Los Angeles Dodgers Playoff Chances

Lost to Padres 11-15, playoff odds down 7.9 to 39.1%
1-1   .500

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Dodgers 11 Padres 15 -3.7
-0.4
-0.4
If winner is:HomeAway
Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Win World Series100.0*Average seed
Dodgers vs Cardinals+2.6-3.4
+0.2-0.3
+0.3-0.4
Rangers vs Cubs+0.2-0.2

What If

Chances based on how well the Dodgers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
110-161In100223,200*
109108-52In10005,961
108107-53In10012,425
107106-54In100024,991
106105-55In1000049,289
105104-56In1000094,483
104103-57In10000173,897
103102-58In100000312,962
102101-59In100000549,052
101100-60In99000935,224
10099-61In9910001,554,973
9998-62In9810002,510,745
9897-63In97201003,951,740
9796-64In9540106,068,406
9695-65In91602009,055,498
9594-66In8710030013,167,093
9493-67100.0%80140500018,655,626
9392-68100.071201800025,770,084
9291-69100.06026211000034,658,021
9190-70100.04832416100045,445,455
9089-71100.0343572130000058,083,426
8988-72100.02236112550000072,330,823
8887-7399.9123216291010000087,829,359
8786-7499.45242029174100000103,936,674
8685-7597.6216222424102000000119,899,458
8584-7692.108201728196100000134,854,664
8483-7779.5031792426155100000147,852,030
8382-7858.50112415272413410000158,021,713
8281-7934.30081719272311310000164,702,937
8180-8015.30040292128221131000167,353,727
8079-815.300200310222821103000165,827,731
7978-821.6010013122328209200160,130,422
7877-830.5000001413252919710150,787,505
7776-840.1000000151628281650138,411,900
7675-850.0000000027203127122123,879,339
7574-860.00000002102534225108,094,739
7473-870.0000000141733331291,926,802
7372-880.00000002927402276,232,479
7271-890.0000000419423461,608,254
7170-900.0000000211394848,522,469
7069-910.0000016336037,250,552
6968-92Out00003257127,870,163
6867-93Out0001188020,315,595
6766-94Out001138714,428,979
6665-95Out0008919,982,594
6564-96Out005956,728,319
6463-97Out003974,421,797
6362-98Out002982,822,469
6261-99Out01991,759,346
6160-100Out01991,064,666
6059-101Out00100628,830
5958-102Out00100360,863
5857-103Out0100202,029
5756-104Out0100109,496
5655-105Out010057,923
5554-106Out010029,741
5453-107Out010014,903
50-53Out10012,855*
4948-112Out0100301
1-48Out100218,283*
Total:39.1%6677777777777772,631,785,280

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

First Round Opponent What If

First round opponent based on how well the Dodgers finish out the regular season.   Explain

If finish:Chance will play in first round
TWW-LWin WSByePadresRockiesGiantsDiamondbacksRedsNationalsPiratesCardinalsBrewersPhilliesCubsMarlinsBravesMets
107-16113.6%Yes
106105-5513.51000
105104-5613.71000000000
104103-5713.61000000000000000
103102-5813.610000000000000000
102101-5913.610000000000000000
101100-6013.610000000000000000
10099-6113.610000000000000000
9998-6213.610000000000000000
9897-6313.69900000000000000
9796-6413.69900000000000000
9695-6513.59800000000000000
9594-6613.39700000000000000
9493-6713.29511110000000000
9392-6812.99211110000000000
9291-6912.68811111111111111
9190-7012.18322221111111111
9089-7111.57722221111111111
8988-7210.86933332222222222
8887-739.96044442222222222
8786-748.84944443333333333
8685-757.53944443333333333
8584-765.92944443333333333
8483-774.12033332222222222
8382-782.51311111111111111
8281-791.3811111111111111
8180-800.6400000000000000
8079-810.3200000000000000
7978-820.1100000000000000
7877-830.0000000000000000
7776-840.0000000000000000
7675-850.0000000000000000
7574-860.00000000000000
7473-870.000
70-730.00
1-69No
Total:3.2%19.31.21.11.11.10.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.90.9
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs