How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/2100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
Denmark 4 Poland 0 +3.7
-0.3
-0.4
Kazakhstan 0 Montenegro 3 +2.6
+7.7
+1.7
Serbia 3 Moldova 0 -0.6
-0.0
Georgia 1 Republic of Ire 1 +0.5
+0.0
Bulgaria 3 Sweden 2 +0.4
Finland 1 Iceland 0 +0.3
+0.1
Wales 1 Austria 0 -0.2
Slovakia 1 Slovenia 0 -0.2
Greece 0 Estonia 0 +0.2
+0.1
San Marino 0 N Ireland 3 -0.2
Lithuania 0 Scotland 3 -0.1
Malta 0 England 4 *-0.1
Czech Republic 1 Germany 2 *+0.1
+0.1
Romania 1 Armenia 0 -0.1
Cyprus 3 Bosnia-Herzegov 2 +0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Montenegro finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inDirectChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffsqualify123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354Count
222-0-095.3%97.6%003304118200220099,376,119
201-1-023.057.900310100524261230070118,095,620
191-0-10.325.70000003101715613881000155,605,160
180-2-0Out10.300389434311010033,825,865
170-1-1Out0.8000012725342281084,911,491
160-0-2OutNo021129351940049,608,185
Total:22.6%38.7%00168630016985311687642000541,422,440
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs