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Morelia Title Chances 2015Apertura 50/50
Did not play, title odds down 0.001 to 0.1%
14 points 4-2-5
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 10/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Copa Libertadores | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Querétaro 2 Tijuana 1 | -0.0 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Puebla vs Morelia | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | -0.6-0.4+0.9 | -1.5-0.4+1.9 | |||
| Monterrey vs León | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Pumas UNAM vs Guadalajara | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Santos Laguna vs Toluca | +0.2+0.0-0.2 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | ||||
| América vs Chiapas | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | |||||
| Dorados vs Veracruz | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Pachuca vs Cruz Azul | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 10/10 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Copa Libertadores | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Tijuana vs América | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | ||||
| Monterrey vs Puebla | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | ||||
| Veracruz vs Santos Laguna | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Morelia finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Copa | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Count | ||||
| 32 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 29.6 | % | 77.3 | % | 30 | 48 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 9,040 | |||||||||||||||
| 30 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 5.0 | 33.2 | 5 | 28 | 41 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 47,254 | ||||||||||||||
| 29 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 1.0 | 11.8 | 1 | 11 | 32 | 36 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 50,538 | ||||||||||||||
| 28 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 37 | 30 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 111,913 | |||||||||||||
| 27 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 34 | 29 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 237,773 | |||||||||||
| 26 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 34 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 141,606 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 2 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 30 | 31 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 125,987 | ||||||||||||
| 25 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 448,006 | |||||||||||
| 24 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 32 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 475,504 | |||||||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 31 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98,891 | ||||||||||||
| 23 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 32 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 421,607 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 31 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 168,282 | ||||||||||||
| 22 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 29 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 672,965 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 32 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 37,205 | |||||||||||||
| 21 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 476,331 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 198,123 | ||||||||||||
| 20 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 420,778 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 32 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 126,558 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | No | No | 0 | 5 | 18 | 31 | 28 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 5,845 | |||||||||||||||
| 19 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 448,663 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 28 | 33 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 37,040 | ||||||||||||||
| 18 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 37 | 28 | 7 | 237,741 | |||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 37 | 21 | 4 | 99,217 | |||||||||||||||
| 17 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 42 | 18 | 140,189 | |||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 6 | 25 | 44 | 24 | 51,382 | |||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 13 | 43 | 43 | 111,641 | |||||||||||||||||
| 15 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 27 | 70 | 47,880 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 14 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 11 | 89 | 9,185 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.1 | % | 0.6 | % | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 5,457,144 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-4 2:41 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
