Brian Vickers Race for the Chase
finished 21st at Bristol, odds of making the chase down 3.0% to 0.2473% | Chance of making the Chase:
| 0.2 | % | Change: | -3.0 | | | Average finish: | 15.63 | | | -0.21 | |
Points: 2669 Back: -940 Starts: 24 Wins: 0 How are these numbers calculated? (show) What IfChances based on how well Brian Vickers finishes out the season. Explain (show) | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | Chance will be at position when the Chase starts | | | Points | Average | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20+ | | Count | | | | | | | | 3059 | 195 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 34 | 11 | 1 | | | | | | | 27,939 | | 3039 | 185 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 23 | 42 | 26 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | 54,303 | | 3029 | 180 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 40 | 33 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | 162,334 | | 3019 | 175 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 42 | 13 | 0 | | | | | | 135,486 | | 3009 | 170 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 46 | 19 | 0 | | | | | | 351,599 | | 2999 | 165 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 48 | 27 | 0 | | | | | | 297,651 | | 2989 | 160 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 47 | 36 | 1 | | | | | | 674,677 | | 2979 | 155 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 43 | 44 | 2 | 0 | | | | | 675,196 | | 2969 | 150 | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 38 | 53 | 3 | 0 | | | | | 946,574 | | 2959 | 145 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 31 | 61 | 5 | 0 | | | | | 1,136,448 | | 2949 | 140 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 24 | 67 | 8 | 0 | | | | | 1,434,305 | | 2939 | 135 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 17 | 70 | 12 | 0 | | | | | 1,542,121 | | 2929 | 130 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 72 | 16 | 0 | | | | | 2,107,842 | | 2919 | 125 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 71 | 22 | 0 | | | | | 1,944,719 | | 2909 | 120 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 67 | 28 | 1 | | | | | 2,811,711 | | 2899 | 115 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 62 | 34 | 1 | | | | | 2,458,399 | | 2889 | 110 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 56 | 41 | 2 | | | | | 3,350,428 | | 2879 | 105 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 49 | 47 | 4 | 0 | | | | 2,870,176 | | 2869 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 42 | 52 | 6 | 0 | | | | 3,110,761 | | 2859 | 95 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 36 | 56 | 8 | 0 | | | | 2,758,250 | | 2849 | 90 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 29 | 59 | 12 | 0 | | | | 3,517,867 | | 2839 | 85 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 23 | 61 | 16 | 0 | | | | 2,514,690 | | 2829 | 80 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 17 | 61 | 22 | 0 | | | | 3,354,991 | | 2819 | 75 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 12 | 59 | 28 | 1 | 0 | | | 2,272,865 | | 2809 | 70 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 56 | 34 | 1 | 0 | | | 2,025,771 | | 2799 | 65 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 52 | 41 | 2 | 0 | | | 1,783,898 | | 2789 | 60 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 45 | 48 | 3 | 0 | | | 1,998,540 | | 2779 | 55 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 38 | 55 | 5 | 0 | | | 1,216,417 | | 2769 | 50 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 31 | 60 | 8 | 0 | | | 1,244,025 | | 2759 | 45 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 24 | 63 | 12 | 0 | | | 649,383 | | 2749 | 40 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 18 | 65 | 17 | 1 | 0 | | 406,615 | | 2739 | 35 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 14 | 64 | 21 | 1 | | | 163,019 | | 2669 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 24 | 54 | 20 | 1 | | 1,000 | | | Total simulation runs: | | 50,000,000 |
| Race | Finish | Start | Laps | Lead | Points | Bonus | Penalty | Total | Money | | | Daytona 500 | 12 | 23 | 200 | | | | 127 | | | | | | 127 | | 285,245 | | Auto Club 500 | 11 | 39 | 250 | | | | 130 | | | | | | 130 | | 98,700 | | UAW-Dodge 400 | 24 | 43 | 266 | | | | 91 | | | | | | 91 | | 89,850 | | Kobalt Tools 500 | 9 | 35 | 325 | | 1 | | 138 | | 5 | | | | 143 | | 79,300 | | Food City 500 | 39 | 38 | 486 | | | | 46 | | | | | | 46 | | 81,775 | | Goody's Cool Orange 500 | 23 | 40 | 497 | | | | 94 | | | | | | 94 | | 73,625 | | Samsung 500 | 16 | 36 | 338 | | | | 115 | | | | | | 115 | | 116,725 | | Subway Fresh Fit 500 | 25 | 33 | 310 | | | | 88 | | | | | | 88 | | 69,000 | | Aaron's 499 | 5 | 8 | 188 | | 4 | | 155 | | 5 | | | | 160 | | 122,375 | | Crown Royal Presents Richmond 400 | 28 | 32 | 406 | | | | 79 | | | | | | 79 | | 70,075 | | Dodge Challenger 500 | 25 | 28 | 365 | | | | 88 | | | | | | 88 | | 76,950 | | Coca-Cola 600 | 42 | 3 | 184 | | 61 | | 37 | | 5 | | | | 42 | | 90,875 | | Dover 400 | 13 | 6 | 398 | | | | 124 | | | | | | 124 | | 90,675 | | Pocono 500 | 2 | 15 | 200 | | 18 | | 170 | | 5 | | | | 175 | | 144,425 | | Michigan 400 | 4 | 18 | 203 | | 44 | | 160 | | 5 | | | | 165 | | 97,100 | | Toyota/Save Mart 350 | 14 | 26 | 112 | | | | 121 | | | | | | 121 | | 84,200 | | Lenox Industrial Tools 301 | 16 | 40 | 284 | | | | 115 | | | | | | 115 | | 78,525 | | Daytona 400 | 11 | 28 | 162 | | | | 130 | | | | | | 130 | | 109,800 | | Chicagoland 400 | 6 | 15 | 267 | | 2 | | 150 | | 5 | | | | 155 | | 119,875 | | Allstate 400 at the Brickyard | 42 | 17 | 93 | | 1 | | 37 | | 5 | | | | 42 | | 147,600 | | Pennsylvania 500 | 28 | 8 | 200 | | | | 79 | | | | | | 79 | | 76,200 | | Centurion Boats at The Glen | 18 | 17 | 90 | | | | 109 | | | | | | 109 | | 75,925 | | 3M Performance 400 | 7 | 1 | 200 | | 21 | | 146 | | 5 | | | | 151 | | 99,800 | | Sharpie 500 | 21 | 26 | 498 | | | | 100 | | | | | | 100 | | | | | | 152 | | 2629 | + | 40 | - | 0 | = | 2669 | |
$2,378,620 | |
| Average | Start: | 24 | | Finish: | 18.4 | | Money: | $103,418 |
|