Colorado Rockies Playoff Chances

Did not play, playoff odds up 0.7 to 80.7%
68-56   .548

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Rockies 5 Reds 3 +1.5
Brewers 8 Orioles 1 -0.4
Cardinals 14 Marlins 6 -0.3
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Rockies 1 Reds 8 -2.0
-0.1
Cubs 5 Rays 6 +0.5
Cardinals 2 Marlins 5 +0.5
Brewers 6 Orioles 2 -0.4
Braves 4 Astros 16 *+0.1
Nationals 11 Mets 4 *+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Rockies finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10638-0In40962,236,996
10537-1In1348323
10436-2In4096404
10335-3In21974,634
10234-4In119837,448
10133-5In1199234,308
10032-6In01991,182,049
9931-7In0009904,945,217
9830-8In000100017,426,872
9729-9In000100052,627,267
9628-10In0001000137,522,826
9527-11100.0%0009910313,858,498
9426-12100.00009820629,837,284
9325-13100.000094601,117,700,622
9224-14100.00008713001,761,650,148
9123-1599.90007525002,474,973,516
9022-1699.600060390003,107,951,699
8921-1798.00043552003,495,565,438
8820-1893.10027667003,526,644,214
8719-1982.21469171003,194,351,878
8618-2064.2559324002,598,324,662
8517-2142.52414611101,897,843,003
8416-2222.902350243001,243,897,360
8315-239.70104339800730,499,504
8214-243.20328491900383,679,520
8113-250.801154835200179,761,894
8012-260.1006375160074,880,458
7911-270.00223601400027,614,453
7810-280.0001160272008,965,603
779-290.000449416002,547,167
768-30Out0133501410627,693
757-31Out0018502740132,458
746-32Out083941111023,648
735-33Out2234327503,528
724-34Out183536182426
713-35Out556120944
702-36Out50502
680-38Out00431461902,236,996
Total:80.7%00039421351000000026,989,789,760

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Rockies finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeDodgersNationalsDiamondbacksCubsCardinalsBrewersMarlinsPiratesBravesMetsPadresRedsGiantsPhillies
10638-01.9%40521120102000
10537-18.7173913229
10436-22.54539211030
10335-31.8362916920
10234-41.8206491682000
10133-51.81066815720000
10032-61.8100688147200000
9931-71.8100718136200000
9830-81.80007371262000000
9729-91.800075711520000000
9628-101.800077610520000000
9527-111.700078610420000000
9426-121.70008059420000000
9325-131.70008258420000000
9224-141.70008347320000000
9123-151.70008447320000000
9022-161.70008546320000000
8921-171.70008536210000000
8820-181.60008235210000000
8719-191.4007424210000000
8618-201.1005912110000000
8517-210.7004011100000000
8416-220.4002200000000000
8315-230.200900000000000
8214-240.100300000000000
8113-250.0001000000000
8012-260.000000000
7911-270.00000
77-780.00
68-76No
Total:1.4%0.00.00.069.92.84.72.11.20.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Rockies 5 Reds 3 -0.2
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Rockies 1 Reds 8 +0.3

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10638-069220
10537-113834
10436-248971
10335-3277201
10234-41633330
10133-50474480
10032-6031511700
9931-7018513010
9830-8084245400
9729-90329571100
9628-1001175922200
9527-11007513560000
9426-120033645151000
9325-1300120462950000
9224-1400835411420000
9123-1500320422871000
9022-16001831381830000
8921-17002163633110200
8820-18000522382527000
8719-190001929368171000
8618-2000021333163050000
8517-21000418203816300000
8416-22000061632291231000
8315-23000191530261441000
8214-24000341527271661000
8113-25001041325292071000
8012-26000031023312291000
7911-2700002922322491000
7810-2800001823342581000
779-290000182535237100
768-3000192735216100
757-3100211293319510
746-320213293318400
735-33031332321640
724-3414153130164
713-35220362714
702-365050
680-380011436351210
Total:00049151717145114211000000000000000