431100318373010200352,128
62381090316363212200357,014
623310802143433143000381,369
622810701123235163000379,153
62231060110303618400378,308
62181050182836215100404,958
62131040172537237100400,332
62081030052337258100388,244
620310200420362810200422,642
619810100318353012200414,861
619310000315343214300389,674
618899002133233164000430,898
618398001113034185000419,670
617897001928352161000378,500
6173960182535237100430,151
6168950162335259100418,085
61639400520352810200362,340
61589300418343012200419,547
61539200315323214300406,045
614891002133033174000334,196
614390002112934195100400,713
61388900192635226100384,205
613388018243524810300,148
6128870162235269100374,574
61238600519342911200356,537
61188500417333113300260,882
61138400314313215300338,796
61088300212293418400321,513
61038200210283420510221,771
6098810019253522710301,046
6093800017233525810282,710
6088790162035271020181,903
6083780041834291220258,977
6078770031533311430240,104
6073760031331331640145,609
6068750021129341850215,847
606374001927352161198,479
605873001825362471112,721
605372001623352681173,665
604871015203528101157,823
60437000417343112284,783
603869003153332142135,152
603368002133134163120,830
60286700211293519460,898
60236601102836214101,386
601865018253724589,038
601364016233726742,506
600863015213729872,373
6003620041836311062,286
5998610031635341128,681
5993600031434361349,429
598859021232381541,593
5983580011031391818,241
59785701929412031,834
59735601727422326,267
59685501624442611,185
59635400523432919,104
59585300420433215,075
595352031844346,337
5948510316433810,548
594350021342438,014
59384911341453,239
593348011140475,153
59284701938523,783
59234601734581,461
59184500734592,228
5913441533611,457
59084362965495
590342032869750
58984142472455
58934022177145
58883931978157
588338188268
587837168425
5873365158020
5868351002
569301001,000
Total simulation runs:20,000,000
RaceFinishStartLapsLeadPointsBonusPenaltyTotalMoney
Daytona 5002431200491596284,545
Auto Club 500193250106106106,150
UAW-Dodge 40028212657979100,850
Kobalt Tools 5006732552150515594,850
Food City 50033506811655170139,125
Goody's Cool Orange 500101250013413497,200
Samsung 5001025339134134145,025
Subway Fresh Fit 500224312170170170,350
Aaron's 499941188138138123,275
Crown Royal Presents Richmond 400131410131855190226,550
Dodge Challenger 500153836711811899,750
Coca-Cola 60025393988888106,675
Dover 4003626381555594,150
Pocono 5003935155464681,175
Michigan 4002611202858591,825
Toyota/Save Mart 350419112160160143,725
Lenox Industrial Tools 3012218284979791,400
Daytona 400925162138138121,175
Chicagoland 40022102679797103,750
Allstate 400 at the Brickyard1940160106106169,875
Pennsylvania 500630200150150111,950
Centurion Boats at The Glen231290949482,025
3M Performance 400204119910310394,875
Sharpie 500722500146146130,525
California 5001031250134134120,150
Chevy Rock and Roll 400121240012712790,925
Sylvania 30012530012712796,225
Dover 400 Number 28640021425147100,625
Kansas 4001224267127127110,825
Amp Energy 500535190155155125,525
Bank of America 500125334127127
1523774+25-0=3799 $3,655,070
AverageStart:22
Finish:14.7
Money:$121,836

 

Old graphs: Points Above 12th   Chance Will Make Chase