San Diego Padres Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Rockies 5-2, playoff odds up 2.9 to 41.6%

14-13 .519

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win World Series	100.0*	Average seed
Rockies 2 Padres 5	+3.1		+0.3		+0.3
Nationals 2 Dodgers 11	-0.2		-0.1
Cubs 4 Astros 3	-0.2
Giants 2 Mets 8	+0.2		+0.1
Cardinals 5 Diamondbacks 1	+0.2		+0.1
Braves 4 Marlins 3	-0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win World Series	100.0*	Average seed
Rockies vs Padres	-3.2+3.2		-0.3+0.3		-0.3+0.3
Nationals vs Dodgers	+0.3-0.3		+0.1-0.1
Cubs vs Astros	-0.2+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Padres finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

108	-149				In		100															47,887	*
107		93	-	42	In		100	0														2,132
106		92	-	43	In		100	0		0												4,622
105		91	-	44	In		100	0														9,582
104		90	-	45	In		100	0		0												19,340
103		89	-	46	In		100	0		0												38,397
102		88	-	47	In		99	1		0												71,939
101		87	-	48	In		99	1	0	0												131,964
100		86	-	49	In		98	2	0	0												234,471
99		85	-	50	In		97	3	0	0												404,352
98		84	-	51	In		95	4	0	0	0											673,805
97		83	-	52	In		92	7	0	1	0											1,086,192
96		82	-	53	In		88	11	0	1	0											1,700,250
95		81	-	54	In		82	16	1	2	0	0										2,580,012
94		80	-	55	In		74	22	1	3	0	0										3,797,896
93		79	-	56	100.0	%	63	29	3	5	0	0	0									5,424,585
92		78	-	57	100.0		51	36	5	8	0	0	0									7,515,175
91		77	-	58	100.0		38	41	9	11	1	0	0	0								10,101,413
90		76	-	59	100.0		26	43	15	14	2	0	0	0	0							13,190,537
89		75	-	60	100.0		15	40	22	18	5	1	0	0	0	0						16,695,036
88		74	-	61	99.8		7	33	29	20	9	2	0	0	0	0						20,527,993
87		73	-	62	99.2		3	23	34	19	15	5	1	0	0	0	0					24,499,704
86		72	-	63	96.7		1	14	35	16	20	11	3	0	0	0	0					28,388,648
85		71	-	64	89.8		0	7	33	10	22	18	8	2	0	0	0	0	0			31,927,356
84		70	-	65	75.5		0	3	27	5	17	24	17	6	1	0	0	0	0			34,861,557
83		69	-	66	54.1		0	1	20	2	10	22	24	15	5	1	0	0	0	0		36,982,465
82		68	-	67	31.6		0	0	13	0	4	14	25	24	14	4	1	0	0	0		38,080,281
81		67	-	68	15.1		0	0	8	0	1	6	17	27	24	12	4	1	0	0	0	38,091,506
80		66	-	69	6.3			0	4	0	0	2	8	20	29	23	11	3	0	0	0	36,973,764
79		65	-	70	2.5			0	2	0	0	0	3	10	23	30	22	9	2	0	0	34,866,678
78		64	-	71	1.0			0	1	0	0	0	1	4	13	26	30	19	6	1	0	31,929,539
77		63	-	72	0.4				0	0	0	0	0	1	5	17	30	29	14	3	0	28,379,403
76		62	-	73	0.1				0	0	0	0	0	0	2	8	22	33	25	9	1	24,482,652
75		61	-	74	0.0				0			0	0	0	0	3	13	29	34	18	3	20,526,856
74		60	-	75	0.0				0			0	0	0	0	1	6	21	36	29	8	16,700,279
73		59	-	76	0.0				0				0	0	0	0	2	12	33	38	15	13,187,356
72		58	-	77	0.0				0				0	0	0	0	1	6	25	44	25	10,102,702
71		57	-	78	0.0				0						0	0	0	3	17	44	36	7,512,884
70		56	-	79	0.0				0						0	0	0	1	10	40	49	5,421,835
69		55	-	80	Out											0	0	0	6	34	60	3,799,327
68		54	-	81	Out											0	0	0	3	27	70	2,580,722
67		53	-	82	Out											0	0	0	1	20	79	1,701,755
66		52	-	83	Out													0	1	14	85	1,083,981
65		51	-	84	Out													0	0	10	90	671,448
64		50	-	85	Out													0	0	7	93	403,681
63		49	-	86	Out														0	4	96	234,950
62		48	-	87	Out														0	3	97	132,049
61		47	-	88	Out														0	2	98	72,205
60		46	-	89	Out															1	99	38,185
59		45	-	90	Out															1	99	19,419
58		44	-	91	Out															0	100	9,763
57		43	-	92	Out															0	100	4,666
56		42	-	93	Out																100	2,071
55		41	-	94	Out															0	100	953
14	-54				Out																100	46,960	*

Total:					41.6	%	5	8	12	5	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	5	4	557,975,180

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Padres finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:							Chance will play in first round
TW		W	-	L	Win WS		Bye	Braves	Brewers	Cubs	Phillies	Dodgers	Reds	Mets	Pirates	Diamondbacks	Giants	Nationals	Cardinals	Rockies	Marlins

107	-149				12.4	%	Yes
106		92	-	43	12.6		100								0
105		91	-	44	12.3		Yes
104		90	-	45	12.5		100			0
103		89	-	46	12.4		100						0		0	0		0	0
102		88	-	47	12.5		100	0	0	0	0		0	0	0	0	0			0
101		87	-	48	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
100		86	-	49	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
99		85	-	50	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
98		84	-	51	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
97		83	-	52	12.5		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
96		82	-	53	12.4		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
95		81	-	54	12.4		98	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
94		80	-	55	12.3		97	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
93		79	-	56	12.2		95	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
92		78	-	57	12.0		92	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
91		77	-	58	11.8		88	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0
90		76	-	59	11.5		83	2	2	2	2	1	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0
89		75	-	60	11.0		77	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	2	1	1	0	0
88		74	-	61	10.4		69	3	3	3	3	2	3	2	2	2	2	1	2	0	0
87		73	-	62	9.7		60	4	4	4	3	2	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	1	0
86		72	-	63	8.5		50	4	4	4	4	2	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	1	0
85		71	-	64	6.9		40	3	4	3	3	2	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	0	0
84		70	-	65	5.1		30	2	2	2	2	1	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0
83		69	-	66	3.3		21	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0
82		68	-	67	2.0		13	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
81		67	-	68	1.1		8	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
80		66	-	69	0.6		4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
79		65	-	70	0.3		2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
78		64	-	71	0.1		1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
77		63	-	72	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
76		62	-	73	0.0		0	0	0		0		0	0	0			0			0
70	-75				0.0		0
14	-69				No

Total:					3.8	%	25.1	1.0	1.1	1.1	1.0	0.6	1.0	0.9	0.8	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.6	0.2	0.1

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs