San Diego Padres Playoff Chances

Beat Brewers 6-5, playoff odds up 0.03 to 0.1%
15-25   .375

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Average seed
Padres 6 Brewers 5 +0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Average seed
Padres vs Brewers+0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Padres finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
100-137In100145,037*
9984-38In6717176
9883-39In64294428
9782-40In62251360
9681-41In5724118156
9580-42In52282161446
9479-43In363442521,095
9378-4499.7%2631534402,483
9277-4599.616308397005,738
9176-4698.98241044131012,389
9075-4797.541710462020027,205
8974-4894.221010432950055,131
8873-4987.5059363711100111,790
8772-5076.00262641204000216,384
8671-5159.701416393091000409,107
8570-5240.400283137184000741,642
8469-5322.900131937291010001,304,461
8368-5410.40001929362040002,218,990
8267-553.700031836301120003,645,131
8166-561.00001827372150005,817,454
8065-570.2000031635321220008,969,575
7964-580.000017253723610013,387,225
7863-590.00000214343314200019,335,465
7762-600.000016243724710027,015,885
7661-610.0000021333341530036,566,833
7560-62Out001624372571047,901,900
7459-630.000002143334153060,738,506
7358-64Out000162437257174,530,358
7257-65Out000214343414288,513,675
7156-66Out000172639234101,705,001
7055-67Out00031738339113,111,558
6954-68Out000110324116121,701,316
6853-69Out0005244526126,692,400
6752-70Out0002164538127,580,805
6651-71Out000194050124,277,307
6550-72Out00053361117,039,474
6449-73Out00032672106,563,598
6348-74Out0001198093,781,162
6247-75Out000138679,782,115
6146-76Out00099165,579,436
6045-77Out00059552,046,877
5944-78Out00039739,895,458
5843-79Out0029829,507,183
5742-80Out019921,066,207
5641-81Out019914,503,679
5540-82Out001009,632,608
5439-83Out001006,161,492
5338-84Out01003,796,976
5237-85Out01002,255,247
5136-86Out01001,287,427
5035-87Out0100705,486
4934-88Out0100373,068
4833-89Out0100188,654
4732-90Out010092,346
4631-91Out010042,998
4530-92Out010019,057
15-44Out100158,770*
Total:0.1%0000000123691523401,751,221,860

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Padres finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByeNationalsDodgersDiamondbacksRockiesCardinalsBrewersRedsCubsPhilliesMetsBravesMarlinsPiratesGiants
100-1372.7%Yes
9984-38No8317
9883-39No9344
9782-40No872372
9681-412.68245413
9580-421.382444211110
9479-432.474058712111000
9378-442.16207109332110000
9277-451.9530101111442210000
9176-461.74201115134432110000
9075-471.53201416155642210000
8974-481.32201517166643210000
8873-491.11401517167743210000
8772-500.9801416146643210000
8671-510.7501113115543210000
8570-520.5207984432110000
8469-530.3104542211100000
8368-540.1002221110000000
8267-550.0001110000000000
8166-560.0000000000000000
8065-570.0000000000000000
7964-580.0000000000000000
7863-590.000000000000000
7762-600.0000000000
7661-61No0000
7560-62No
7459-630.00
15-73No
Total:0.0%0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Make Playoffs  (Full Screen)

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Padres 6 Brewers 5 -0.3
If winner is:HomeAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Padres vs Brewers-0.3+0.2

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
101-137100
10085-374060
9984-381783
9883-3929432144
9782-40324722
9681-4117423371
9580-421337331341
9479-43824372281
9378-443173428144100
9277-4519243222920000
9176-46031429291661010
9075-4701719292513410200
8974-4800292128221030500
8873-4900031021261871111000
8772-500013112023144194100
8671-5100131018199271120000
8570-520013815132821820000
8469-5300002812202719821000
8368-54000028921261910310000
8267-55000321020252112510000
8166-560001028172423157200000
8065-5700000261423241893100000
7964-58000000141221252011410000
7863-5900000013918252214620000
7762-6000000027162424167200000
7661-610000002615232518820000
7560-62000001513232619930000
7459-63000000151323262093000
7358-640000015132427199200
7257-65000001514252718710
7156-6600000161627271651
7055-670000028203026112
6954-68000003122633215
6853-6900001518333111
6752-7000000210283921
6651-7100015204232
6550-7200002134045
6449-73000173458
6348-7400042770
6247-7500021979
6146-7600011386
6045-77000991
5944-7800594
5843-7900397
5742-8000298
5641-8100199
5540-820199
5439-8300100
5338-8400100
5237-8500100
5136-860100
5035-870100
4934-880100
4833-890100
4732-900100
4631-910100
4530-920100
4429-930100
4328-940100
4227-95100
4126-960100
15-40100
Total:000000000000000001112234579131932