San Francisco Giants Playoff Chances 50/50

Lost to Mets 2-8, playoff odds down 3.6 to 31.9%

12-14 .462

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Wednesday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win World Series	100.0*	Average seed
Giants 2 Mets 8	-3.1		-0.3		-0.3
Nationals 2 Dodgers 11	-0.2		-0.1
Cubs 4 Astros 3	-0.2
Rockies 2 Padres 5	-0.2
Cardinals 5 Diamondbacks 1	+0.2
Braves 4 Marlins 3	-0.1

If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win World Series	100.0*	Average seed
Rockies vs Padres	+0.2-0.2
Nationals vs Dodgers	+0.2-0.2		+0.1-0.1
Cubs vs Astros	-0.2+0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Giants finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

106	-148				In		100															49,054	*
105		93	-	43	In		100	0														3,495
104		92	-	44	In		100	0														7,062
103		91	-	45	In		100	0		0												14,515
102		90	-	46	In		99	1		0												28,920
101		89	-	47	In		99	1	0	0												54,822
100		88	-	48	In		98	2	0	0												101,885
99		87	-	49	In		97	3	0	0												183,291
98		86	-	50	In		95	4	0	0	0											318,802
97		85	-	51	In		92	7	0	1												537,992
96		84	-	52	In		88	10	0	1	0											880,625
95		83	-	53	In		82	15	1	2	0	0										1,392,761
94		82	-	54	In		74	21	1	4	0	0										2,140,888
93		81	-	55	100.0	%	64	28	2	6	0	0	0									3,192,105
92		80	-	56	100.0		52	35	5	8	0	0	0									4,609,562
91		79	-	57	100.0		38	40	9	12	1	0	0	0								6,470,274
90		78	-	58	100.0		26	42	14	16	2	0	0	0	0							8,812,980
89		77	-	59	100.0		15	39	20	20	5	1	0	0	0	0						11,641,109
88		76	-	60	99.8		7	32	27	22	10	2	0	0	0	0						14,940,342
87		75	-	61	99.1		3	22	32	21	16	5	1	0	0	0	0					18,610,728
86		74	-	62	96.4		1	13	33	17	22	11	3	0	0	0	0					22,509,421
85		73	-	63	89.1		0	6	30	11	23	19	9	2	0	0	0	0	0			26,431,048
84		72	-	64	74.1		0	2	24	5	18	25	17	7	2	0	0	0	0			30,144,413
83		71	-	65	52.2		0	1	18	2	10	22	25	16	6	1	0	0	0	0		33,401,058
82		70	-	66	29.7		0	0	11	0	4	14	25	25	14	5	1	0	0	0		35,927,466
81		69	-	67	13.6		0	0	7	0	1	6	17	27	25	13	4	1	0	0	0	37,529,304
80		68	-	68	5.4			0	4	0	0	2	8	20	29	24	11	3	0	0	0	38,080,042
79		67	-	69	2.0			0	2	0	0	0	2	10	23	30	22	9	2	0	0	37,537,269
78		66	-	70	0.8			0	1	0	0	0	1	3	13	26	30	19	6	1	0	35,924,819
77		65	-	71	0.3			0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	16	30	29	15	3	0	33,405,732
76		64	-	72	0.1				0		0	0	0	0	1	8	22	33	26	9	1	30,157,746
75		63	-	73	0.0				0			0	0	0	0	3	12	29	34	18	3	26,438,860
74		62	-	74	0.0				0			0	0	0	0	1	6	20	37	29	8	22,510,383
73		61	-	75	0.0				0				0	0	0	0	2	12	33	38	15	18,608,454
72		60	-	76	0.0				0					0	0	0	1	6	25	44	25	14,939,243
71		59	-	77	0.0				0						0	0	0	3	17	44	36	11,642,991
70		58	-	78	Out										0	0	0	1	10	40	48	8,808,783
69		57	-	79	Out											0	0	0	6	34	60	6,473,084
68		56	-	80	Out										0	0	0	0	3	27	70	4,609,566
67		55	-	81	Out												0	0	1	20	78	3,190,070
66		54	-	82	Out												0	0	1	15	85	2,141,007
65		53	-	83	Out													0	0	10	90	1,391,910
64		52	-	84	Out													0	0	7	93	880,121
63		51	-	85	Out													0	0	4	96	537,642
62		50	-	86	Out														0	3	97	319,424
61		49	-	87	Out														0	2	98	183,386
60		48	-	88	Out														0	1	99	102,738
59		47	-	89	Out															1	99	55,130
58		46	-	90	Out															0	100	28,775
57		45	-	91	Out															0	100	14,613
56		44	-	92	Out															0	100	7,166
55		43	-	93	Out															0	100	3,342
54		42	-	94	Out															0	100	1,571
12	-53				Out																100	47,391	*

Total:					31.9	%	3	5	9	4	5	6	6	7	8	8	8	8	8	8	6	557,975,180

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Giants finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:							Chance will play in first round
TW		W	-	L	Win WS		Bye	Braves	Brewers	Cubs	Phillies	Dodgers	Reds	Mets	Padres	Pirates	Diamondbacks	Nationals	Cardinals	Rockies	Marlins

104	-148				12.4	%	Yes
103		91	-	45	12.1		100			0
102		90	-	46	12.5		100	0			0	0	0		0	0	0		0
101		89	-	47	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0
100		88	-	48	12.4		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
99		87	-	49	12.6		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
98		86	-	50	12.4		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
97		85	-	51	12.5		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
96		84	-	52	12.4		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
95		83	-	53	12.3		98	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
94		82	-	54	12.3		96	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
93		81	-	55	12.1		94	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
92		80	-	56	12.0		91	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
91		79	-	57	11.7		87	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0
90		78	-	58	11.3		82	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	2	1	1	1	1	0	0
89		77	-	59	10.9		75	2	3	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	0	0
88		76	-	60	10.3		66	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	0	0
87		75	-	61	9.4		57	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	1	0
86		74	-	62	8.2		47	4	4	4	4	3	4	3	3	3	2	2	2	1	0
85		73	-	63	6.6		36	3	4	3	3	2	3	3	2	3	2	2	2	0	0
84		72	-	64	4.8		27	2	2	2	2	1	2	2	1	2	1	1	1	0	0
83		71	-	65	3.0		18	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0
82		70	-	66	1.7		12	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
81		69	-	67	0.9		7	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
80		68	-	68	0.5		4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
79		67	-	69	0.2		2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
78		66	-	70	0.1		1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
77		65	-	71	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
76		64	-	72	0.0		0	0		0				0	0			0
71	-75				0.0		0
12	-70				No

Total:					2.7	%	17.6	0.9	0.9	0.9	0.9	0.6	0.8	0.7	0.6	0.6	0.5	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.1

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs