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América Title Chances 2015Apertura 50/50
Did not play, title odds down 0.001 to 3.1%
18 points 6-0-5
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 10/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Copa Libertadores | 100.0* | Average seed |
| América vs Chiapas | +3.3-1.2-2.2 | +8.4-2.6-6.0 | +1.7-0.2-1.5 | |||
| Monterrey vs León | +1.0+0.2-1.2 | +1.2+0.2-1.4 | ||||
| Pumas UNAM vs Guadalajara | -0.6+0.2+0.4 | -1.5+0.5+1.0 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | |||
| Santos Laguna vs Toluca | +0.4+0.1-0.5 | +1.3+0.4-1.7 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |||
| Puebla vs Morelia | -0.3+0.1+0.2 | -0.9+0.3+0.7 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | |||
| Dorados vs Veracruz | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | +0.6+0.3-0.9 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |||
| Atlas vs Tigres UANL | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | ||||
| Pachuca vs Cruz Azul | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 10/10 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Copa Libertadores | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Tijuana vs América | -2.2-1.2+3.3 | -5.8-2.5+8.2 | -1.4-0.2+1.6 | |||
| Monterrey vs Puebla | +0.2+0.1-0.3 | +0.7+0.3-0.9 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | |||
| Veracruz vs Santos Laguna | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | -0.9+0.3+0.7 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well América finishes out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Copa | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Libertadores | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | Count | ||||
| 36 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 90.2 | % | 100.0 | % | 90 | 10 | 0 | 9,079 | |||||||||||||||||
| 34 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 69.6 | 98.1 | 70 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 47,424 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 33 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 49.5 | 91.5 | 49 | 42 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 50,779 | |||||||||||||||||
| 32 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 35.9 | 83.7 | 36 | 48 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 111,999 | ||||||||||||||||
| 31 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 15.6 | 58.9 | 16 | 43 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 238,091 | |||||||||||||||
| 30 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 7.2 | 40.8 | 7 | 34 | 38 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 141,143 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 4.8 | 30.7 | 5 | 26 | 39 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 126,570 | ||||||||||||||||
| 29 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 1.4 | 15.0 | 1 | 14 | 34 | 34 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 446,479 | ||||||||||||||
| 28 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0.1 | 2.6 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 34 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 477,166 | |||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 0.2 | 5.1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 99,188 | |||||||||||||||
| 27 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 422,195 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 168,288 | |||||||||||||
| 26 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 33 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 672,255 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 0 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 37,083 | ||||||||||||||
| 25 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 475,425 | |||||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 1 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 198,050 | |||||||||||||
| 24 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 421,298 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 125,906 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 0 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 33 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 5,866 | ||||||||||||||
| 23 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 448,065 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 1 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 31 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 36,887 | ||||||||||||
| 22 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 27 | 30 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 238,479 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 31 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 99,421 | |||||||||||
| 21 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 140,313 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 32 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 50,366 | |||||||||||||
| 20 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 33 | 27 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 112,308 | ||||||||||||
| 19 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 35 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 47,764 | ||||||||||||||
| 18 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 42 | 29 | 6 | 9,257 | |||||||||||||||
| Total: | 3.1 | % | 9.5 | % | 3 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5,457,144 | |||||||
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-4 2:41 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
