Bobby Labonte Chase for the Cup

What If

Chances based on how well Bobby Labonte finishes out the season.

		100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:		Chance will be at position when the Chase starts
Points	Average	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20+	Count

3389	195	15	56	26	2	0																1,000
3229	175			17	17	58		8														12
3189	170		1	8	28	42	16	4														106
3149	165			2	12	35	34	14	3	0												555
3109	160			0	3	17	34	29	12	3	0	0										2,539
3069	155				1	5	19	30	27	13	4	1	0									9,438
3029	150				0	1	5	16	27	26	16	6	1	0	0							33,080
2989	145				0	0	1	4	13	24	27	19	9	3	0	0	0					88,137
2949	140					0	0	0	3	9	19	26	23	13	5	1	0	0	0			230,861
2909	135						0	0	0	1	6	15	24	26	18	8	2	0	0	0		483,603
2869	130							0	0	0	1	3	10	21	27	22	11	3	0	0	0	1,006,355
2829	125								0	0	0	0	2	7	18	28	26	14	4	0	0	1,692,738
2789	120										0	0	0	1	5	16	29	29	16	4	0	2,841,011
2749	115											0	0	0	1	4	15	30	31	15	3	3,900,242
2709	110												0	0	0	1	4	16	33	31	15	5,339,754
2669	105													0	0	0	1	5	19	36	39	5,998,412
2629	100														0	0	0	1	6	23	70	6,705,999
2589	95																0	0	1	8	90	6,124,473
2549	90																0	0	0	2	98	5,576,191
2509	85																		0	0	100	4,052,628
2469	80																		0	0	100	2,910,469
2429	75																			0	100	1,621,581
2389	70																			0	100	845,067
2349	65																				100	360,716
2309	60																				100	134,604
2269	55																				100	32,332
2229	50																				100	6,444
2189	45																				100	624
2149	40																				100	28
2128	37																				100	1
1829	0																				100	1,000

Total simulation runs:																						50,000,000