How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Puebla vs Morelia+2.1-1.9-2.8
+5.3-4.6-7.5
+0.9-0.6-1.6
Monterrey vs León+0.8+0.1-1.2
+1.5+0.2-2.3
Pumas UNAM vs Guadalajara-0.7+0.7+1.2
-1.2+1.2+2.2
-0.0+0.0-0.1
Santos Laguna vs Toluca+0.8+0.4-0.7
+2.2+0.8-1.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Dorados vs Veracruz+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.5+0.2-0.6
+0.1+0.0-0.1
América vs Chiapas-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.4+0.4+0.4
-0.0+0.1+0.0
Atlas vs Tigres UANL+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.3+0.3-0.4
+0.1+0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/10100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Monterrey vs Puebla-2.4-1.0+4.6
-5.8-2.0+10.5
-0.9-0.0+1.3
Tijuana vs América+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.5+0.3-0.6
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Veracruz vs Santos Laguna-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.4+0.4+0.5
-0.1+0.1+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Puebla finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceCopaChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores123456789101112131415161718Count
397-0-098.1%100.0%982012,143
376-1-087.199.58712067,332
366-0-172.497.672252073,889
355-2-057.993.7583660191,929
345-1-136.481.736451620413,784
334-3-020.865.9214528600300,330
5-0-218.662.4194430700219,660
324-2-17.940.48334017200956,629
314-1-22.018.4216393391001,001,779
3-4-02.421.02194131700277,460
303-3-10.46.60627422040001,160,665
4-0-30.35.4052442235000342,720
293-2-20.01.201113536153001,781,380
2-5-00.11.6021339341110151,282
283-1-30.00.1002173631122001,188,051
2-4-10.00.20032139288100774,096
272-3-2No0.000624362581001,551,328
3-0-4No0.000419342912200290,585
1-6-0No0.001930371940044,598
262-2-3No0.0001723352581001,517,338
1-5-1No0.000111293519400271,324
252-1-4NoNo0162134279100720,884
1-4-2NoNo002102735215000662,424
0-7-0NoNo0317353012205,613
241-3-3NoNo00182436247100843,898
2-0-5NoNo001418343012200132,904
0-6-1NoNo0031332341530038,631
231-2-4NoNo001520352710200587,037
0-5-2NoNo00110283620510110,780
221-1-5NoNo00316333114300210,948
0-4-3NoNo00162335258100173,730
210-3-4NoNo0041834301220156,345
1-0-6NoNo021230341840029,944
200-2-5NoNo0031432341530082,161
190-1-6NoNo02133336141022,934
180-0-7NoNo001133937904,897
Total:3.6%10.7%4711151513118643210000016,371,432
Points
Chance Will Win Championship