San Diego Padres Playoff Chances 50/50

Beat Dodgers 15-11, playoff odds up 3 to 39.9%

1-1 .500

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win World Series	100.0*	Average seed
Dodgers 11 Padres 15	+3.0		+0.3		+0.3

If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Win World Series	100.0*	Average seed
Padres vs Giants	+3.1-3.1		+0.3-0.3		+0.3-0.3
Rangers vs Cubs	+0.2-0.2
Dodgers vs Cardinals	-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Padres finish out the regular season. Explain

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:					Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

108	-161				In		100															88,533	*
107		106	-	54	In		100			0												11,620
106		105	-	55	In		100	0		0												21,954
105		104	-	56	In		100	0		0												41,365
104		103	-	57	In		100	0		0												75,558
103		102	-	58	In		100	0		0												133,784
102		101	-	59	In		100	0	0	0												231,122
101		100	-	60	In		99	1	0	0												389,542
100		99	-	61	In		99	1	0	0	0											637,154
99		98	-	62	In		98	2	0	0	0											1,017,571
98		97	-	63	In		96	3	0	1	0											1,581,686
97		96	-	64	In		94	4	0	1	0											2,396,514
96		95	-	65	In		91	7	0	2	0											3,539,276
95		94	-	66	In		86	10	0	3	0	0										5,090,551
94		93	-	67	100.0	%	79	15	1	5	0	0	0									7,140,276
93		92	-	68	100.0		70	20	1	8	0	0	0									9,761,224
92		91	-	69	100.0		59	27	2	12	1	0	0	0								13,006,479
91		90	-	70	100.0		46	32	4	16	1	0	0	0								16,910,679
90		89	-	71	100.0		33	36	8	21	3	0	0	0	0							21,430,232
89		88	-	72	100.0		21	36	12	26	6	1	0	0	0	0						26,495,797
88		87	-	73	99.9		11	31	16	29	11	2	0	0	0	0	0					31,914,502
87		86	-	74	99.3		5	24	20	28	18	4	1	0	0	0	0					37,523,088
86		85	-	75	97.5		2	15	22	24	25	10	2	0	0	0	0	0	0			43,021,602
85		84	-	76	91.8		0	8	20	17	28	19	7	1	0	0	0	0	0			48,111,558
84		83	-	77	79.1		0	3	17	9	24	26	15	5	1	0	0	0	0	0		52,478,126
83		82	-	78	58.1		0	1	12	3	15	26	24	13	4	1	0	0	0	0		55,845,640
82		81	-	79	34.1		0	0	8	1	7	19	27	23	11	3	1	0	0	0		57,952,441
81		80	-	80	15.4		0	0	4	0	2	9	21	28	22	11	3	1	0	0	0	58,694,170
80		79	-	81	5.4			0	2	0	0	3	11	22	28	21	10	3	0	0	0	57,951,579
79		78	-	82	1.6			0	1	0	0	1	4	12	24	28	20	9	2	0	0	55,842,812
78		77	-	83	0.5			0	0	0	0	0	1	4	14	26	28	19	7	1	0	52,479,684
77		76	-	84	0.2			0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	16	28	28	16	4	0	48,114,761
76		75	-	85	0.0				0	0	0	0	0	0	2	8	20	31	26	11	2	43,028,440
75		74	-	86	0.0				0		0	0	0	0	0	3	11	26	34	21	5	37,524,977
74		73	-	87	0.0				0		0	0	0	0	0	1	5	17	34	32	11	31,927,348
73		72	-	88	0.0				0				0	0	0	0	2	9	28	40	21	26,485,906
72		71	-	89	0.0				0				0	0	0	0	1	4	20	42	33	21,434,191
71		70	-	90	0.0				0					0	0	0	0	2	12	40	46	16,909,446
70		69	-	91	0.0				0						0	0	0	1	7	34	59	13,008,372
69		68	-	92	Out										0	0	0	0	3	26	70	9,755,243
68		67	-	93	Out											0	0	0	2	19	79	7,139,319
67		66	-	94	Out											0	0	0	1	13	86	5,087,195
66		65	-	95	Out												0	0	0	9	91	3,541,115
65		64	-	96	Out													0	0	6	94	2,393,428
64		63	-	97	Out												0	0	0	3	96	1,581,995
63		62	-	98	Out														0	2	98	1,016,244
62		61	-	99	Out														0	1	99	637,787
61		60	-	100	Out														0	1	99	389,421
60		59	-	101	Out														0	0	100	231,823
59		58	-	102	Out															0	100	133,568
58		57	-	103	Out															0	100	75,827
57		56	-	104	Out															0	100	41,594
56		55	-	105	Out															0	100	22,230
55		54	-	106	Out															0	100	11,212
54		53	-	107	Out															0	100	5,788
53		52	-	108	Out															0	100	2,844
1	-52				Out																100	79,707	*

Total:					39.9	%	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	932,395,900

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Padres finish out the regular season. Explain


If finish:							Chance will play in first round
TW		W	-	L	Win WS		Bye	Giants	Rockies	Diamondbacks	Nationals	Braves	Brewers	Phillies	Pirates	Reds	Marlins	Cubs	Cardinals	Mets	Dodgers

108	-161				12.5	%	Yes
107		106	-	54	12.7		100											0
106		105	-	55	12.5		100	0											0
105		104	-	56	12.5		100			0				0	0		0	0	0
104		103	-	57	12.9		100	0		0	0	0	0	0	0			0	0
103		102	-	58	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
102		101	-	59	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
101		100	-	60	12.6		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
100		99	-	61	12.4		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
99		98	-	62	12.5		100	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
98		97	-	63	12.5		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
97		96	-	64	12.4		99	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
96		95	-	65	12.4		98	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
95		94	-	66	12.3		97	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
94		93	-	67	12.2		95	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
93		92	-	68	12.0		92	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
92		91	-	69	11.8		88	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
91		90	-	70	11.4		83	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	2
90		89	-	71	11.0		76	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	2
89		88	-	72	10.5		68	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	3
88		87	-	73	9.8		59	4	4	4	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	4
87		86	-	74	9.0		49	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4
86		85	-	75	7.9		39	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4
85		84	-	76	6.4		29	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4
84		83	-	77	4.6		20	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	2	3
83		82	-	78	2.8		13	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
82		81	-	79	1.5		8	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	1
81		80	-	80	0.7		4	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
80		79	-	81	0.3		2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
79		78	-	82	0.1		1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
78		77	-	83	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
77		76	-	84	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
76		75	-	85	0.0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
75		74	-	86	0.0		0	0	0		0				0			0			0
74		73	-	87	0.0		0									0		0
70	-73				0.0		0
1	-69				No

Total:					3.3	%	19.9	1.2	1.2	1.2	0.9	0.9	0.9	0.9	0.9	0.9	0.9	0.9	0.9	0.9	1.2

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs