Chance of making the Chase: 100.0%Change:-
Average finish:20.01

Points: 3547    Back: -208      Starts: 25    Wins: 6

How are these numbers calculated? (show)

Points Above 12th  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Chase  (Full Screen)

What If

Chances based on how well Carl Edwards finishes out the season.

Explain (show)

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will be at position when the Chase starts
PointsAverage1234567891011121314151617181920+Count
37421951001,161,489
37221751001,162,679
37171701001,161,063
37121651001,163,941
37071601001,164,122
37021551001,164,525
36981511001,163,494
36941471001,162,964
36901431001,162,858
36861391001,163,410
36821351001,163,321
36741271001,164,140
36711241001,162,994
36681211001,162,164
36651181001,161,030
36621151001,162,565
36591121001,163,062
36561091001,163,165
36531061001,163,615
36501031001,163,492
36471001001,161,143
3644971001,161,043
3641941001,160,982
3638911001,162,430
3635881001,161,182
3632851001,163,293
3629821001,161,407
3626791001,163,622
3623761001,162,992
3620731001,162,975
3617701001,163,426
3614671001,162,092
3611641001,161,764
3608611001,162,386
3605581001,163,579
3602551001,164,378
3599521001,162,828
3596491001,162,721
3593461001,162,930
3590431001,163,097
3587401001,161,926
3584371001,164,541
3581341001,162,170
3547090101,000
Total simulation runs:50,000,000
RaceFinishStartLapsLeadPointsBonusPenaltyTotalMoney
Daytona 5001911200106106321,520
Auto Club 50019250641855190340,550
UAW-Dodge 40012267861851010095425,675
Kobalt Tools 5004242743337542116,395
Food City 500169504115115133,125
Goody's Cool Orange 500927500138138123,775
Samsung 5001233912318510195541,150
Subway Fresh Fit 50043312160160158,585
Aaron's 49940111534343125,725
Crown Royal Presents Richmond 400719410146146131,375
Dodge Challenger 500236367170170241,850
Coca-Cola 600930400138138160,425
Dover 400214400641705175235,375
Pocono 5009620021385143123,700
Michigan 40074203211465151130,200
Toyota/Save Mart 35091211221385143134,725
Lenox Industrial Tools 3011717284112112123,575
Daytona 40022416211705175243,625
Chicagoland 4003242661567572128,700
Allstate 400 at the Brickyard2916041705175366,700
Pennsylvania 500115200531855190241,875
Centurion Boats at The Glen9390138138121,425
3M Performance 4001272008418510195226,075
Sharpie 50011500841855190344,625
California 500626250150150153,300
6363562+85-100=3547 $5,394,050
AverageStart:13
Finish:10
Money:$215,762