Chance of making the Chase: 0.2%Change:-3.0
Average finish:15.63-0.21

Points: 2669    Back: -940      Starts: 24    Wins: 0

How are these numbers calculated? (show)

Points Above 12th  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Chase  (Full Screen)

What If

Chances based on how well Brian Vickers finishes out the season.

Explain (show)

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will be at position when the Chase starts
PointsAverage1234567891011121314151617181920+Count
30591950215373411127,939
3039185042342264054,303
302918000217403380162,334
301917501103442130135,486
30091700062946190351,599
29991650032248270297,651
2989160011547361674,677
29791550110434420675,196
2969150006385330946,574
2959145033161501,136,448
2949140012467801,434,305
29391350117701201,542,121
29291300011721602,107,842
291912507712201,944,719
290912004672812,811,711
289911502623412,458,399
288911001564123,350,428
2879105004947402,870,176
286910004252603,110,761
28599503656802,758,250
284990029591203,517,867
283985023611602,514,690
282980017612203,354,991
2819750125928102,272,865
280970085634102,025,771
279965065241201,783,898
27896034548301,998,540
27795523855501,216,417
27695013160801,244,025
27594502463120649,383
274940018651710406,615
27393501464211163,019
26690024542011,000
Total simulation runs:50,000,000
RaceFinishStartLapsLeadPointsBonusPenaltyTotalMoney
Daytona 5001223200127127285,245
Auto Club 500113925013013098,700
UAW-Dodge 4002443266919189,850
Kobalt Tools 5009353251138514379,300
Food City 5003938486464681,775
Goody's Cool Orange 5002340497949473,625
Samsung 5001636338115115116,725
Subway Fresh Fit 5002533310888869,000
Aaron's 4995818841555160122,375
Crown Royal Presents Richmond 4002832406797970,075
Dodge Challenger 5002528365888876,950
Coca-Cola 600423184613754290,875
Dover 40013639812412490,675
Pocono 500215200181705175144,425
Michigan 40041820344160516597,100
Toyota/Save Mart 350142611212112184,200
Lenox Industrial Tools 301164028411511578,525
Daytona 4001128162130130109,800
Chicagoland 40061526721505155119,875
Allstate 400 at the Brickyard421793137542147,600
Pennsylvania 500288200797976,200
Centurion Boats at The Glen18179010910975,925
3M Performance 4007120021146515199,800
Sharpie 5002126498100100
1522629+40-0=2669 $2,378,620
AverageStart:24
Finish:18.4
Money:$103,418