How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Dorados vs Veracruz-3.0-1.5+4.4
-7.4-3.1+10.3
-1.3-0.2+1.5
Monterrey vs León+1.3+0.3-1.5
+1.6+0.3-1.9
Pumas UNAM vs Guadalajara-1.0+0.3+0.8
-2.0+0.6+1.4
Santos Laguna vs Toluca+0.5+0.2-0.7
+1.6+0.5-2.0
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Puebla vs Morelia-0.4+0.1+0.3
-1.2+0.4+0.9
-0.1+0.0+0.0
América vs Chiapas-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.7+0.4+0.3
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Atlas vs Tigres UANL*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Pachuca vs Cruz Azul-0.1+0.0+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/10100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Veracruz vs Santos Laguna+4.4-1.5-3.0
+10.3-3.1-7.4
+1.5-0.2-1.3
Monterrey vs Puebla+0.3+0.1-0.4
+0.9+0.4-1.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Tijuana vs América+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.6+0.3-0.9
+0.1+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Veracruz finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceCopaChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores123456789101112131415161718Count
376-0-093.1%99.9%93709,254
355-1-077.198.977221047,762
345-0-159.294.859365050,613
334-2-044.488.944441010111,860
324-1-124.971.8254724400238,215
313-3-012.953.91341341010140,624
4-0-210.146.510363714200126,740
303-2-13.626.94234026710448,670
293-1-20.68.4182838215000475,371
2-4-00.911.811132361630099,150
282-3-10.12.00213333414300420,300
3-0-30.01.20110303618400168,798
272-2-20.00.1002143332153000671,326
1-5-0No0.2031836291120037,456
262-1-3No0.0002133032175100476,341
1-4-1No0.000317333013300198,578
251-3-2NoNo002122932185100420,284
2-0-4NoNo002925332271000126,687
0-6-0NoNo004173129153005,805
241-2-3NoNo00182332249200447,225
0-5-1NoNo0021227321961037,580
231-1-4NoNo014163029154100239,060
0-4-2NoNo0162032271230098,991
220-3-3NoNo003122731196100140,845
1-0-5NoNo0029233224920050,497
210-2-4NoNo001720312611200112,177
200-1-5NoNo003142932174047,866
190-0-6NoNo021027352159,069
Total:4.3%12.7%481113131210865432110005,457,144
Points
Chance Will Win Championship