Colorado Rockies Playoff Chances

Lost to Nationals 4-11, playoff odds down 8.2 to 53.1%
14-8   .636

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Rockies 4 Nationals 11 -3.1
-0.3
-0.2
Diamondbacks 5 Padres 8 +0.4
+0.1
Giants 4 Dodgers 3 +0.3
Mets 2 Braves 8 +0.2
Pirates 6 Cubs 5 +0.2
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Rockies vs Nationals+3.3-3.1
+0.3-0.3
+0.3-0.3
Diamondbacks vs Padres-0.3+0.4
-0.1+0.1
Giants vs Dodgers+0.3-0.3
+0.1-0.0
Cardinals vs Blue Jays-0.1+0.1
Cardinals vs Blue Jays-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Rockies finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
109-154In1006,019*
10894-46In10001,690
10793-47In10003,311
10692-48In10006,140
10591-49In990011,025
10490-50In991019,297
10389-51In9910033,591
10288-52In9820055,521
10187-53In9730089,913
10086-54In954010140,491
9985-55In926010215,302
9884-56In899020318,469
9783-57In8413040456,334
9682-58In7717150634,860
9581-59100.0%68231800862,289
9480-60100.05728212001,132,731
9379-61100.046334161001,446,342
9278-62100.0343772110001,794,044
9177-6399.92337102730002,166,950
9076-6499.61334153260002,536,600
8975-6598.772718341210002,884,861
8874-6696.231921341930003,196,386
8773-6790.4112212927810003,435,399
8672-6879.30619213317400003,591,685
8571-6962.002151332271020003,652,677
8470-7041.201116243320610003,608,091
8369-7122.3007213303014300003,463,456
8268-729.604052033261020003,233,057
8167-733.502019253321710002,929,165
8066-741.2010031329311741002,585,030
7965-750.40000151832281230002,210,020
7864-760.100001823332481001,843,572
7763-770.0000003122832195101,492,285
7662-780.00001518322913201,171,214
7561-790.000001924342371894,849
7460-800.0000003153233152664,690
7359-81Out000172437256479,708
7258-82Out000315343512335,821
7157-83Out0018274222228,904
7056-84Out004194433150,690
6955-85Out00212414697,176
6854-86Out017355860,555
6753-87Out004286836,651
6652-88Out02217721,659
6551-89Out01148512,238
6450-90Out0010896,777
6349-91Out007933,655
6248-92Out04961,832
6147-93Out0297990
6046-94Out298486
5945-95Out199190
14-58Out1004,652*
Total:53.1%1010913111087654321154,229,340

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Rockies finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeNationalsDiamondbacksCubsBrewersPhilliesMarlinsDodgersRedsCardinalsMetsPiratesBravesGiantsPadres
106-15410.8%Yes
10591-4910.7100000
10490-5010.810000000000
10389-5110.71000000000000
10288-5210.810000000000000000
10187-5311.010000000000000000
10086-5411.09900000000000000
9985-5510.99900000000000000
9884-5610.99800000000000000
9783-5710.89600001010000000
9682-5810.79510111110000000
9581-5910.69210111110000000
9480-6010.48811112221000000
9379-6110.18321222231110000
9278-629.77732223341110000
9177-639.37042334452111110
9076-648.96253445562111110
8975-658.35364456672221110
8874-667.64364557783221110
8773-676.83474568783221111
8672-685.72574567773221111
8571-694.31853456653221110
8470-702.91232334442111110
8369-711.6721122221110000
8268-720.7410111110000000
8167-730.3200000000000000
8066-740.1100000000000000
7965-750.0000000000000000
7864-760.0000000000000000
7763-770.000000000000
74-760.00
14-73No
Total:4.5%29.32.81.82.32.43.23.13.31.30.90.90.50.50.50.2
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Rockies 4 Nationals 11 +0.5
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Rockies vs Nationals-0.6+0.5

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
110-154100
10995-451000
10894-461000
10793-47991
10692-48991
10591-49991
10490-50982
10389-519730
10288-529550
10187-539370
10086-54891100
9985-558316100
9884-567622200
9783-5766295000
9682-5855359100
9581-59424015300000
9480-60294123610000
9379-61183630133000000
9278-62927332182000000
9177-6341729281651000000
9076-6418202824134100000
8975-650210212722114101000
8874-66013112126211130300000
8773-67001310192520102810000
8672-680001381824197155100000
8571-6900002716221520135100000
8470-70000016151916201462000000
8369-710001615818221793100000
8268-720001828172320125200000
8167-730003026142223179310000
8066-7400100141019242113520000
7965-75000000027152223179310000
7864-7600000000141120242112510000
7763-7700000013817242315720000
7662-780000000261422241893100
7561-79000001512212520103100
7460-8000000141121262111310
7359-8100014122227211020
7258-82000141324292081
7157-83000016162829164
7056-840000282133279
6955-85001313303617
6854-860017234128
6753-870003164040
6652-8801103653
6551-89053064
6450-900032374
6349-91011881
6248-9201188
6147-931793
6046-940595
5945-95397
5844-96694
14-57100
Total:556666555554444333322221111100