Clint Bowyer Chase for the Cup
Finished 12th at Charlotte, odds of winning the cup down 2.1% to 2.9% | Chance of winning the Chase:
| 2.9 | % | Change: | -2.1 | | | Average finish: | 5.61 | | | 0.13 | |
Points: 5693 Back: -185 Starts: 31 Wins: 1 How are these numbers calculated? (show) What IfChances based on how well Clint Bowyer finishes out the season. Explain (show) | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance driver will finish the season at position | | | Points | Average | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | | Count | | | | | 6668 | 195 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,000 | | 6648 | 191 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 6643 | 190 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | | 6628 | 187 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | | 6623 | 186 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 6618 | 185 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | | 6613 | 184 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | | 6608 | 183 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | | 6603 | 182 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | | 6598 | 181 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 22 | | 6593 | 180 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 22 | | 6588 | 179 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 30 | | 6583 | 178 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 41 | | 6578 | 177 | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 75 | | 6573 | 176 | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 76 | | 6568 | 175 | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | 113 | | 6563 | 174 | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | 161 | | 6558 | 173 | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 202 | | 6553 | 172 | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | 262 | | 6548 | 171 | 95 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | 313 | | 6543 | 170 | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | 408 | | 6538 | 169 | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 577 | | 6533 | 168 | 95 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | 679 | | 6528 | 167 | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 842 | | 6523 | 166 | 94 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,038 | | 6518 | 165 | 92 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 1,303 | | 6513 | 164 | 90 | 10 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 1,503 | | 6508 | 163 | 89 | 11 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 1,887 | | 6503 | 162 | 90 | 10 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 2,211 | | 6498 | 161 | 88 | 12 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 2,788 | | 6493 | 160 | 87 | 13 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 3,284 | | 6488 | 159 | 85 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 3,804 | | 6483 | 158 | 84 | 16 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | 4,488 | | 6478 | 157 | 83 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 5,438 | | 6473 | 156 | 80 | 19 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | 6,293 | | 6468 | 155 | 78 | 21 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 7,234 | | 6463 | 154 | 76 | 23 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 8,717 | | 6458 | 153 | 74 | 24 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 9,892 | | 6453 | 152 | 71 | 27 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 11,419 | | 6448 | 151 | 68 | 29 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 13,216 | | 6443 | 150 | 67 | 30 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 15,190 | | 6438 | 149 | 64 | 32 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 17,477 | | 6433 | 148 | 61 | 35 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 19,857 | | 6428 | 147 | 59 | 36 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 22,433 | | 6423 | 146 | 56 | 38 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 25,342 | | 6418 | 145 | 53 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 29,190 | | 6413 | 144 | 50 | 41 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 32,613 | | 6408 | 143 | 46 | 43 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 36,253 | | 6403 | 142 | 45 | 43 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 40,975 | | 6398 | 141 | 42 | 45 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 45,637 | | 6393 | 140 | 39 | 46 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 50,738 | | 6388 | 139 | 36 | 47 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 56,786 | | 6383 | 138 | 33 | 47 | 18 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 62,061 | | 6378 | 137 | 30 | 47 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 68,509 | | 6373 | 136 | 28 | 47 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 75,669 | | 6368 | 135 | 25 | 47 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 82,465 | | 6363 | 134 | 23 | 47 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 90,323 | | 6358 | 133 | 20 | 46 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 99,397 | | 6353 | 132 | 18 | 45 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 106,725 | | 6348 | 131 | 16 | 43 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | 114,920 | | 6343 | 130 | 14 | 41 | 34 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 126,032 | | 6338 | 129 | 12 | 40 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 135,468 | | 6333 | 128 | 11 | 38 | 37 | 13 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | 144,327 | | 6328 | 127 | 9 | 36 | 38 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 156,484 | | 6323 | 126 | 8 | 34 | 39 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 167,576 | | 6318 | 125 | 7 | 31 | 40 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 176,764 | | 6313 | 124 | 5 | 29 | 40 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 189,610 | | 6308 | 123 | 5 | 26 | 41 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 203,069 | | 6303 | 122 | 4 | 24 | 41 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 211,201 | | 6298 | 121 | 3 | 21 | 40 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 226,390 | | 6293 | 120 | 2 | 19 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 240,690 | | 6288 | 119 | 2 | 17 | 38 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 247,476 | | 6283 | 118 | 2 | 14 | 37 | 34 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 263,252 | | 6278 | 117 | 1 | 12 | 35 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 278,984 | | 6273 | 116 | 1 | 11 | 33 | 37 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 284,481 | | 6268 | 115 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 38 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 297,552 | | 6263 | 114 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 38 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 316,328 | | 6258 | 113 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 39 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 319,550 | | 6253 | 112 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 39 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 330,161 | | 6248 | 111 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 38 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 350,526 | | 6243 | 110 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 37 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 352,128 | | 6238 | 109 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 36 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 357,014 | | 6233 | 108 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 34 | 33 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 381,369 | | 6228 | 107 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 32 | 35 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 379,153 | | 6223 | 106 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 36 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 378,308 | | 6218 | 105 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 36 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 404,958 | | 6213 | 104 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 37 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 400,332 | | 6208 | 103 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 37 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 388,244 | | 6203 | 102 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 36 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 422,642 | | 6198 | 101 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 35 | 30 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 414,861 | | 6193 | 100 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 34 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | 389,674 | | 6188 | 99 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 32 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 430,898 | | 6183 | 98 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 419,670 | | 6178 | 97 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 35 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 378,500 | | 6173 | 96 | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 430,151 | | 6168 | 95 | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 35 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 418,085 | | 6163 | 94 | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 362,340 | | 6158 | 93 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 34 | 30 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 419,547 | | 6153 | 92 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | 406,045 | | 6148 | 91 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 30 | 33 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 334,196 | | 6143 | 90 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 34 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 400,713 | | 6138 | 89 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 35 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 384,205 | | 6133 | 88 | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 35 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | 300,148 | | 6128 | 87 | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 374,574 | | 6123 | 86 | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 356,537 | | 6118 | 85 | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 31 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 260,882 | | 6113 | 84 | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 32 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | 338,796 | | 6108 | 83 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 34 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | 321,513 | | 6103 | 82 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | 221,771 | | 6098 | 81 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 35 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | 301,046 | | 6093 | 80 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 35 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | 282,710 | | 6088 | 79 | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 35 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | | 181,903 | | 6083 | 78 | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 34 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | 258,977 | | 6078 | 77 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 33 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | | 240,104 | | 6073 | 76 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 31 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 0 | | 145,609 | | 6068 | 75 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 0 | | 215,847 | | 6063 | 74 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 35 | 21 | 6 | 1 | | 198,479 | | 6058 | 73 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 36 | 24 | 7 | 1 | | 112,721 | | 6053 | 72 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 35 | 26 | 8 | 1 | | 173,665 | | 6048 | 71 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 28 | 10 | 1 | | 157,823 | | 6043 | 70 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 34 | 31 | 12 | 2 | | 84,783 | | 6038 | 69 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 33 | 32 | 14 | 2 | | 135,152 | | 6033 | 68 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 34 | 16 | 3 | | 120,830 | | 6028 | 67 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 29 | 35 | 19 | 4 | | 60,898 | | 6023 | 66 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 36 | 21 | 4 | | 101,386 | | 6018 | 65 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 37 | 24 | 5 | | 89,038 | | 6013 | 64 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 37 | 26 | 7 | | 42,506 | | 6008 | 63 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 29 | 8 | | 72,373 | | 6003 | 62 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 36 | 31 | 10 | | 62,286 | | 5998 | 61 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 35 | 34 | 11 | | 28,681 | | 5993 | 60 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 36 | 13 | | 49,429 | | 5988 | 59 | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 38 | 15 | | 41,593 | | 5983 | 58 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 39 | 18 | | 18,241 | | 5978 | 57 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 41 | 20 | | 31,834 | | 5973 | 56 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 42 | 23 | | 26,267 | | 5968 | 55 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 44 | 26 | | 11,185 | | 5963 | 54 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 43 | 29 | | 19,104 | | 5958 | 53 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 43 | 32 | | 15,075 | | 5953 | 52 | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 18 | 44 | 34 | | 6,337 | | 5948 | 51 | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 16 | 43 | 38 | | 10,548 | | 5943 | 50 | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 42 | 43 | | 8,014 | | 5938 | 49 | | | | | | | | | 1 | 13 | 41 | 45 | | 3,239 | | 5933 | 48 | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 40 | 47 | | 5,153 | | 5928 | 47 | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 38 | 52 | | 3,783 | | 5923 | 46 | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 34 | 58 | | 1,461 | | 5918 | 45 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 34 | 59 | | 2,228 | | 5913 | 44 | | | | | | | | | 1 | 5 | 33 | 61 | | 1,457 | | 5908 | 43 | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 29 | 65 | | 495 | | 5903 | 42 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 28 | 69 | | 750 | | 5898 | 41 | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 24 | 72 | | 455 | | 5893 | 40 | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 21 | 77 | | 145 | | 5888 | 39 | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 19 | 78 | | 157 | | 5883 | 38 | | | | | | | | | | | 18 | 82 | | 68 | | 5878 | 37 | | | | | | | | | | | 16 | 84 | | 25 | | 5873 | 36 | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 15 | 80 | | 20 | | 5868 | 35 | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 2 | | 5693 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1,000 | | | Total simulation runs: | | 20,000,000 |
| Race | Finish | Start | Laps | Lead | Points | Bonus | Penalty | Total | Money | | | Daytona 500 | 24 | 31 | 200 | | 4 | | 91 | | 5 | | | | 96 | | 284,545 | | Auto Club 500 | 19 | 3 | 250 | | | | 106 | | | | | | 106 | | 106,150 | | UAW-Dodge 400 | 28 | 21 | 265 | | | | 79 | | | | | | 79 | | 100,850 | | Kobalt Tools 500 | 6 | 7 | 325 | | 52 | | 150 | | 5 | | | | 155 | | 94,850 | | Food City 500 | 3 | 3 | 506 | | 81 | | 165 | | 5 | | | | 170 | | 139,125 | | Goody's Cool Orange 500 | 10 | 12 | 500 | | | | 134 | | | | | | 134 | | 97,200 | | Samsung 500 | 10 | 25 | 339 | | | | 134 | | | | | | 134 | | 145,025 | | Subway Fresh Fit 500 | 2 | 24 | 312 | | | | 170 | | | | | | 170 | | 170,350 | | Aaron's 499 | 9 | 41 | 188 | | | | 138 | | | | | | 138 | | 123,275 | | Crown Royal Presents Richmond 400 | 1 | 31 | 410 | | 13 | | 185 | | 5 | | | | 190 | | 226,550 | | Dodge Challenger 500 | 15 | 38 | 367 | | | | 118 | | | | | | 118 | | 99,750 | | Coca-Cola 600 | 25 | 39 | 398 | | | | 88 | | | | | | 88 | | 106,675 | | Dover 400 | 36 | 26 | 381 | | | | 55 | | | | | | 55 | | 94,150 | | Pocono 500 | 39 | 35 | 155 | | | | 46 | | | | | | 46 | | 81,175 | | Michigan 400 | 26 | 11 | 202 | | | | 85 | | | | | | 85 | | 91,825 | | Toyota/Save Mart 350 | 4 | 19 | 112 | | | | 160 | | | | | | 160 | | 143,725 | | Lenox Industrial Tools 301 | 22 | 18 | 284 | | | | 97 | | | | | | 97 | | 91,400 | | Daytona 400 | 9 | 25 | 162 | | | | 138 | | | | | | 138 | | 121,175 | | Chicagoland 400 | 22 | 10 | 267 | | | | 97 | | | | | | 97 | | 103,750 | | Allstate 400 at the Brickyard | 19 | 40 | 160 | | | | 106 | | | | | | 106 | | 169,875 | | Pennsylvania 500 | 6 | 30 | 200 | | | | 150 | | | | | | 150 | | 111,950 | | Centurion Boats at The Glen | 23 | 12 | 90 | | | | 94 | | | | | | 94 | | 82,025 | | 3M Performance 400 | 20 | 41 | 199 | | | | 103 | | | | | | 103 | | 94,875 | | Sharpie 500 | 7 | 22 | 500 | | | | 146 | | | | | | 146 | | 130,525 | | California 500 | 10 | 31 | 250 | | | | 134 | | | | | | 134 | | 120,150 | | Chevy Rock and Roll 400 | 12 | 12 | 400 | | | | 127 | | | | | | 127 | | 90,925 | | Sylvania 300 | 12 | 5 | 300 | | | | 127 | | | | | | 127 | | 96,225 | | Dover 400 Number 2 | 8 | 6 | 400 | | 2 | | 142 | | 5 | | | | 147 | | 100,625 | | Kansas 400 | 12 | 24 | 267 | | | | 127 | | | | | | 127 | | 110,825 | | Amp Energy 500 | 5 | 35 | 190 | | | | 155 | | | | | | 155 | | 125,525 | | Bank of America 500 | 12 | 5 | 334 | | | | 127 | | | | | | 127 | | | | | | 152 | | 3774 | + | 25 | - | 0 | = | 3799 | |
$3,655,070 | |
| Average | Start: | 22 | | Finish: | 14.7 | | Money: | $121,836 |
Old graphs: Points Above 12th Chance Will Make Chase |