"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Querétaro 2 Tijuana 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
América vs Chiapas-0.6-0.4+1.0
-2.4-1.3+3.6
-1.6-0.3+1.9
Monterrey vs León+0.3+0.1-0.3
+0.5+0.1-0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Santos Laguna vs Toluca+0.2+0.0-0.2
+0.6+0.1-0.7
Pumas UNAM vs Guadalajara-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.6+0.2+0.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Dorados vs Veracruz+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3+0.1-0.4
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Puebla vs Morelia-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.3+0.1+0.2
Atlas vs Tigres UANL+0.1+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Pachuca vs Cruz Azul-0.1+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/10100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Veracruz vs Santos Laguna-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.4+0.1+0.3
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Monterrey vs Puebla+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.3
Tijuana vs América+0.1+0.1-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well Chiapas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceCopaChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores123456789101112131415161718Count
346-0-067.7%97.4%6830309,199
325-1-033.781.23448172047,376
315-0-114.756.4154233910050,942
304-2-06.738.37324018300112,293
294-1-11.213.6112333515300238,055
283-3-00.24.2042037289100140,232
4-0-20.12.20214333315300126,567
273-2-10.00.400520342811200448,464
263-1-2No0.000416323015300475,840
2-4-0No0.0017233524910099,545
252-3-1No0.00004173229143000421,476
3-0-3NoNo002112732206100168,838
242-2-2NoNo0021127322061000672,148
1-5-0NoNo0151832291330037,506
232-1-3NoNo001619312712300476,207
1-4-1NoNo002112632217100197,504
221-3-2NoNo0016183028144000421,284
2-0-4NoNo0003122731196100126,240
0-6-0NoNo01102633228105,846
211-2-3NoNo003122632207100448,709
0-5-1NoNo0151731281440037,400
201-1-4NoNo0018223326910237,070
0-4-2NoNo0021126332171098,878
190-3-3NoNo001823352571140,386
1-0-5NoNo0162135289150,314
180-2-4NoNo00172539244111,816
170-1-5NoNo01933411647,801
160-0-6NoNo021846339,208
Total:0.7%3.0%1246789999876543105,457,144
Points
Chance Will Win Championship