How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
América vs Chiapas-0.1-0.1+0.5
-0.6-0.2+2.1
-0.8+0.2+2.0
Monterrey vs León+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.2*-0.0-0.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Santos Laguna vs Toluca+0.1+0.0-0.0
+0.3+0.1-0.2
Pumas UNAM vs Guadalajara-0.1+0.1+0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Dorados vs Veracruz+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Puebla vs Morelia+0.0+0.0-0.1
Atlas vs Tigres UANL+0.1+0.0-0.1
Pachuca vs Cruz Azul-0.1+0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 10/10100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Copa Libertadores100.0*Average seed
Monterrey vs Puebla+0.0+0.0-0.1
Veracruz vs Santos Laguna-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Chiapas finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceCopaChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLibertadores123456789101112131415161718Count
346-0-046.5%89.0%464211014,263
325-1-012.351.5123936111089,774
315-0-12.520.93184031810118,067
304-2-00.810.2193238173000258,701
294-1-10.01.501123434153000650,825
284-0-20.00.100214333215300395,306
3-3-00.00.30042136279100371,556
273-2-10.00.00005213527101001,337,277
263-1-2NoNo016203528101001,546,439
2-4-0No0.00019263522610285,702
252-3-1NoNo00182536236101,310,636
3-0-3NoNo0152036289100565,153
242-2-2NoNo001825372261002,167,618
1-5-0NoNo00211303617300111,973
232-1-3NoNo001725362371001,530,258
1-4-1NoNo00110303518400615,708
221-3-2NoNo0011028352061001,308,035
2-0-4NoNo0172335259100387,632
0-6-0NoNo02143332153017,584
211-2-3NoNo001825342371001,335,572
0-5-1NoNo00212293318510111,727
201-1-4NoNo00172235269100656,460
0-4-2NoNo00210273421610288,186
190-3-3NoNo0018253623600380,291
1-0-5NoNo016213627810124,437
180-2-4NoNo001727392340273,369
170-1-5NoNo0193241152101,350
160-0-6NoNo02144334717,533
Total:0.1%0.7%0124681113141210864210016,371,432
Points
Chance Will Win Championship