Colorado Rockies Playoff Chances

Beat Braves 17-2, playoff odds up 5.8 to 87.6%
67-53   .558

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Rockies 5 Reds 3 +1.5
Brewers 8 Orioles 1 -0.4
Cardinals 14 Marlins 6 -0.3
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series
Rockies 1 Reds 8 -2.0
-0.1
Cubs 5 Rays 6 +0.5
Cardinals 2 Marlins 5 +0.5
Brewers 6 Orioles 2 -0.4
Braves 4 Astros 16 *+0.1
Nationals 11 Mets 4 *+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Rockies finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
10942-0In30070204,143
10841-1In1001
10740-2In17836
10639-3In39766
10538-4In3097584
10437-5In20984,072
10336-6In109921,879
10235-7In0099101,494
10134-8In001000394,932
10033-9In0010001,323,683
9932-10In00010003,848,776
9831-11In00010009,825,841
9730-12In00099122,202,149
9629-13100.0%000982044,582,738
9528-14100.0000955079,991,231
9427-15100.000090100128,788,710
9326-16100.000081190186,584,548
9225-17100.0000693100243,970,920
9124-1899.8000544600288,305,774
9023-1999.100396010308,571,822
8922-2096.8002572300299,387,271
8821-2190.701477900263,459,652
8720-2278.706722010210,395,336
8619-2360.425835500152,405,129
8518-2439.3139471310100,083,062
8417-2520.8021492730059,545,592
8316-268.709414190032,057,534
8215-272.7032650211015,575,524
8114-280.6011348363006,812,279
8013-290.100536518002,676,536
7912-300.00122591710941,639
7811-310.00011563030294,591
7710-32Out04444290081,658
769-33Out12849202020,019
758-34Out0164333704,326
747-35Out53243183791
736-36Out313433010115
725-37Out30403010
714-38Out1004
670-42Out012848220204,143
Total:87.6%000404793100000002,462,668,580

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Rockies finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeDodgersNationalsDiamondbacksCubsCardinalsBrewersMarlinsPiratesMetsBravesPadresRedsGiantsPhillies
10942-03.0%3004961131000
10841-1NoYes
10740-2No1783
10639-31.5382583
10538-42.13787832
10437-52.4207869310
10336-62.11080693100
10235-72.010816931000
10134-82.000083583100000
10033-92.00008457210000
9932-102.0000855721000000
9831-112.00008646210000000
9730-122.00008746210000000
9629-132.00008845210000000
9528-142.00008935210000000
9427-152.00009034210000000
9326-162.00009034210000000
9225-172.00009134210000000
9124-182.00009223110000000
9023-192.00009223110000000
8922-201.90009023110000000
8821-211.80008522110000000
8720-221.60007512100000000
8619-231.2005811000000000
8518-240.8003800000000000
8417-250.400200000000000
8316-260.20090000000000
8215-270.1003000000000
8114-280.010000000
8013-290.0000
78-790.00
67-77No
Total:1.7%0.00.00.080.82.02.81.20.70.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Rockies 5 Reds 3 -0.2
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Rockies 1 Reds 8 +0.3

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
10942-038620
10841-1100
10740-21783
10639-33925
10538-438890
10437-5282160
10336-6171271
10235-70573840
10134-804248100
10033-9027531900
9932-10015513210
9831-11074346400
9730-1203305710000
9629-13011759212000
9528-14008513460000
9427-150033644152000
9326-160120432871000
9225-1700832381730000
9124-18003183831101000
9023-19001726382350100
8922-20002123336130300
8821-21000420382629000
8720-22001828366201000
8619-2300021333133360000
8518-2400041916411730000
8417-2500171435311120000
8316-2600171833251130000
8215-27000351929251341000
8114-28001161627271661000
8013-2900014132629197100
7912-30000031124302181000
7811-3100002102331238200
7710-3200292333239200
769-330029243323810
758-3400292532238100
747-35028253422810
736-361372433274
725-37405010
714-387525
670-4200631411920
Total:00181417181611383100000000000000000