"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Querétaro 2 Tijuana 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Atlas vs Tigres UANL-0.5-0.4+0.9
-2.1-1.2+3.2
-1.6-0.3+1.9
Monterrey vs León+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.5+0.1-0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Pumas UNAM vs Guadalajara-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.6+0.1+0.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Santos Laguna vs Toluca+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.5+0.1-0.6
Puebla vs Morelia-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.3+0.1+0.2
América vs Chiapas-0.2+0.1+0.1
Dorados vs Veracruz+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Pachuca vs Cruz Azul-0.1+0.0+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/10100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Monterrey vs Puebla+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.3
Tijuana vs América+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Veracruz vs Santos Laguna-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.0

What If

Chances based on how well the Tigres UANL finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceCopaChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores123456789101112131415161718Count
346-0-062.0%95.7%6234408,990
325-1-028.275.82848213047,745
315-0-112.752.5134035111050,422
304-2-04.932.05274023500111,610
294-1-11.011.9111323616300237,767
283-3-00.13.0031737301120140,256
4-0-20.12.202143333153000127,062
273-2-10.00.300420352811200448,254
263-1-2No0.0004183329133000476,827
2-4-0No0.0016243624810099,309
252-3-1NoNo01519332811200421,480
3-0-3NoNo003132931175100168,552
242-2-2NoNo0003142931175100671,118
1-5-0NoNo0162134261020037,512
232-1-3NoNo0028233224102000476,563
1-4-1NoNo003143031175100198,635
221-3-2NoNo0018223124102000420,958
2-0-4NoNo014152829175100126,413
0-6-0NoNo003153131164005,872
211-2-3NoNo0014142830186100447,561
0-5-1NoNo00182132251020037,352
201-1-4NoNo000282132251020238,148
0-4-2NoNo00041428311851098,819
190-3-3NoNo002823342481141,300
1-0-5NoNo001416323114250,970
180-2-4NoNo00152037298111,470
170-1-5NoNo000522442947,137
160-0-6NoNo00632619,042
Total:0.6%2.6%124689101099876542115,457,144
Points
Chance Will Win Championship