San Diego Padres Playoff Chances

Beat Dodgers 15-11, playoff odds up 7.6 to 40.7%
1-1   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Dodgers 11 Padres 15 +3.4
+0.3
+0.4
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Padres vs Giants+2.7-3.6
+0.3-0.4
+0.3-0.4
Rangers vs Cubs+0.2-0.2
Dodgers vs Cardinals-0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Padres finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
111-161In100220,863*
110109-51In10003,526
109108-52In10007,187
108107-53In100014,930
107106-54In100029,828
106105-55In1000057,945
105104-56In10000108,724
104103-57In10000201,777
103102-58In100000361,534
102101-59In10000628,653
101100-60In990001,065,635
10099-61In991001,759,705
9998-62In9820002,825,003
9897-63In9730104,420,783
9796-64In9540106,726,147
9695-65In91602009,976,734
9594-66In8710030014,426,848
9493-67In8014050020,312,981
9392-68100.0%71201800027,868,708
9291-69100.06026211000037,242,967
9190-70100.04832415100048,531,209
9089-71100.034367202000061,594,507
8988-72100.02236112550000076,237,627
8887-7399.9123216281010000091,921,591
8786-7499.45242028174100000108,084,540
8685-7597.6216222424102000000123,893,786
8584-7692.208211728186100000138,427,803
8483-7779.7031792426155100000150,783,607
8382-7858.80112415272413410000160,117,748
8281-7934.50081719272311310000165,787,987
8180-8015.50040292128221131000167,369,520
8079-815.400200310222821103000164,720,377
7978-821.6010013122428209200158,040,642
7877-830.5000001413252919710147,843,287
7776-840.2000000151628281650134,856,858
7675-850.000000027203127122119,889,415
7574-860.00000002112634225103,943,339
7473-870.0000000141733331287,834,427
7372-880.00000002927402272,337,366
7271-890.0000000419423458,086,168
7170-900.0000000211394845,447,190
7069-910.00000016336034,670,250
6968-92Out00003257125,763,709
6867-93Out0001188018,666,241
6766-94Out0001138713,168,385
6665-95Out0008919,047,359
6564-96Out005956,058,349
6463-97Out003973,952,614
6362-98Out02982,511,695
6261-99Out01991,557,208
6160-100Out0199933,602
6059-101Out00100548,597
5958-102Out0100313,905
5857-103Out00100173,322
5756-104Out010094,503
5655-105Out010049,171
5554-106Out010025,201
1-54Out100241,697*
Total:40.7%7777777777777662,631,785,280

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Padres finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeRockiesGiantsDiamondbacksRedsNationalsPiratesCardinalsBrewersPhilliesCubsMarlinsBravesMetsDodgers
110-16114.0%Yes
109108-5214.41000
107-10814.0Yes
106105-5514.0100000
105104-5614.010000000000
104103-5713.91000000000000000
103102-5813.910000000000000000
102101-5913.910000000000000000
101100-6013.910000000000000000
10099-6113.910000000000000000
9998-6213.910000000000000000
9897-6313.99900000000000000
9796-6413.89900000000000000
9695-6513.79800000000000000
9594-6613.69700000000000000
9493-6713.49511100000000001
9392-6813.29211100000000001
9291-6912.98911111111111111
9190-7012.48422211111111112
9089-7111.87722211111111112
8988-7211.16933322222222223
8887-7310.26044422222222224
8786-749.15044433333333334
8685-757.73944433333333334
8584-766.12944433333333334
8483-774.32133322222222223
8382-782.61311111111111111
8281-791.3811111111111111
8180-800.6400000000000000
8079-810.3200000000000000
7978-820.1100000000000000
7877-830.0000000000000000
7776-840.0000000000000000
7675-850.0000000000000000
7574-860.0000000000000
7473-870.000
70-730.00
1-69No
Total:3.4%20.51.21.21.20.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.91.2
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs