How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/2100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Direct qualify100.0*Average seed
San Marino 0 N Ireland 3 *Out
*No
+0.0
Serbia 3 Moldova 0 *Out
*No
-0.7
Finland 1 Iceland 0 -0.2
Luxembourg 1 Belarus 0 -0.1
Georgia 1 Republic of Ire 1 -0.1
Kazakhstan 0 Montenegro 3 +0.1
Malta 0 England 4 +0.0
Albania 2 Liechtenstein 0 +0.0
Belgium 9 Gibraltar 0 +0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Moldova finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inDirectChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffsqualify123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930313233343536373839404142434445464748495051525354Count
82-0-0OutNo01616242092022103,331,299
61-1-0OutNo03111710421510028,096,422
51-0-1OutNo0036224321400077,707,317
40-2-0OutNo354518200033,837,639
30-1-1OutNo22542246100174,901,166
20-0-2OutNo31834291330223,548,597
Total:OutNo00000011151015232214610541,422,440
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs