How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
MAR vs MLI-3.0-0.4+8.3
-0.3+0.1+0.7
GAB vs CIV+1.5+0.9-2.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the MLI finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTL-OTDplayoffs1234Count
134-00-0094.8%955111,533,450
113-00-0173.67426536,907,446
103-01-0040.841581821,018,467
92-00-0229.029692981,014,242
82-01-012.73653202,969,234,856
72-02-00No1869132,234,187,767
1-00-030.5153451778,378,226
61-01-02No964273,488,291,077
51-02-01No31695,173,214,114
0-00-04No25246225,185,392
41-03-00No5952,535,900,063
0-01-03No17831,323,756,006
30-02-02No2982,889,909,225
1-2No1003,759,838,789*
Total:4.3%416265427,828,369,120

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/28100.0*Lottery seed
MAR vs MLI+1.5-0.3-3.3
GAB vs CIV+0.2-0.1-0.2
CPV vs RSA+0.1-0.0-0.1
NGA vs CMR-0.0+0.0+0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-OTL-OTD1234567891011121314151617181920
134-00-0011232371341000
113-00-010032248613610
103-01-00000437317241321000
92-00-0200128072429920000
82-01-010030193025161330000
72-02-000005131330205113000
1-00-031001153610211120100
61-01-02001831626164242000
51-02-010271394719300
0-00-0400204152210369100
41-03-000001428402150
0-01-0300161031351420
30-02-020000282937204
20-03-0118284121
10-04-000183456
Total:00013013664776318131085