"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
MAR vs MLI-9.3-3.1+11.9
-0.5-0.1+0.6
GAB vs CIV+0.9+2.3-2.9

What If

Chances based on how well the MLI finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTL-OTDplayoffs1234Count
134-00-0098.4%982132,955,113
113-00-0186.58614451,756,017
103-01-0051.251481527,181,967
92-00-0243.944542580,553,510
82-01-014.14653101,354,857,669
72-02-00No157015790,619,608
1-00-031.1151471331,647,192
61-01-02No663311,160,902,376
51-02-01No26741,354,846,398
0-00-04No2495071,043,288
41-03-00No595527,155,895
0-01-03No1288331,611,757
30-02-02No199580,583,471
1-2No100584,715,979*
Total:12.6%132127398,780,430,240

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/28100.0*Lottery seed
MAR vs MLI+2.6+0.5-3.0
GAB vs CIV+0.1-0.1-0.0
NGA vs CMR-0.0-0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-OTL-OTD1234567891011121314151617181920
134-00-00234127812000
113-00-011724351994100
103-01-000031631132012301000
92-00-020005393122015410000
82-01-010004021026271312510000
72-02-0000021261825175132000
1-00-0310011040616168110000
61-01-020006041526171810200
51-02-0100171817292071
0-00-0402004172816211020
41-03-0000005418342910
0-01-0300011162233225
30-02-02000116234128
20-03-010173360
10-04-000011485
Total:01236134683567679987