León Title Chances 2015Apertura 50/50
Did not play, title odds down 0.003 to 41.5%
24 points 8-0-3
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 10/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Copa Libertadores | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Monterrey vs León | -13.5-3.7+16.9 | -14.2-2.5+16.6 | -0.6-0.1+0.6 | |||
| Santos Laguna vs Toluca | +4.3+1.6-5.8 | +3.4+1.0-4.4 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |||
| Pumas UNAM vs Guadalajara | -5.5+1.8+3.8 | -4.0+1.2+2.9 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Puebla vs Morelia | -2.0+0.7+1.4 | -2.7+0.9+1.9 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Dorados vs Veracruz | +1.2+0.6-1.7 | +1.6+0.7-2.3 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |||
| América vs Chiapas | -1.0+0.6+0.4 | -1.2+0.8+0.5 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | |||
| Atlas vs Tigres UANL | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | +0.2+0.3-0.5 | ||||
| Pachuca vs Cruz Azul | -0.2*+0.0+0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 10/10 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Copa Libertadores | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Monterrey vs Puebla | +1.3+0.7-1.9 | +1.8+0.9-2.6 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |||
| Veracruz vs Santos Laguna | -1.7+0.6+1.1 | -2.3+0.7+1.6 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||
| Tijuana vs América | +0.8+0.4-1.2 | +1.1+0.5-1.6 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the León finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Copa | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Count | ||||
| 42 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | Yes | Yes | 100 | 9,283 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 40 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 99.9 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | 47,941 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 39 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 99.7 | Yes | 100 | 0 | 50,626 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 38 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 99.1 | 100.0 | % | 99 | 1 | 0 | 112,289 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 37 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 97.0 | 100.0 | 97 | 3 | 0 | 237,243 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 36 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 94.6 | 99.9 | 95 | 5 | 0 | 140,383 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 92.3 | 99.8 | 92 | 7 | 0 | 126,527 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 35 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 85.9 | 99.4 | 86 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 448,230 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 34 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 71.8 | 97.3 | 72 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 476,735 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 77.8 | 98.5 | 78 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 98,945 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 33 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 59.2 | 93.7 | 59 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 421,046 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 52.7 | 90.9 | 53 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 168,939 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 32 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 35.9 | 80.3 | 36 | 44 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 671,973 | ||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 43.3 | 85.6 | 43 | 42 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 37,545 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 31 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 17.1 | 58.3 | 17 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 475,450 | |||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 21.7 | 65.1 | 22 | 43 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 197,865 | ||||||||||||||||
| 30 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 7.1 | 36.4 | 7 | 29 | 39 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 420,553 | ||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 5.1 | 30.2 | 5 | 25 | 39 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 126,234 | |||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 9.6 | 42.7 | 10 | 33 | 37 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 5,767 | |||||||||||||||||
| 29 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 1.3 | 12.5 | 1 | 11 | 32 | 35 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 449,031 | ||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 2.1 | 16.7 | 2 | 15 | 35 | 33 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 37,446 | |||||||||||||||
| 28 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 32 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 238,742 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 0.1 | 3.1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 34 | 31 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 99,261 | ||||||||||||||
| 27 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 31 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 140,229 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | 0.1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 33 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 50,700 | ||||||||||||||
| 26 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 32 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 111,810 | |||||||||||
| 25 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 32 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 47,271 | ||||||||||||
| 24 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 31 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9,080 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 41.5 | % | 64.5 | % | 42 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5,457,144 | |||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-4 2:41 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
