Carl Edwards Race for the Chase
finished 6th at California, odds of making the chase unchanged at 100% | Chance of making the Chase:
| 100.0 | % | Change: | - | | | Average finish: | 2 | | | 0.01 | |
Points: 3547 Back: -208 Starts: 25 Wins: 6 How are these numbers calculated? (show) What IfChances based on how well Carl Edwards finishes out the season. Explain (show) | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance will be at position when the Chase starts | | | Points | Average | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20+ | | Count | | | | | | | | 3742 | 195 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,161,489 | | 3722 | 175 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,162,679 | | 3717 | 170 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,161,063 | | 3712 | 165 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,163,941 | | 3707 | 160 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,164,122 | | 3702 | 155 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,164,525 | | 3698 | 151 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,163,494 | | 3694 | 147 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,162,964 | | 3690 | 143 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,162,858 | | 3686 | 139 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,163,410 | | 3682 | 135 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,163,321 | | 3674 | 127 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,164,140 | | 3671 | 124 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,162,994 | | 3668 | 121 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,162,164 | | 3665 | 118 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,161,030 | | 3662 | 115 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,162,565 | | 3659 | 112 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,163,062 | | 3656 | 109 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,163,165 | | 3653 | 106 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,163,615 | | 3650 | 103 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,163,492 | | 3647 | 100 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,161,143 | | 3644 | 97 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,161,043 | | 3641 | 94 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,160,982 | | 3638 | 91 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,162,430 | | 3635 | 88 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,161,182 | | 3632 | 85 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,163,293 | | 3629 | 82 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,161,407 | | 3626 | 79 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,163,622 | | 3623 | 76 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,162,992 | | 3620 | 73 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,162,975 | | 3617 | 70 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,163,426 | | 3614 | 67 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,162,092 | | 3611 | 64 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,161,764 | | 3608 | 61 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,162,386 | | 3605 | 58 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,163,579 | | 3602 | 55 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,164,378 | | 3599 | 52 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,162,828 | | 3596 | 49 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,162,721 | | 3593 | 46 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,162,930 | | 3590 | 43 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,163,097 | | 3587 | 40 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,161,926 | | 3584 | 37 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,164,541 | | 3581 | 34 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,162,170 | | 3547 | 0 | | 90 | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,000 | | | Total simulation runs: | | 50,000,000 |
| Race | Finish | Start | Laps | Lead | Points | Bonus | Penalty | Total | Money | | | Daytona 500 | 19 | 11 | 200 | | | | 106 | | | | | | 106 | | 321,520 | | Auto Club 500 | 1 | 9 | 250 | | 64 | | 185 | | 5 | | | | 190 | | 340,550 | | UAW-Dodge 400 | 1 | 2 | 267 | | 86 | | 185 | | 10 | | 100 | | 95 | | 425,675 | | Kobalt Tools 500 | 42 | 4 | 274 | | 33 | | 37 | | 5 | | | | 42 | | 116,395 | | Food City 500 | 16 | 9 | 504 | | | | 115 | | | | | | 115 | | 133,125 | | Goody's Cool Orange 500 | 9 | 27 | 500 | | | | 138 | | | | | | 138 | | 123,775 | | Samsung 500 | 1 | 2 | 339 | | 123 | | 185 | | 10 | | | | 195 | | 541,150 | | Subway Fresh Fit 500 | 4 | 3 | 312 | | | | 160 | | | | | | 160 | | 158,585 | | Aaron's 499 | 40 | 11 | 153 | | | | 43 | | | | | | 43 | | 125,725 | | Crown Royal Presents Richmond 400 | 7 | 19 | 410 | | | | 146 | | | | | | 146 | | 131,375 | | Dodge Challenger 500 | 2 | 36 | 367 | | | | 170 | | | | | | 170 | | 241,850 | | Coca-Cola 600 | 9 | 30 | 400 | | | | 138 | | | | | | 138 | | 160,425 | | Dover 400 | 2 | 14 | 400 | | 64 | | 170 | | 5 | | | | 175 | | 235,375 | | Pocono 500 | 9 | 6 | 200 | | 2 | | 138 | | 5 | | | | 143 | | 123,700 | | Michigan 400 | 7 | 4 | 203 | | 21 | | 146 | | 5 | | | | 151 | | 130,200 | | Toyota/Save Mart 350 | 9 | 12 | 112 | | 2 | | 138 | | 5 | | | | 143 | | 134,725 | | Lenox Industrial Tools 301 | 17 | 17 | 284 | | | | 112 | | | | | | 112 | | 123,575 | | Daytona 400 | 2 | 24 | 162 | | 1 | | 170 | | 5 | | | | 175 | | 243,625 | | Chicagoland 400 | 32 | 4 | 266 | | 15 | | 67 | | 5 | | | | 72 | | 128,700 | | Allstate 400 at the Brickyard | 2 | 9 | 160 | | 4 | | 170 | | 5 | | | | 175 | | 366,700 | | Pennsylvania 500 | 1 | 15 | 200 | | 53 | | 185 | | 5 | | | | 190 | | 241,875 | | Centurion Boats at The Glen | 9 | 3 | 90 | | | | 138 | | | | | | 138 | | 121,425 | | 3M Performance 400 | 1 | 27 | 200 | | 84 | | 185 | | 10 | | | | 195 | | 226,075 | | Sharpie 500 | 1 | 1 | 500 | | 84 | | 185 | | 5 | | | | 190 | | 344,625 | | California 500 | 6 | 26 | 250 | | | | 150 | | | | | | 150 | | 153,300 | | | | 636 | | 3562 | + | 85 | - | 100 | = | 3547 | |
$5,394,050 | |
| Average | Start: | 13 | | Finish: | 10 | | Money: | $215,762 |
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