How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Olympique Lyonn vs Manchester City-6.0InIn
-0.6+0.1+0.2
Hoffenheim vs Shakhtar Donetsk-1.1InIn

What If

Chances based on how well the Manchester City finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-D-Lplayoffs1234Count
13-15In1003,229,770,214*
121-0-1In6733950,950,676
110-2-0In100337,307,271
100-1-1In2872421,021,932
90-0-249.6%5050130,500,003
Total:98.7%851315,069,550,096

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 11/27100.0*Lottery seed
Olympique Lyonn vs Manchester City-5.0+0.6+1.3
Hoffenheim vs Shakhtar Donetsk-0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
152-0-01212131312121313
131-1-01312131212131312
121-0-14444444488888888
110-2-01212121213131313
100-1-19999999933333333
90-0-26666666666666666
Total:00000000222222221111111111111111