Casey Mears Chase for the Cup - Sports Club Stats

What If

Chances based on how well Casey Mears finishes out the season.

		100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:		Chance will be at position when the Chase starts
Points	Average	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20+	Count

3278	195	1	15	42	33	9	1															1,000
3153	179						100															1
3118	175					22	67	11														9
3078	170					6	26	30	20	14	3	1										97
3038	165				0	2	6	23	32	20	12	4	1									493
2998	160					0	1	6	17	27	24	17	6	1	0							2,522
2958	155						0	1	5	13	23	27	20	9	3	0	0					9,257
2918	150						0	0	0	3	8	18	26	24	14	5	1	0	0			32,623
2878	145							0	0	0	1	5	14	24	27	19	8	2	0	0		87,824
2838	140									0	0	1	3	10	22	28	23	10	3	0	0	231,381
2798	135										0	0	0	2	7	19	30	26	12	3	0	483,293
2758	130											0	0	0	1	6	18	31	28	13	3	1,006,267
2718	125											0	0	0	0	1	5	18	32	29	15	1,689,504
2678	120													0	0	0	1	5	19	34	41	2,840,039
2638	115														0	0	0	1	6	21	72	3,899,722
2598	110																0	0	1	7	92	5,339,553
2558	105																	0	0	1	99	6,002,464
2518	100																	0	0	0	100	6,712,175
2478	95																		0	0	100	6,125,410
2438	90																			0	100	5,572,260
2398	85																				100	4,051,245
2358	80																				100	2,907,013
2318	75																				100	1,623,022
2278	70																				100	846,572
2238	65																				100	360,607
2198	60																				100	134,924
2158	55																				100	32,599
2118	50																				100	6,468
2078	45																				100	630
2038	40																				100	26
1718	0																				100	1,000

Total simulation runs:																						50,000,000